Filed by Bowne Pure Compliance
Table of Contents

 
 
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
Quarterly Report Under Section 13 or 15(d)
of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the Quarterly Period Ended September 30, 2007
Commission file number 0-15886
The Navigators Group, Inc.
(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)
     
Delaware   13-3138397
     
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
  (IRS Employer
Identification No.)
     
One Penn Plaza, New York, New York   10119
     
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)
(212) 244-2333
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report.)
Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the Registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes þ No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of “accelerated filer and large accelerated filer” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check One):
Large accelerated filer þ   Accelerated filer o   Non-accelerated filer o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes o No þ
The number of common shares outstanding as of October 19, 2007 was 16,858,267.
 
 

 

 


 

THE NAVIGATORS GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
INDEX
         
    Page No.
 
       
       
 
       
       
 
       
       
    3  
 
       
       
    4  
    5  
 
       
       
    6  
 
       
       
    7  
    8  
 
       
       
    9  
 
       
    10  
 
       
    20  
 
       
    58  
 
       
    58  
 
       
       
 
       
    59  
 
       
    59  
 
       
    59  
 
       
    59  
 
       
    60  
 
       
    60  
 
       
    60  
 
       
    61  
 
       
    62  
 
       
 Exhibit 11.1
 Exhibit 31.1
 Exhibit 31.2
 Exhibit 32.1
 Exhibit 32.2

 

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Part 1. Financial Information
Item 1. Financial Statements
THE NAVIGATORS GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
($ in thousands, except share data)
                 
    September 30,     December 31,  
    2007     2006  
    (Unaudited)        
ASSETS
               
Investments and cash:
               
Fixed maturities, available-for-sale, at fair value
(amortized cost: 2007, $1,458,458; 2006, $1,263,284)
  $ 1,454,684     $ 1,258,717  
Equity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value (cost: 2007, $57,697; 2006, $31,879)
    63,858       37,828  
Short-term investments, at cost which approximates fair value
    215,117       176,961  
Cash
    4,906       2,404  
 
           
Total investments and cash
    1,738,565       1,475,910  
 
           
 
               
Premiums in course of collection
    186,865       163,309  
Commissions receivable
    2,429       3,647  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    194,742       179,493  
Reinsurance receivable on paid losses
    84,043       108,878  
Reinsurance receivable on unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
    837,545       911,439  
Net deferred income tax benefit
    31,360       30,422  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    54,752       41,700  
Accrued investment income
    15,548       13,052  
Goodwill and other intangible assets
    8,237       8,012  
Other assets
    20,906       20,824  
 
           
 
               
Total assets
  $ 3,174,992     $ 2,956,686  
 
           
 
               
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
Liabilities:
               
Reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 1,645,542     $ 1,607,555  
Unearned premium
    484,507       415,096  
Reinsurance balances payable
    179,892       194,266  
Senior notes
    123,644       123,560  
Federal income tax payable
    7,688       3,934  
Payable for securities purchased
    27,550       166  
Accounts payable and other liabilities
    79,693       60,766  
 
           
Total liabilities
    2,548,516       2,405,343  
 
           
 
               
Stockholders’ equity:
               
Preferred stock, $.10 par value, authorized 1,000,000 shares, none issued
           
Common stock, $.10 par value, shares authorized: 50,000,000 for 2007 and 2006; issued and outstanding: 16,856,267 for 2007 and 16,735,898 for 2006
    1,686       1,674  
Additional paid-in capital
    290,955       286,732  
Retained earnings
    328,544       259,464  
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    5,291       3,473  
 
           
Total stockholders’ equity
    626,476       551,343  
 
           
 
               
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
  $ 3,174,992     $ 2,956,686  
 
           
See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.

 

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THE NAVIGATORS GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
($ and shares in thousands, except net income per share)
                 
    Three Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    2007     2006  
    (Unaudited)  
 
               
Gross written premium
  $ 245,961     $ 221,667  
 
           
Revenues:
               
Net written premium
  $ 159,102     $ 119,037  
(Increase) in unearned premium
    (3,064 )     (3,341 )
 
           
Net earned premium
    156,038       115,696  
Commission income
    117       639  
Net investment income
    17,930       14,691  
Net realized capital gains (losses)
    (66 )     (151 )
Other income (expense)
    298       (884 )
 
           
Total revenues
    174,317       129,991  
 
           
 
               
Operating expenses:
               
Net losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    88,019       64,456  
Commission expense
    19,676       13,769  
Other operating expenses
    27,902       22,683  
Interest expense
    2,216       2,214  
 
           
Total operating expenses
    137,813       103,122  
 
           
 
               
Income before income tax expense
    36,504       26,869  
 
           
 
               
Income tax expense (benefit):
               
Current
    11,520       8,126  
Deferred
    (49 )     410  
 
           
Total income tax expense
    11,471       8,536  
 
           
 
               
Net income
  $ 25,033     $ 18,333  
 
           
 
               
Net income per common share:
               
Basic
  $ 1.49     $ 1.10  
Diluted
  $ 1.47     $ 1.09  
 
               
Average common shares outstanding:
               
Basic
    16,843       16,685  
Diluted
    16,996       16,827  
See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.

 

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THE NAVIGATORS GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME

($ and shares in thousands, except net income per share)
                 
    Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    2007     2006  
    (Unaudited)  
 
       
Gross written premium
  $ 823,371     $ 737,816  
 
           
Revenues:
               
Net written premium
  $ 493,471     $ 391,711  
(Increase) in unearned premium
    (52,770 )     (57,752 )
 
           
Net earned premium
    440,701       333,959  
Commission income
    1,011       2,465  
Net investment income
    51,476       41,244  
Net realized capital gains (losses)
    975       (767 )
Other income (expense)
    (26 )     (654 )
 
           
Total revenues
    494,137       376,247  
 
           
 
               
Operating expenses:
               
Net losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    248,950       193,200  
Commission expense
    54,425       41,098  
Other operating expenses
    82,799       61,018  
Interest expense
    6,646       4,034  
 
           
Total operating expenses
    392,820       299,350  
 
           
 
               
Income before income tax expense
    101,317       76,897  
 
           
 
               
Income tax expense (benefit):
               
Current
    34,301       27,492  
Deferred
    (2,064 )     (2,551 )
 
           
Total income tax expense
    32,237       24,941  
 
           
 
               
Net income
  $ 69,080     $ 51,956  
 
           
 
               
Net income per common share:
               
Basic
  $ 4.11     $ 3.12  
Diluted
  $ 4.07     $ 3.09  
 
               
Average common shares outstanding:
               
Basic
    16,796       16,664  
Diluted
    16,967       16,812  
See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.

 

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THE NAVIGATORS GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
($ in thousands)
                 
    Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    2007     2006  
    (Unaudited)  
Preferred Stock
               
Balance at beginning and end of period
  $     $  
 
           
 
               
Common stock
               
Balance at beginning of year
  $ 1,674     $ 1,662  
Shares issued under stock plans
    12       8  
 
           
Balance at end of period
  $ 1,686     $ 1,670  
 
           
 
               
Additional paid-in capital
               
Balance at beginning of year
  $ 286,732     $ 282,463  
Employee stock plans
    441       761  
Shares issued under stock plans
    3,782       2,392  
 
           
Balance at end of period
  $ 290,955     $ 285,616  
 
           
 
               
Retained earnings
               
Balance at beginning of year
  $ 259,464     $ 186,901  
Net income
    69,080       51,956  
 
           
Balance at end of period
  $ 328,544     $ 238,857  
 
           
 
               
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
               
Net unrealized gains (losses) on securities, net of tax
               
Balance at beginning of year
  $ 849     $ (884 )
Change in period
    686       707  
 
           
Balance at end of period
    1,535       (177 )
 
           
Cumulative translation adjustments, net of tax
               
Balance at beginning of year
    2,624       96  
Net adjustment for period
    1,132       1,453  
 
           
Balance at end of period
    3,756       1,549  
 
           
Balance at end of period
  $ 5,291     $ 1,372  
 
           
 
               
Total stockholders’ equity at end of period
  $ 626,476     $ 527,515  
 
           
See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.

