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Treasuries

1-3 Year Treasury Bond Ishares ETF (NQ: SHY )

82.17 +0.16 (+0.20%)
Official Closing Price Updated: 4:15 PM EST, Nov 25, 2024 Add to My Watchlist
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Speculator Extremes: Ultra T-Bonds, AUD, 5-Year & USD Index Lead Bullish & Bearish Positions
This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category. Extreme positioning in these markets can foreshadow strong moves in the... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Commodities Currencies/Forex
Rising Treasury Yields Raise Doubts About Another Fed Rate Cut
Fed funds futures are still leaning into expectations that the Federal Reserve will reduce its target rate next by a quarter point, but the related confidence of the forecast is slipping. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Fed: Why They Will Cut Rates (But Probably Should NOT)
The Fed is widely expected to cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by 25 basis points today. If we were on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), we would strongly dissent in favor of a pause. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Are Institutions Getting Defensive Before Election?
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts and data to help us answer the question, 
Via Talk Markets
Inflation Threats Make Yield Curve ETFs a Top Trade
As inflation risks for the United States economy come back online, the trade for a yield curve steepening becomes the best alternative for investors to watch 
Via MarketBeat
Topics Bonds ETFs Economy
Exposures Debt Markets Economy Interest Rates
Rates Ready To Plunge?
Rates seem to be forming their own very impressive topping patterns, similar to what happened before Covid. 
Via Talk Markets
Asian Markets Gear Up For A Rocky Start
The once-cherished narrative of a U.S. economic 'soft landing' has vanished faster than free snacks in a trading room, replaced by the grim prospect of a 'hard landing.' 
Via Talk Markets
Has The Bond Market Rally Peaked?
Fresh doubts are bubbling as the market reconsiders a range of risk factors, including renewed skepticism about the Federal Reserve’s commitment to cutting interest rates. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Mixed Signals Persist For Risk-On Sentiment Outlook
Investor sentiment has wobbled recently, but there’s still room for debate on whether the appetite for risk has peaked for this market cycle. 
Via Talk Markets
Stocks: Are You Missing The Big Picture?
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts to help us answer the question - are you missing the big picture? 
Via Talk Markets
“Bond Market Yield Curve Returns to Normal”? Signals for Gold, Stocks, Economy
The financial media appear to once again be leading the public astray about the Yield Curve situation. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Mixed Risk-Appetite Signals Sharpen Debate For Markets Outlook
Recent market volatility has raised questions about the staying power of the rally for global assets that began in late-2023. 
Via Talk Markets
Markets Confident That Rate Cuts Will Start In September
Via Talk Markets
The Fed “Train” Is Leaving The Station: Destination Unknown
The markets are pricing in the first rate cut in more than four years. As of this writing, it looks like we can expect a 50-basis-point cut on Wednesday, with a 50% probability of a 1.25% cut by... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Markets Take A Hit, But A Clear Risk-Off Signal Is Still In Dispute
From the vantage of the past week of trading the case looks clear for calling recent market volatility a sign of a risk-off pivot. 
Via Talk Markets
Will The Fed Meeting Support A September Rate Cut Forecast?
The market is convinced that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates at the Sep. 18 policy meeting. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Stalled Real Estate Market In The US, Gold Rush In India
Markets seem to be focusing their expectations on the Fed's next rate cut. If Jerome Powell fails to act within a reasonable timeframe, he could be criticized for taking too long to cut rates. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
U.S. Weekly FundFlows Insight Report: General U.S. Treasury ETFs Take In $1.4 Billion, Eleventh Consecutive Weekly Inflow
Spot bitcoin ETFs saw an inflow (+$679 million) over the week—marking the largest inflow since the first week of June despite five straight weeks of negative returns. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics ETFs
Has Risk-On Run Out Of Road?
More investors are asking the question lately, in part because markets are seemingly defying gravity and ignoring various macro and geopolitical risks. 
Via Talk Markets
Best Indicator For Recession & Stock Market Downturn
The steepening in the yield curve from inversion to above 0 is the best indicator of an imminent recession. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Economy Interest Rates
Stocks: What To Watch Now
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts and data to help us understand what we should be watching now to better understand the stock market's risk-reward profile in the context of... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Bearish Signs Are Emerging Across The Market
Several indicators are pointing to a more risk-off environment forming in the market. 
Via Talk Markets
Market Trends Continue To Lean Into A Bullish Signal
Although there are plenty of warnings from analysts who see trouble ahead, trend profiles show no fear. 
Via Talk Markets
The S&P 500 Comes To The Critical 5,200 Level
The S&P 500 is close to filling the gap and hitting multiple resistance levels at 5,200. This is happening as spreads between Italian and German rates widened again. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Stocks
Exposures US Equities
Are New Highs Coming In The Stock Market?
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts and data to help us answer the question, are new highs coming in the stock market? 
Via Talk Markets
Does Reflation Risk Threaten The Risk-On Signal For Stocks?
Animal spirits have come off the boil lately, but these are still early days for deciding if risk-on sentiment for equities has hit a wall or is in a holding pattern that allows markets to consolidate... 
Via Talk Markets
Are The Bears Back In Business?
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts and data to help us answer the question are the Bears back in business. 
Via Talk Markets
Rate Cuts Off The Table For Near Term Outlook: Futures Market
In the wake of last week’s hotter-than-expected consumer inflation data for March, the implied forecast via Fed funds futures indicates that interest-rate cuts are unlikely in the months ahead. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Stocks Rally Back To Critical Resistance Zone
Stocks rallied on Thursday following their post-CPI report plunge. 
Via Talk Markets
Bond Trader Places Largest-Ever Bet On Fed Rate Cuts In 2024 Ahead Of March Inflation Report
Record-breaking bet placed on Dec. 2024 short-term interest rate futures, anticipating Fed rate cuts due to strong economic data and high inflation. 
Via Benzinga
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
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