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Zacks Earnings Preview: Ciena Corporation, CKE Restaurants, Costo, The Kroger Co. and National Semiconductor Corporation

Zacks.com releases the list of companies likely to issue earnings surprises. This week’s list includes CKE Restaurants, Inc. (NYSE: CKR) and National Semiconductor Corporation (NYSE: NSM). To see more earnings analysis, visit http://at.zacks.com/?id=3207.

Every day, Zacks.com makes 4 stock picks available, free of charge. To see them, go to http://at.zacks.com/?id=3567.

The Week's Events

Just 49 companies have been confirmed to report for the second week of December. This group includes S&P 500 members Ciena Corporation (Nasdaq: CIEN), Costco (Nasdaq: COST), The Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR) and National Semiconductor Corporation (NYSE: NSM).

(The light earnings calendar is typical for this time of year. Except for a mid-December bump when some early reporters give their end-of-year results, there will not be a significant number of earnings reports until the second-half of January.)

The scheduled economic data should not move the markets significantly. October pending homes sales might get more attention on Tuesday given the recent rebound in homebuilding stocks, but I don't expect it to have a meaningful impact.

  • Tuesday: October pending home sales
  • Wednesday: October wholesale inventories, November treasury deficit, weekly crude inventories
  • Thursday: November import and export prices, October trade balance, weekly initial jobless claims
  • Friday: November retail sales, preliminary December University of Michigan consumer confidence, November producer price index (PPI), October business inventories

Federal Reserve Governor Randall Kroszner will speak in Geneva about the potential for market instability on Monday. Later in the day, Vice Chairman Donald Kohn will talk about the banking system at a housing forum in Washington, D.C.

The Fed will hold its final scheduled meeting of the year on Dec 16. Futures are pricing a 75-basis point cut.

Congress could hold a vote on whether to extend the Big 3 financing. Many senators were not swayed on Thursday, however, so it is unclear what the future of the bailout is.

Unscheduled events remain a wildcard, including any new actions taken by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson or new economic proposals from President-elect Barack Obama.

Companies That Could Issue Positive Earnings Surprises

Trends in earnings estimate revisions do not suggest any of the companies reporting will top expectations.

Companies That Could Issue Negative Earnings Surprises

All of the covering brokerage analysts cut their fiscal third-quarter profit projections on CKE Restaurants, Inc. (NYSE: CKR) over the past few weeks. One reason might have been the company's observation that restaurant operating costs rose 60 to 80 basis points during the quarter. The downward revisions caused the consensus earnings estimate to fall 7 cents to 10 cents per share. CKE has missed during the past 3 quarters. CKE Restaurants is scheduled to report on Wednesday, Dec 10, after the close of trading.

Last month, National Semiconductor Corporation (NYSE: NSM) revised its fiscal second-quarter revenue guidance. Due to weakness in the wireless handset market, the company expects sales to total between $420 and $425 million. (Previously, NSM predicted sales of $470 to $480 million.)

The majority of the covering brokerage analysts quickly cut their profit forecasts, causing the consensus earnings estimate to fall 8 cents to 24 cents per share. The most accurate estimate is more bearish at 20 cents per share. Investors should also note that NSM missed first-quarter expectations by a penny per share. National Semiconductor is scheduled to report on Monday, Dec 8, after the close of trading.

Charles Rotblut, CFA, is the senior market analyst for Zacks.com.

Want to turn earnings surprises into quick profits? Learn how by visiting http://at.zacks.com/?id=3206.

About the Zacks Rank

Since 1988, the Zacks Rank has proven that "Earnings estimate revisions are the most powerful force impacting stock prices." Since inception in 1988, #1 Rank Stocks have generated an average annual return of +28%. During the 2000-2002 bear market, Zacks #1 Rank stocks gained +43.8%, while the S&P 500 tumbled -37.6%. Also note that the Zacks Rank system has just as many Strong Sell recommendations (Rank #5) as Strong Buy recommendations (Rank #1). Since 1988, Zacks Rank #5 stocks have underperformed the S&P 500 by 80% annually (+2% versus +10%). Thus, the Zacks Rank system allows investors to truly manage portfolio trading effectively.

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About Zacks

Zacks.com is a property of Zacks Investment Research, Inc., which was formed in 1978 by Leonard Zacks. As a PhD in mathematics Len knew he could find patterns in stock market data that would lead to superior investment results. Amongst his many accomplishments was the formation of his proprietary stock picking system; the Zacks Rank, which continues to outperform the market by nearly a 3 to 1 margin. The best way to unlock the profitable stock recommendations and market insights of Zacks Investment Research is through our free daily email newsletter; Profit from the Pros. In short, it's your steady flow of Profitable ideas GUARANTEED to be worth your time! Register for your free subscription to Profit from the Pros by going to http://at.zacks.com/?id=3568.

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Visit http://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should always research companies and securities before making any investments. Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security.

Contacts:

Charles Rotblut, CFA
Company: Zacks.com
Phone: 312-265-9352
Email: pr@zacks.com
Visit: www.Zacks.com

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