 

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THE NAVIGATORS GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
($ in thousands)
                 
    Three Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    2007     2006  
    (Unaudited)  
 
Net income
  $ 25,033     $ 18,333  
 
           
Other comprehensive income:
               
Change in net unrealized gains on securities, net of tax expense of $6,446 and $9,371 in 2007 and 2006, respectively(1)
    12,154       17,249  
Change in foreign currency translation gains, net of tax expense of $178 and $135 in 2007 and 2006, respectively
    331       252  
 
           
Other comprehensive income
    12,485       17,501  
 
           
 
               
Comprehensive income
  $ 37,518     $ 35,834  
 
           
 
               
(1) Disclosure of reclassification amount, net of tax:
               
Unrealized holding gains arising during period
  $ 12,105     $ 17,145  
Less: reclassification adjustment for net realized capital (losses) included in net income
    (49 )     (104 )
 
           
Change in net unrealized gains on securities
  $ 12,154     $ 17,249  
 
           
See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.

 

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THE NAVIGATORS GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

($ in thousands)
                 
    Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    2007     2006  
    (Unaudited)  
 
Net income
  $ 69,080     $ 51,956  
 
           
Other comprehensive income:
               
Change in net unrealized gains on securities, net of tax expense of $311 and $462 in 2007 and 2006, respectively(1)
    686       707  
Change in foreign currency translation gains, net of tax expense of $610 and $782 in 2007 and 2006, respectively
    1,132       1,453  
 
           
Other comprehensive income
    1,818       2,160  
 
           
 
               
Comprehensive income
  $ 70,898     $ 54,116  
 
           
 
               
(1) Disclosure of reclassification amount, net of tax:
               
Unrealized holding gains arising during period
  $ 1,312     $ 187  
Less: reclassification adjustment for net realized capital capital gains (losses) included in net income
    626       (520 )
 
           
Change in net unrealized gains on securities
  $ 686     $ 707  
 
           
See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.

 

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THE NAVIGATORS GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
($ in thousands)
                 
    Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    2007     2006  
    (Unaudited)  
Operating activities:
               
Net income
  $ 69,080     $ 51,956  
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by (used in) operating activities:
               
Depreciation & amortization
    2,532       1,990  
Net deferred income tax expense (benefit)
    (2,064 )     (2,551 )
Net realized capital (gains) losses
    (975 )     767  
Changes in assets and liabilities:
               
Reinsurance receivable on paid and unpaid losses and LAE
    111,379       (21,429 )
Reserve for losses and LAE
    19,306       11,677  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    (12,558 )     (42,139 )
Unearned premium
    63,504       95,977  
Premiums in course of collection
    (19,151 )     (17,056 )
Commissions receivable
    1,247       1,004  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    (12,052 )     (11,764 )
Accrued investment income
    (2,650 )     (1,721 )
Reinsurance balances payable
    (18,297 )     13,684  
Federal income tax
    3,193       2,138  
Other
    28,842       5,561  
 
           
Net cash provided by operating activities
    231,336       88,094  
 
           
 
               
Investing activities:
               
Fixed maturities, available-for-sale
               
Redemptions and maturities
    127,639       95,288  
Sales
    136,046       111,643  
Purchases
    (455,845 )     (388,126 )
Equity securities, available-for-sale
               
Sales
    17,436       3,431  
Purchases
    (41,294 )     (12,121 )
Change in payable for securities
    27,176       78  
Net change in short-term investments
    (34,867 )     (30,675 )
Purchase of property and equipment
    (7,149 )     (3,559 )
 
           
Net cash (used in) investing activities
    (230,858 )     (224,041 )
 
           
 
               
Financing activities:
               
Net proceeds from senior notes
          123,511  
Proceeds of stock issued from employee stock purchase plan
    606       536  
Proceeds of stock issued from exercise of stock options
    1,406       601  
 
           
Net cash provided by financing activities
    2,012       124,648  
 
           
 
               
Effect of exchange rate changes on foreign currency cash
    12       25  
 
           
Increase (decrease) in cash
    2,502       (11,274 )
Cash at beginning of year
    2,404       13,165  
 
           
Cash at end of period
  $ 4,906     $ 1,891  
 
           
 
               
Supplemental disclosures of cash flow information:
               
Federal, state and local income tax paid
  $ 31,144     $ 19,857  
Interest paid
    4,375       4,715  
Issuance of stock to directors
    181       140  
See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.

 

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THE NAVIGATORS GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Notes to Interim Consolidated Financial Statements
(Unaudited)
Note 1. Accounting Policies
The interim consolidated financial statements are unaudited but reflect all adjustments which, in the opinion of management, are necessary to provide a fair statement of the results of The Navigators Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries for the interim periods presented on the basis of U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP” or “U.S. GAAP”). All such adjustments are of a normal recurring nature. All significant intercompany transactions and balances have been eliminated. The preparation of these financial statements requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported revenues and expenses during the reporting periods. The results of operations for any interim period are not necessarily indicative of results for the full year. The terms “we”, “us”, “our” and “the Company” as used herein mean The Navigators Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries, unless the context otherwise requires. The term “Parent” or “Parent Company” is used to mean The Navigators Group, Inc. without its subsidiaries. These financial statements should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes contained in the Company’s 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K. Certain amounts for the prior year have been reclassified or restated to conform to the current year’s presentation.
Note 2. Reinsurance Ceded
The Company’s ceded earned premiums were $102.1 million and $106.0 million for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and were $316.1 million and $330.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. The Company’s ceded incurred losses were $54.5 million and $61.4 million for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and were $156.9 million and $186.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.
Note 3. Segment Information
The Company’s subsidiaries are primarily engaged in the underwriting and management of property and casualty insurance.
The Company classifies its business into two underwriting segments consisting of the Insurance Companies and the Lloyd’s Operations, which are separately managed, and a Corporate segment. Segment data for each of the two underwriting segments include allocations of revenues and expenses of the Navigators Agencies’ (as defined below) and the Parent Company’s expenses and related income tax amounts.
We evaluate the performance of each segment based on its underwriting and net income results. The Insurance Companies’ and the Lloyd’s Operations’ results are measured by taking into account net earned premium, net losses and loss adjustment expenses (“LAE”), commission expense, other operating expenses, commission income and other income or expense. The Corporate segment consists of the Parent Company’s investment income, interest expense and the related tax effect. Each segment also maintains its own investments, on which it earns income and realizes capital gains or losses. Our underwriting performance is evaluated separately from the performance of our investment portfolios.

 

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Our Insurance Companies consist of Navigators Insurance Company, including its United Kingdom Branch (the “U.K. Branch”), and Navigators Specialty Insurance Company (formerly NIC Insurance Company). Navigators Insurance Company, our largest insurance subsidiary, has been active since 1983. It specializes principally in underwriting marine insurance and related lines of business, specialty liability insurance and professional liability insurance. Navigators Specialty Insurance Company, a wholly owned subsidiary of Navigators Insurance Company, began operations in 1990. It underwrites specialty and professional liability insurance on an excess and surplus lines basis fully reinsured by Navigators Insurance Company. The Lloyd’s Operations primarily underwrite marine and related lines of business at Lloyd’s of London (“Lloyd’s”) through Lloyd’s Syndicate 1221 (“Syndicate 1221”). Our Lloyd’s Operations include Navigators Underwriting Agency Ltd. (“NUAL”), a Lloyd’s underwriting agency which manages Syndicate 1221. We participate in the capacity of Syndicate 1221 through two wholly-owned Lloyd’s corporate members. The Navigators Agencies are wholly-owned insurance underwriting management companies which produce, manage and underwrite insurance and reinsurance for the Company. All segments are evaluated based on their GAAP results.
The Insurance Companies’ and the Lloyd’s Operations’ underwriting results are measured based on underwriting profit or loss and the related combined ratio, which are both non-GAAP measures of underwriting profitability. Underwriting profit or loss is calculated from net earned premium, less the sum of net losses and LAE, commission expense, other operating expenses and commission income and other income (expense). The combined ratio is derived by dividing the sum of net losses and LAE, commission expense, other operating expenses and commission income and other income (expense) by net earned premium. A combined ratio of less than 100% indicates an underwriting profit and over 100% indicates an underwriting loss.
Financial data by segment for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 were as follows:

 

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    Three Months Ended September 30, 2007  
    Insurance     Lloyd’s              
    Companies     Operations     Corporate     Total  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
Gross written premium
  $ 178,058     $ 67,903             $ 245,961  
Net written premium
    109,677       49,425               159,102  
 
                               
Net earned premium
    109,060       46,978               156,038  
Net losses and LAE
    (59,816 )     (28,203 )             (88,019 )
Commission expense
    (13,086 )     (6,590 )             (19,676 )
Other operating expenses
    (21,157 )     (6,745 )             (27,902 )
Commission income and other income (expense)
    304       111               415  
 
                         
 
                               
Underwriting profit
    15,305       5,551               20,856  
 
                               
Net investment income
    14,816       2,609     $ 505       17,930  
Net realized capital gains (losses)
    41       (107 )           (66 )
Interest expense
                (2,216 )     (2,216 )
 
                       
Income (loss) before income taxes
    30,162       8,053       (1,711 )     36,504  
 
                               
Income tax expense (benefit)
    9,193       2,877       (599 )     11,471  
 
                       
Net income (loss)
  $ 20,969     $ 5,176     $ (1,112 )   $ 25,033  
 
                       
 
                               
Identifiable assets (1)
  $ 2,292,811     $ 793,661     $ 65,950     $ 3,174,992  
 
                       
 
                               
Loss and LAE ratio
    54.8 %     60.0 %             56.4 %
Commission expense ratio
    12.0 %     14.0 %             12.6 %
Other operating expense ratio (2)
    19.1 %     14.1 %             17.6 %
 
                         
Combined ratio
    85.9 %     88.1 %             86.6 %
 
                         
 
(1)  
Includes inter-segment transactions causing the row not to crossfoot.
 
(2)  
Includes other operating expenses and commission income and other income (expense).

 

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    Three Months Ended September 30, 2006  
    Insurance     Lloyd’s              
    Companies     Operations     Corporate     Total  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
Gross written premium (1)
  $ 163,673     $ 57,780             $ 221,667  
Net written premium
    91,188       27,849               119,037  
 
                               
Net earned premium
    85,494       30,202               115,696  
Net losses and LAE
    (47,926 )     (16,530 )             (64,456 )
Commission expense
    (9,889 )     (3,880 )             (13,769 )
Other operating expenses
    (16,697 )     (5,986 )             (22,683 )
Commission income and other income (expense)
    661       (906 )             (245 )
 
                         
 
                               
Underwriting profit
    11,643       2,900               14,543  
 
                               
Net investment income
    12,345       1,774     $ 572       14,691  
Net realized capital (losses)
    (29 )     (122 )           (151 )
Interest expense
                (2,214 )     (2,214 )
 
                       
Income (loss) before income taxes
    23,959       4,552       (1,642 )     26,869  
 
                               
Income tax expense (benefit)
    7,658       1,627       (749 )     8,536  
 
                       
Net income (loss)
  $ 16,301     $ 2,925     $ (893 )   $ 18,333  
 
                       
 
                               
Identifiable assets (1)
  $ 2,050,833     $ 855,348     $ 50,276     $ 2,961,996  
 
                       
 
                               
Loss and LAE ratio
    56.1 %     54.7 %             55.7 %
Commission expense ratio
    11.6 %     12.8 %             11.9 %
Other operating expense ratio (2)
    18.8 %     22.8 %             19.8 %
 
                         
Combined ratio
    86.5 %     90.3 %             87.4 %
 
                         
 
(1)  
Includes inter-segment transactions causing the row not to crossfoot.
 
(2)  
Includes other operating expenses and commission income and other income (expense).

 

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    Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007  
    Insurance     Lloyd’s              
    Companies     Operations     Corporate     Total  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
Gross written premium
  $ 585,492     $ 237,879             $ 823,371  
Net written premium
    355,798       137,673               493,471  
 
                               
Net earned premium
    320,607       120,094               440,701  
Net losses and LAE
    (184,881 )     (64,069 )             (248,950 )
Commission expense
    (38,072 )     (16,353 )             (54,425 )
Other operating expenses
    (60,983 )     (21,816 )             (82,799 )
Commission income and other income (expense)
    889       96               985  
 
                         
 
                               
Underwriting profit
    37,560       17,952               55,512  
 
                               
Net investment income
    42,910       7,167     $ 1,399       51,476  
Net realized capital gains (losses)
    1,118       (143 )           975  
Interest expense
                (6,646 )     (6,646 )
 
                       
Income (loss) before income taxes
    81,588       24,976       (5,247 )     101,317  
 
                               
Income tax expense (benefit)
    25,267       8,806       (1,836 )     32,237  
 
                       
Net income (loss)
  $ 56,321     $ 16,170     $ (3,411 )   $ 69,080  
 
                       
 
                               
Identifiable assets (1)
  $ 2,292,811     $ 793,661     $ 65,950     $ 3,174,992  
 
                       
 
                               
Loss and LAE ratio
    57.7 %     53.3 %             56.5 %
Commission expense ratio
    11.9 %     13.6 %             12.3 %
Other operating expense ratio (2)
    18.7 %     18.1 %             18.6 %
 
                         
Combined ratio
    88.3 %     85.0 %             87.4 %
 
                         
 
(1)  
Includes inter-segment transactions causing the row not to crossfoot.
 
(2)  
Includes other operating expenses and commission income and other income (expense).

 

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    Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006  
    Insurance     Lloyd’s              
    Companies     Operations     Corporate     Total  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
Gross written premium
  $ 496,216     $ 241,600             $ 737,816  
Net written premium
    273,277       118,434               391,711  
 
                               
Net earned premium
    231,334       102,625               333,959  
Net losses and LAE
    (135,556 )     (57,644 )             (193,200 )
Commission expense
    (24,925 )     (16,173 )             (41,098 )
Other operating expenses
    (44,096 )     (16,922 )             (61,018 )
Commission income and other income (expense)
    2,661       (850 )             1,811  
 
                         
 
                               
Underwriting profit
    29,418       11,036               40,454  
 
                               
Net investment income
    34,778       5,448     $ 1,018       41,244  
Net realized capital (losses)
    (329 )     (438 )           (767 )
Interest expense
                (4,034 )     (4,034 )
 
                       
Income (loss) before income taxes
    63,867       16,046       (3,016 )     76,897  
 
                               
Income tax expense (benefit)
    20,442       5,650       (1,151 )     24,941  
 
                       
Net income (loss)
  $ 43,425     $ 10,396     $ (1,865 )   $ 51,956  
 
                       
 
                               
Identifiable assets (1)
  $ 2,050,833     $ 855,348     $ 50,276     $ 2,961,996  
 
                       
 
                               
Loss and LAE ratio
    58.6 %     56.2 %             57.9 %
Commission expense ratio
    10.8 %     15.8 %             12.3 %
Other operating expense ratio (2)
    17.9 %     17.3 %             17.7 %
 
                         
Combined ratio
    87.3 %     89.3 %             87.9 %
 
                         
 
(1)  
Includes inter-segment transactions causing the row not to crossfoot.
 
(2)  
Includes other operating expenses and commission income and other income (expense).
The Insurance Companies’ net earned premium includes $12.6 million and $12.9 million of net earned premium from the U.K. Branch for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and $45.0 million and $34.2 million of net earned premium from the U.K. Branch for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.
Note 4. Comprehensive Income
Comprehensive income encompasses net income, net unrealized capital gains and losses on available for sale securities, and foreign currency translation adjustments, all of which are net of tax. Please refer to the Consolidated Statements of Stockholders’ Equity and the Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income, included herein, for the components of accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) and of comprehensive income (loss), respectively.

 

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Note 5. Stock-Based Compensation
Stock based compensation is expensed as stock awards granted under the Company’s stock plans vest with the expense being included in other operating expenses for the periods indicated. The amount charged to expense for stock grants was $1.4 million and $1.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and $3.8 million and $3.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. The amount charged to expense for stock options was $140,000 and $292,000 for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and $441,000 and $761,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. Stock appreciation rights resulted in an expense of $29,000 and $541,000 for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and an expense of $652,000 and $563,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.
The Company expensed $45,000 and $48,000 for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and $115,000 and $104,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, related to its Employee Stock Purchase Plan.
In addition, $50,000 and $46,000 was expensed in each of the three month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, and $150,000 and $133,000 was expensed in each of the nine month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 for stock issued annually to non-employee directors as part of their directors’ compensation for serving on the Company’s Board of Directors.
Note 6. Application of New Accounting Standards
In February 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (“SFAS”) No. 155, Accounting for Certain Hybrid Financial Instruments. SFAS No. 155 amends SFAS No. 133, Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities, and SFAS No. 140, Accounting for Transfers and Servicing of Financial Assets and Extinguishments of Liabilities, and allows an entity to re-measure at fair value a hybrid financial instrument that contains an embedded derivative that otherwise would require bifurcation from the host, if the holder irrevocably elects to account for the whole instrument on a fair value basis. Subsequent changes in the fair value of the instrument would be recognized in earnings. SFAS No. 155 also removed an exception included in an interpretation of SFAS No. 133 (Implementation Issue No. B39) that kept holders of mortgage-backed securities from testing for the need to bifurcate the value embedded in mortgage-backed securities related to the ability to prepay. Such exception was subsequently reinstated on a limited basis. SFAS No. 155 is effective for financial instruments acquired or issued after the beginning of an entity’s first fiscal year that begins after September 15, 2006. The Company’s adoption of SFAS No. 155 at January 1, 2007 did not have a material effect on its financial condition or results of operations.
In July 2006, the FASB issued Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes (“FIN 48”), an interpretation of FASB Statement No. 109, Accounting for Income Taxes. FIN 48, which was effective in the first quarter of 2007, established the threshold for recognizing the benefits of tax-return positions in the financial statements as more-likely-than-not to be sustained by the taxing authorities, and prescribed a measurement methodology for those positions meeting the recognition threshold. The Company’s adoption of FIN 48 at January 1, 2007 did not have a material effect on its financial condition or results of operations.
In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS No. 157, Fair Value Measurements. SFAS No. 157 defines fair value, establishes a framework for measuring fair value in GAAP, and enhances disclosures about fair value measurements. SFAS No. 157, which becomes effective on January 1, 2008, applies when other accounting pronouncements require fair value measurements; it does not require new fair value measurements. The Company has not yet determined the estimated impact on its financial condition or results of operations, if any, of adopting SFAS No. 157.

 

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In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 159, The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities, which permits entities to choose to measure many financial instruments and certain warranty and insurance contracts at fair value on a contract-by-contract basis. SFAS No. 159 is effective as of the beginning of an entity’s first fiscal year that begins after November 15, 2007 (January 1, 2008 for calendar-year-end companies). The Company has not yet determined the estimated impact on its financial condition or results of operations, if any, of adopting SFAS No. 159.
Note 7. Lloyd’s Syndicate
We record our pro rata share of Syndicate 1221’s assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses, after making adjustments to convert Lloyd’s accounting to U.S. GAAP. The most significant U.S. GAAP adjustments relate to income recognition. Lloyd’s syndicates determine underwriting results by year of account at the end of three years. We record adjustments to recognize underwriting results as incurred, including the expected ultimate cost of losses incurred. These adjustments to losses are based on actuarial analysis of syndicate accounts, including forecasts of expected ultimate losses provided by Syndicate 1221. At the end of the Lloyd’s three year period for determining underwriting results for an account year, Syndicate 1221 will close the account year by reinsuring outstanding claims on that account year with the participants for the account’s next underwriting year. The amount to close an underwriting year into the next year is referred to as the “reinsurance to close”. The reinsurance to close transaction is recorded in the fourth quarter as additional written and earned premium, losses incurred, loss reserves and receivables, all in the same amount. No gain or loss is recorded on the reinsurance to close transaction.
Syndicate 1221’s stamp capacity is £140.0 million ($278.2 million) in 2007 compared to £123.5 million ($224.8 million) in 2006. Stamp capacity is a measure of the amount of premium a Lloyd’s syndicate is authorized to write based on a business plan approved by the Council of Lloyd’s. Syndicate 1221’s capacity is expressed net of commission (as is standard at Lloyd’s). The Syndicate 1221 premium recorded in the Company’s financial statements is gross of commission. The Company participates for 100% of Syndicate 1221’s capacity for both the 2007 and 2006 underwriting years. The Lloyd’s Operations included in the consolidated financial statements represent the Company’s participation in Syndicate 1221.
The Company provides letters of credit to Lloyd’s to support its Syndicate 1221 capacity. If the Company increases its participation or if Lloyd’s changes the capital requirements, the Company may be required to supply additional letters of credit or other collateral acceptable to Lloyd’s, or reduce the capacity of Syndicate 1221. The letters of credit are provided through a credit facility with a consortium of banks which expires March 31, 2009. If the banks decide not to renew the credit facility, the Company will need to find other sources to provide the letters of credit or other collateral in order to continue to participate in Syndicate 1221. The bank facility is collateralized by all of the common stock of Navigators Insurance Company.
Note 8. Income Taxes
We are subject to the tax regulations of the United States and foreign countries in which we operate. The Company files a consolidated federal tax return, which includes all domestic subsidiaries and the U.K. Branch. The income from the foreign operations is designated as either U.S. connected income or non-U.S. connected income. Lloyd’s is required to pay U.S. income tax on U.S. connected income written by Lloyd’s syndicates. Lloyd’s and the IRS have entered into an agreement whereby the amount of tax due on U.S. connected income is calculated by Lloyd’s and remitted directly to the IRS. These amounts are then charged to the corporate members in proportion to their participation in the relevant syndicates. The Company’s corporate members are subject to this agreement and will receive United Kingdom (“U.K.”) tax credits for any U.S. income tax incurred up to the U.K. income tax charged on the U.S. connected income. The non-U.S. connected insurance income would generally constitute taxable income under the Subpart F income section of the Internal Revenue Code since less than 50% of Syndicate 1221’s premium is derived within the U.K. and would therefore be subject to U.S. taxation when the Lloyd’s year of account closes. Taxes are accrued at a 35% rate on our foreign source insurance income and foreign tax credits, where available, are utilized to offset U.S. tax as permitted.

 

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The Company’s effective tax rate for Syndicate 1221 taxable income could substantially exceed 35% to the extent the Company is unable to offset U.S. taxes paid under Subpart F tax regulations with U.K. tax credits on future underwriting year distributions. U.S. taxes are not accrued on the earnings of the Company’s foreign agencies as these earnings are not subject to the Subpart F tax regulations. These earnings are subject to taxes under U.K. tax regulations at a 30% rate. We have not provided for U.S. deferred income taxes on the undistributed earnings of our non-U.S. subsidiaries since these earnings are intended to be permanently reinvested in our non-U.S. subsidiaries. A finance bill was enacted in the U.K. on July 19, 2007 that reduces the U.K. corporate tax rate from 30% to 28% effective April 1, 2008. The effect of such tax rate change was not material.
As discussed in Note 6 included herein, the Company adopted FIN 48 on January 1, 2007. FIN 48 applies to all tax positions accounted for under SFAS No. 109.  FIN 48 defines the confidence level that a tax position must meet in order to be recognized in the financial statements.  The tax position must be more-likely-than-not to be sustained by the relevant taxing authority which means a likelihood of more than 50%.  If the more-likely-than-not threshold can not be reached, the benefit should not be reflected in the financial statements.  However, a company should recognize the largest amount of the tax benefit that has a greater than 50% likelihood of being realized upon ultimate settlement with the taxing authorities.  The determination of the 50% threshold is highly judgmental and depends on the individual facts and circumstances.  A tax benefit taken in the tax return but not in the financial statements is known as an ‘unrecognized tax benefit’. The Company had no unrecognized tax benefits at either January 1, 2007 or at September 30, 2007 and does not anticipate any significant unrecognized tax benefits within the next twelve months.
The Company is currently not under examination by any major U.S. or foreign tax authority and is generally subject to U.S. Federal, state, local, or foreign tax examinations by tax authorities for years 2003 and subsequent. The Company’s policy is to record interest and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits to income tax expense. The Company did not incur any interest or penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits for the nine month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006.
The Company had state and local deferred tax assets amounting to potential future tax benefits of $7.4 million and $6.0 million at September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, respectively. Included in the deferred tax assets are net operating loss carryforwards of $3.8 million and $4.8 million at September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, respectively. A valuation allowance was established for the full amount of these potential future tax benefits due to the uncertainty associated with their realization.
Note 9. Commitments and Contingencies
(a) Except as follows, the Company is not a party to, or the subject of, any material legal proceedings which depart from the ordinary routine litigation incident to the kinds of business it conducts.
On November 22, 2006, the Company filed a demand for arbitration in New York against Equitas, a lead reinsurer participating in excess of loss reinsurance agreements, with respect to unsatisfied loss payment recovery demands that the Company has previously presented to Equitas (the “Equitas Arbitration”). The recovery demands are for the 2005 settlement of two class action lawsuits involving large asbestos claims (together, the “2005 Settled Claims”), which 2005 Settled Claims are being paid through 2007. Equitas has not indicated any dispute with respect to recoveries on related pro rata reinsurance agreements for such 2005 Settled Claims or with respect to excess of loss or pro rata reinsurance for the 2004 Settled Claim referred to below. The aggregate amount of excess of loss recoveries due from Equitas for ceded paid and unpaid losses on the 2005 Settled Claims is approximately $2.7 million.
The Company filed its demand for arbitration against Equitas in accordance with the applicable provisions of the excess of loss reinsurance agreements. The Company believes that the refusal of Equitas to satisfy the Company’s payment demands is without merit and it intends to vigorously pursue collection of its reinsurance recovery. While it is too early to predict with any certainty the outcome of the Equitas Arbitration, the Company believes that the ultimate outcome would not be expected to have a significant adverse effect on its results of operations, financial condition or liquidity, although an unexpected adverse resolution of the Equitas Arbitration could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s results of operations in a particular fiscal quarter or year.

 

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(b) Whenever a member of Lloyd’s is unable to pay its debts to policyholders, such debts may be payable by the Lloyd’s Central Fund. If Lloyd’s determines that the Central Fund needs to be increased, it has the power to assess premium levies on current Lloyd’s members up to 3% of a member’s underwriting capacity in any one year. The Company does not believe that any assessment is likely in the foreseeable future and has not provided any allowance for such an assessment. However, based on the Company’s 2007 capacity at Lloyd’s of £140 million, the September 30, 2007 exchange rate of £1 equals $2.04 and assuming the maximum 3% assessment, the Company would be assessed approximately $8.6 million.
Note 10. Senior Notes due May 1, 2016
On April 17, 2006, the Company completed a public debt offering of $125 million principal amount of 7% senior unsecured notes due May 1, 2016 (the “Senior Notes”) and received net proceeds of $123.5 million. The Company contributed $100 million of the proceeds to the capital and surplus of Navigators Insurance Company and retained the remainder at the Parent Company for general corporate purposes. The interest payment dates on the Senior Notes are each May 1 and November 1. The effective interest rate related to the Senior Notes, based on the proceeds net of discount and all issuance costs, is approximately 7.17%.
The Senior Notes, the Company’s only senior unsecured obligation, will rank equally with future senior unsecured indebtedness. The Company may redeem the Senior Notes at any time and from time to time, in whole or in part, at a “make-whole” redemption price. The terms of the Senior Notes contain various restrictive business and financial covenants typical for debt obligations of this type, including limitations on mergers, and liens or dispositions of the common stock of certain subsidiaries. As of September 30, 2007, the Company was in compliance with all such covenants.
The interest expense for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 was $2.2 million and $6.6 million, respectively. The interest expense from the April 17, 2006 issuance date to September 30, 2006 was $4.0 million. The fair value, which is based on the quoted market price at September 30, 2007, was $127.8 million.

 

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Item 2.  
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Note on Forward-Looking Statements
Some of the statements in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q are “forward-looking statements” as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Whenever used in this report, the words “estimate”, “expect”, “believe” or similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are derived from information that we currently have and assumptions that we make. We cannot assure that anticipated results will be achieved, since results may differ materially because of both known and unknown risks and uncertainties which we face. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from our forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to:
   
the effects of domestic and foreign economic conditions, and conditions which affect the market for property and casualty insurance;
 
   
changes in the laws, rules and regulations which apply to our insurance companies;
 
   
the effects of emerging claim and coverage issues on our business, including adverse judicial or regulatory decisions and rulings;
 
   
the effects of competition from banks and other insurers and the trend toward self-insurance;
 
   
risks that we face in entering new markets and diversifying the products and services we offer;
 
   
unexpected turnover of our professional staff;
 
   
changing legal and social trends and inherent uncertainties in the loss estimation process that can adversely impact the adequacy of loss reserves and the allowance for reinsurance recoverables, including our estimates relating to ultimate asbestos liabilities and related reinsurance recoverables;
 
   
risks inherent in the collection of reinsurance recoverable amounts from our reinsurers over many years into the future based on the reinsurers’ financial ability and intent to meet such obligations to the Company;
 
   
risks associated with our continuing ability to obtain reinsurance covering our exposures at appropriate prices and/or in sufficient amounts and the related recoverability of our reinsured losses;
 
   
weather-related events and other catastrophes (including acts of terrorism) impacting our insureds and/or reinsurers, including, without limitation, the impact of Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma and the possibility that our estimates of losses from Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma will prove to be materially inaccurate;
 
   
our ability to attain adequate prices, obtain new business and retain existing business consistent with our expectations;
 
   
the possibility of downgrades in our claims-paying and financial strength ratings significantly adversely affecting us, including reducing the number of insurance policies we write generally, or causing clients who require an insurer with a certain rating level to use higher-rated insurers;
 
   
the inability of our internal control framework to provide absolute assurance that all incidents of fraud or unintended material errors will be detected and prevented;

 

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the risk that our investment portfolio suffers reduced returns or investment losses which could reduce our profitability; and
 
   
other risks that we identify in future filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”), including without limitation the risks described under the caption “Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006.
In light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, any forward-looking events discussed in this Form 10-Q may not occur. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their respective dates.
The discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations contained herein should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements and accompanying notes which appear elsewhere in this Form 10-Q. It contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Please see “Note on Forward-Looking Statements” for more information. Our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a result of various factors, including those discussed below and elsewhere in this Form 10-Q.
Overview
We are an international insurance holding company focusing on specialty products for niches within the overall property/casualty insurance market. The Company’s underwriting segments consist of insurance company operations and operations at Lloyd’s of London. Our largest product line and most long-standing area of specialization is ocean marine insurance. We have also developed specialty niches in professional liability insurance and in specialty liability insurance primarily consisting of contractors liability and excess liability coverages. We conduct operations through our Insurance Companies and our Lloyd’s Operations. The Insurance Companies consist of Navigators Insurance Company, which includes our U.K. Branch, and Navigators Specialty Insurance Company, which underwrites specialty and professional liability insurance on an excess and surplus lines basis fully reinsured by Navigators Insurance Company. Our Lloyd’s Operations include NUAL, a Lloyd’s underwriting agency which manages Syndicate 1221. We participate in the capacity of Syndicate 1221 through two wholly-owned Lloyd’s corporate members.
While management takes into consideration a wide range of factors in planning the Company’s business strategy and evaluating results of operations, there are certain factors that management believes are fundamental to understanding how the Company is managed. First, underwriting profit is consistently emphasized as a primary goal, above premium growth. Management’s assessment of our trends and potential growth in underwriting profit is the dominant factor in its decisions with respect to whether or not to expand a business line, enter into a new niche, product or territory or, conversely, to contract capacity in any business line. In addition, management focuses on managing the costs of our operations. Management believes that careful monitoring of the costs of existing operations and assessment of costs of potential growth opportunities are important to our profitability. Access to capital also has a significant impact on management’s outlook for our operations. The Insurance Companies’ operations and ability to grow their business and take advantage of market opportunities are particularly constrained by regulatory capital requirements and rating agency assessments of capital adequacy.
The discussions that follow include tables, which contain both our consolidated and segment operating results for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006. In presenting our financial results we have discussed our performance with reference to underwriting profit or loss and the related combined ratio, both of which are non-GAAP measures of underwriting profitability. We consider such measures, which may be defined differently by other companies, to be important in the understanding of our overall results of operations. Underwriting profit or loss is calculated from net earned premium, less the sum of net losses and LAE, commission expense, other operating expenses and commission income and other income (expense). The combined ratio is derived by dividing the sum of net losses and LAE, commission expense, other operating expenses and commission income and other income (expense) by net earned premiums. A combined ratio of less than 100% indicates an underwriting profit and over 100% indicates an underwriting loss.

 

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Although not a financial measure, management’s decisions are also greatly influenced by access to specialized underwriting and claims expertise in our lines of business. We have chosen to operate in specialty niches with certain common characteristics which we believe provide us with the opportunity to use our technical underwriting expertise in order to realize underwriting profit. As a result, we have focused on underserved markets for businesses characterized by higher severity and lower frequency of loss where we believe our intellectual capital and financial strength bring meaningful value. In contrast, we have avoided niches that we believe have a high frequency of loss activity and/or are subject to a high level of regulatory requirements, such as workers compensation and personal automobile insurance, because we do not believe our technical expertise is of as much value in these types of businesses. Examples of niches that have the characteristics we look for include bluewater hull which provides coverage for physical damage to, for example, highly valued cruise ships, and directors and officers liability insurance (“D&O”) which covers litigation exposure of a corporation’s directors and officers. These types of exposures require substantial technical expertise. We attempt to mitigate the financial impact of severe claims on our results by conservative and detailed underwriting, prudent use of reinsurance and a balanced portfolio of risks.
Our revenue is primarily comprised of premiums and investment income. The Insurance Companies derive their premiums primarily from business written by the Navigators Agencies, which are wholly-owned insurance underwriting agencies of the Company. The Lloyd’s Operations derive their premiums from business written by NUAL. Beginning in 2006, the Navigators Agencies produce and manage business almost exclusively for the Insurance Companies and are reimbursed for actual costs. Prior to 2006, the Navigators Agencies received commissions and, in some cases, profit commissions on the business produced on behalf of the Insurance Companies and other unaffiliated insurers. NUAL is reimbursed for its actual costs and, where applicable, profit commissions on the business produced for Syndicate 1221.
Over the past several years, we have experienced generally beneficial market changes in our lines of business. As a result of several large industry losses in the second quarter of 2001, the marine insurance market began to experience diminished capacity and rate increases, initially in the offshore energy line of business. The marine rate increases began to level off in 2004 and into 2005. As a result of the substantial insurance industry losses resulting from Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, the marine insurance market experienced diminished capacity and rate increases through the end of 2006, particularly for the offshore energy risks located in the Gulf of Mexico. Since the end of 2006, competitive market conditions returned as available capacity has increased. The 2007 average renewal rates for our Insurance Companies’ marine business decreased approximately 1.7% for the third quarter and were flat for the nine month period, including offshore energy average renewal rates which decreased approximately 3.6% for the third quarter and increased approximately 1.4% for the nine month period. The 2007 average renewal rates for our Lloyd’s Operations marine business decreased approximately 3.3% for the third quarter and were flat for the nine month period, including offshore energy average renewal rates which decreased approximately 6.4% for the third quarter and 3.5% for the nine month period.
Specialty liability losses in 2001 to 2003, particularly for the contractors liability business, also resulted in diminished capacity in the market in which we compete, as many former competitors who lacked the expertise to selectively underwrite this business have been forced to withdraw from the market resulting in approximate rate increases of 13% in 2004 and 49% in 2003. This was followed by a slight decline in rates of approximately 1% in 2005. The 2006 year average renewal rates for the contractors liability business declined approximately 6%, primarily due to additional competition in the marketplace. This decline continued into the 2007 third quarter and nine month period with average renewal rates declining approximately 15.3% and 11.4%, respectively. We expect these competitive conditions to continue during 2007 resulting in continuing declines in pricing for contractors liability and excess liability business.
In the professional liability market, the enactment of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, together with financial and accounting scandals at publicly traded corporations and the increased frequency of securities- related class action litigation, has led to heightened interest in professional liability insurance generally. Average professional liability renewal premium rates decreased approximately 5.8% and 6.6% in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period, respectively, compared to relatively level renewal rates in 2006 and 2005 after decreasing approximately 3% in 2004 which followed substantial renewal rate increases in 2003 and 2002, particularly for D&O insurance. The D&O insurance premium renewal rates decreased approximately 7.7% and 8.6% in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period, respectively, after decreases of approximately 2% in 2005 and 10% in 2004. We anticipate continuing declines in 2007 pricing given the overall favorable industry underwriting results since 2002 for the professional liability lines of business.

 

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Our business is cyclical and influenced by many factors. These factors include price competition, economic conditions, interest rates, weather-related events and other catastrophes including natural and man-made disasters (for example hurricanes and terrorism), state regulations, court decisions and changes in the law. The incidence and severity of catastrophes are inherently unpredictable. Although we will attempt to manage our exposure to such events, the frequency and severity of catastrophic events could exceed our estimates, which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition. Additionally, because our insurance products must be priced, and premiums charged, before costs have fully developed, our liabilities are required to be estimated and recorded in recognition of future loss and settlement obligations. Due to the inherent uncertainty in estimating these liabilities, we cannot assure you that our actual liabilities will not exceed our recorded amounts.
Catastrophe Risk Management
Our Insurance Companies and Lloyd’s Operations have exposure to losses caused by hurricanes and other natural and man-made catastrophic events. The frequency and severity of catastrophes are unpredictable.
The extent of losses from a catastrophe is a function of both the total amount of insured exposure in an area affected by the event and the severity of the event. We continually assess our concentration of underwriting exposures in catastrophe exposed areas globally and attempt to manage this exposure through individual risk selection and through the purchase of reinsurance. We also use modeling and concentration management tools that allow us to better monitor and control our accumulations of potential losses from catastrophe exposures. Despite these efforts, there remains uncertainty about the characteristics, timing and extent of insured losses given the nature of catastrophes. The occurrence of one or more severe catastrophic events could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s results of operations, financial condition or liquidity.
The Company has significant catastrophe exposures throughout the world with the largest catastrophe exposure for offshore energy risks due to hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico. Based on an assessment made through the end of the 2007 third quarter, the Company believes that its estimated probable maximum pre-tax gross and net loss exposure in a theoretical one in two hundred and fifty year hurricane event in the Gulf of Mexico would approximate $212 million and $30 million, respectively, including the cost of reinsurance reinstatement premiums. There are a number of significant assumptions and related variables related to such an estimate including the size, force and path of the hurricane, the various types of the insured risks exposed to the event at the time the event occurs and the estimated costs or damages incurred for each insured risk. There can be no assurances that the gross and net loss amounts that the Company could incur in such an event or in any hurricanes that may occur in the Gulf of Mexico would not be materially higher than the estimates discussed above given the significant uncertainties with respect to such an estimate.
The occurrence of large loss events could reduce the reinsurance coverage that is available to us and could weaken the financial condition of our reinsurers, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations. Although the reinsurance agreements make the reinsurers liable to us to the extent the risk is transferred or ceded to the reinsurer, ceded reinsurance arrangements do not eliminate our obligation to pay claims to our policyholders. Accordingly, we bear credit risk with respect to our reinsurers. Specifically, our reinsurers may not pay claims made by us on a timely basis, or they may not pay some or all of these claims. Either of these events would increase our costs and could have a material adverse effect on our business. We are required to pay the losses even if a reinsurer fails to meet its obligations under the reinsurance agreement.

 

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Critical Accounting Policies
It is important to understand our accounting policies in order to understand our financial statements. Management considers certain of these policies to be critical to the presentation of the financial results, since they require management to make significant estimates and assumptions. These estimates and assumptions affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues, expenses, and related disclosures at the financial reporting date and throughout the reporting period. Certain of the estimates result from judgments that can be subjective and complex and consequently actual results may differ from these estimates, which would be reflected in future periods.
Our most critical accounting policies involve the reporting of the reserves for losses and LAE (including losses that have occurred but were not reported to us by the financial reporting date), reinsurance recoverables, written and unearned premium, the recoverability of deferred tax assets, the impairment of invested assets, accounting for Lloyd’s results and the translation of foreign currencies.
Reserves for Losses and LAE. Reserves for losses and LAE represent an estimate of the expected cost of the ultimate settlement and administration of losses, based on facts and circumstances then known. Actuarial methodologies are employed to assist in establishing such estimates and include judgments relative to estimates of future claims severity and frequency, length of time to develop to ultimate, judicial theories of liability and other third party factors which are often beyond our control. Due to the inherent uncertainty associated with the reserving process, the ultimate liability may be different from the original estimate. Such estimates are regularly reviewed and updated and any resulting adjustments are included in the current year’s results.
Reinsurance Recoverables. Reinsurance recoverables are established for the portion of the loss reserves that are ceded to reinsurers. Reinsurance recoverables are determined based upon the terms and conditions of reinsurance contracts which could be subject to interpretations that differ from our own based on judicial theories of liability. In addition, we bear credit risk with respect to our reinsurers which can be significant considering that certain of the reserves remain outstanding for an extended period of time. We are required to pay losses even if a reinsurer fails to meet its obligations under the applicable reinsurance agreement.
Written and Unearned Premium. Written premium is recorded based on the insurance policies that have been reported to us and the policies that have been written by agents but not yet reported to us. We must estimate the amount of written premium not yet reported based on judgments relative to current and historical trends of the business being written. Such estimates are regularly reviewed and updated and any resulting adjustments are included in the current year’s results. An unearned premium reserve is established to reflect the unexpired portion of each policy at the financial reporting date.
Substantially all of our business is placed through agents and brokers. Since the vast majority of the Company’s gross written premium is primary or direct as opposed to assumed, the delays in reporting assumed premium generally do not have a significant effect on the Company’s financial statements, since we record estimates for both unreported direct and assumed premium. We also record the ceded portion of the estimated gross written premium and related acquisition costs. The earned gross, ceded and net premiums are calculated based on our earning methodology which is generally pro-rata over the policy period. Losses are also recorded in relation to the earned premium. The estimate for losses incurred on the estimated premium is based on an actuarial calculation consistent with the methodology used to determine incurred but not reported loss reserves for reported premiums.
A portion of the Company’s premium is estimated for unreported premium, mostly for the marine business written by our U.K. Branch and Lloyd’s Operations. We generally do not experience any significant backlog in processing premiums. Such premium estimates are generally based on submission data received from brokers and agents and recorded when the insurance policy or reinsurance contract is written or bound. The estimates are regularly reviewed and updated taking into account the premium received to date versus the estimate and the age of the estimate. To the extent that the actual premium varies from the estimates, the difference, along with the related loss reserves and underwriting expenses, is recorded in current operations.
Deferred Tax Assets. We apply the asset and liability method of accounting for income taxes whereby deferred assets and liabilities are recognized for the future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial statement carrying amounts of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax basis. In assessing the realization of deferred tax assets, management considers whether it is more likely than not that the deferred tax assets will be realized.

 

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Impairment of Investment Securities. Impairment of investment securities results in a charge to operations when a market decline below cost is other-than-temporary. Management regularly reviews our fixed maturity and equity securities portfolios to evaluate the necessity of recording impairment losses for other-than-temporary declines in the fair value of investments. In general, we focus our attention on those securities whose market value was less than 80% of their cost or amortized cost, as appropriate, for six or more consecutive months. Factors considered in evaluating potential impairment include, but are not limited to, the current fair value as compared to cost or amortized cost of the security, as appropriate, the length of time the investment has been below cost or amortized cost and by how much, our intent and ability to retain the investment for a period of time sufficient to allow for an anticipated recovery in value, specific credit issues related to the issuer and current economic conditions. Other-than-temporary impairment losses result in a permanent reduction of the cost basis of the underlying investment. Significant changes in the factors we consider when evaluating investments for impairment losses could result in a significant change in impairment losses reported in the consolidated financial statements.
As mentioned above, the Company considers its intent and ability to hold a security until the value recovers as part of the process of evaluating whether a security’s unrealized loss represents an other-than- temporary decline. The Company’s ability to hold such securities is supported by sufficient cash flow from its operations and from maturities within its investment portfolio in order to meet its claims payment and other disbursement obligations arising from its underwriting operations without selling such investments. With respect to securities where the decline in value is determined to be temporary and the security’s value is not written down, a subsequent decision may be made to sell that security and realize a loss. Subsequent decisions on security sales are made within the context of overall risk monitoring, changing information, market conditions and assessing value relative to other comparable securities. Management of the Company’s investment portfolio is outsourced to third party investment managers. While these investment managers may, at a given point in time, believe that the preferred course of action is to hold securities with unrealized losses that are considered temporary until such losses are recovered, the dynamic nature of the portfolio management may result in a subsequent decision to sell the security and realize the loss, based upon a change in market and other factors described above. The Company believes that subsequent decisions to sell such securities are consistent with the classification of the Company’s portfolio as available for sale.
Investment managers are required to notify management of rating agency downgrades of securities in their portfolios as well as any potential investment valuation issues at the end of each quarter. Investment managers are also required to notify management to the extent the investment manager is contemplating a transaction or transactions that may result in a realized loss above a certain threshold. Additionally, investment managers are required to notify management if they are contemplating a transaction or transactions that may result in any realized loss up until a certain period beyond the close of a quarterly accounting period.
Accounting for Lloyd’s Results. We record our pro rata share of Syndicate 1221’s assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses, after making adjustments to convert Lloyd’s accounting to U.S. GAAP. The most significant GAAP adjustments relate to income recognition. Lloyd’s syndicates determine underwriting results by year of account at the end of three years. We record adjustments to recognize underwriting results as incurred, including the expected ultimate cost of losses incurred. These adjustments to losses are based on actuarial analysis of syndicate accounts, including forecasts of expected ultimate losses provided by the syndicate. At the end of the Lloyd’s three-year period for determining underwriting results for an account year, the syndicate will close the account year by reinsuring outstanding claims on that account year with the participants for the account’s next underwriting year. The amount to close an underwriting year into the next year is referred to as the reinsurance to close (“RITC”). The RITC transaction is recorded in the fourth quarter as additional written and earned premium, losses incurred, loss reserves and receivables, all in the same amount. There are no gains or losses recorded on the RITC transaction.

 

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Translation of Foreign Currencies. Financial statements of subsidiaries expressed in foreign currencies are translated into U.S. dollars in accordance with SFAS No. 52, Foreign Currency Translation, issued by the FASB. Under SFAS 52, functional currency assets and liabilities are translated into U.S. dollars using period end rates of exchange and the related translation adjustments are recorded as a separate component of accumulated other comprehensive income. Statement of income amounts expressed in functional currencies are translated using average exchange rates.
Results of Operations
The following is a discussion and analysis of our consolidated and segment results of operations for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006. All earnings per share data is presented on a per diluted share basis.
Net income for the three months ended September 30, 2007 was $25.0 million or $1.47 per share compared to $18.3 million or $1.09 per share for the three months ended September 30, 2006. Included in these results were net realized capital gains (losses) of $0.00 per share and $(0.01) per share for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.
Net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 was $69.1 million or $4.07 per share compared to $52.0 million or $3.09 per share for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. Included in these results were net realized capital gains (losses) of $0.04 per share and $(0.03) per share for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.
The combined ratios, which consist of the sum of the loss and LAE ratio and the expense ratio for each period, for the 2007 third quarter and nine month period were 86.6% and 87.4%, respectively, compared to 87.4% for the 2006 third quarter and 87.9% for the first nine months of 2006. The combined ratios for the 2007 third quarter and nine month period were reduced by 7.8 and 6.7 loss ratio points, respectively, for net loss reserve redundancies of $12.2 million and $29.6 million, respectively, relating to prior periods. The combined ratios for the 2006 third quarter and nine month period were reduced by 5.1 and 3.8 loss ratio points, respectively, for net loss reserve redundancies of $6.0 million and $12.7 million, respectively, relating to prior periods. The net paid loss and LAE ratios for the 2007 third quarter and nine month period were 29.6% and 31.1%, respectively, compared to 35.9% for the 2006 third quarter and 34.6% for the first nine months of 2006.
The 2007 third quarter and nine month period included incurred losses of $2.0 million or 1.3 loss ratio points and $5.6 million or 1.3 loss ratio points for U.K. flood losses. Approximately $4.0 million was recorded for property losses and $1.6 million for cargo losses for the two events that occurred in the 2007 second and third quarters.
Cash flow from operations was $231.3 million for the first nine months of 2007 compared to $88.1 million for the comparable period in 2006. The positive cash flow contributed to the growth in invested assets and net investment income.
Consolidated stockholders’ equity increased 14% to $626.5 million or $37.17 per share at September 30, 2007 compared to $551.3 million or $32.94 per share at December 31, 2006. The increase was primarily due to net income of $69.1 million for the first nine months of 2007.
Revenues. Gross written premium increased to $246.0 million and $823.4 million in the third quarter and first nine months of 2007, respectively, from $221.7 million and $737.8 million in the third quarter and first nine months of 2006, increases of 11% and 12%, respectively. The growth in the 2007 gross written premium generally reflects a combination of business expansion in both new and existing lines of business, partially offset by the effect of premium rate changes on renewal policies on certain lines of business. As discussed below under Lloyd’s Operations Gross Written Premium, the 2007 third quarter and nine month period gross written premium excludes advance premium, however advance premium was recorded as gross written premium in our Lloyd’s Operations in the 2006 third quarter and nine month period. The inclusion or exclusion of advance premium in gross written premium has no impact on revenues or net income for either accounting period since premiums are earned commencing with the effective date of an insurance policy.

 

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The premium rate changes discussed elsewhere in this document for marine, specialty and professional liability are calculated primarily by comparing premium amounts on policies that have renewed. The premiums are judgmentally adjusted for exposure factors when deemed significant and sometimes represent an aggregation of several lines of business. The rate change calculations provide an indicated pricing trend and are not meant to be a precise analysis of the numerous factors that affect premium rates or the adequacy of such rates to cover all underwriting costs and generate an underwriting profit. The calculation can also be affected quarter by quarter depending on the particular policies and the number of policies that renew during that period. Due to market conditions, these rate changes may or may not apply to new business which is generally more competitively priced compared to renewal business.
The following tables set forth our gross and net written premium and net earned premium by segment and line of business for the periods indicated:

 

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    Three Months Ended September 30,  
    2007     2006  
    Gross             Net     Net     Gross             Net     Net  
    Written             Written     Earned     Written             Written     Earned  
    Premium     %     Premium     Premium     Premium     %     Premium     Premium  
    ($ in thousands)  
Insurance Companies:
                                                               
 
                                                               
Marine
  $ 53,040       21.5 %   $ 24,207     $ 29,520     $ 54,116       24.3 %   $ 24,566     $ 29,291  
 
                                                               
Specialty
    95,627       38.9 %     68,441       62,796       85,675       38.7 %     52,923       45,234  
 
                                                               
Professional Liability
    24,546       10.0 %     14,447       14,184       22,848       10.3 %     13,450       10,938  
 
                                                               
Other
    4,845       2.0 %     2,582       2,560       1,034       0.5 %     249       31  
 
                                               
 
                                                               
Insurance Companies Total
    178,058       72.4 %     109,677       109,060       163,673       73.8 %     91,188       85,494  
 
                                               
 
                                                               
Lloyd’s Operations:
                                                               
 
                                                               
Marine
    50,060       20.3 %     37,373       41,607       44,962       20.3 %     23,743       29,126  
 
                                                               
Professional Liability
    9,639       3.9 %     8,692       4,587       9,015       4.1 %     3,381       1,525  
 
                                                               
Other
    8,204       3.4 %     3,360       784       3,803       1.7 %     725       (449 )
 
                                               
 
                                                               
Lloyd’s Operations Total
    67,903       27.6 %     49,425       46,978       57,780       26.1 %     27,849       30,202  
 
                                               
 
                                                               
Intercompany elimination
          0.0 %                 214       0.1 %            
 
                                               
 
                                                               
Total
  $ 245,961       100.0 %   $ 159,102     $ 156,038     $ 221,667       100.0 %   $ 119,037     $ 115,696  
 
                                               

 

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    Nine Months Ended September 30,  
    2007     2006  
    Gross             Net     Net     Gross             Net     Net  
    Written             Written     Earned     Written             Written     Earned  
    Premium     %     Premium     Premium     Premium     %     Premium     Premium  
    ($ in thousands)  
Insurance Companies:
                                                               
 
                                                               
Marine
  $ 205,296       24.9 %   $ 105,453     $ 96,531     $ 209,928       28.5 %   $ 101,891     $ 80,679  
 
                                                               
Specialty
    289,383       35.2 %     194,109       175,326       219,843       29.8 %     136,246       121,133  
 
                                                               
Professional Liability
    69,379       8.4 %     41,406       40,555       65,164       8.8 %     34,894       29,494  
 
                                                               
Other
    21,434       2.6 %     14,830       8,195       1,281       0.2 %     246       28  
 
                                               
 
                                                               
Insurance Companies Total
    585,492       71.1 %     355,798       320,607       496,216       67.3 %     273,277       231,334  
 
                                               
 
                                                               
Lloyd’s Operations:
                                                               
 
                                                               
Marine
    183,661       22.3 %     109,899       103,953       202,074       27.4 %     107,026       99,029  
 
                                                               
Professional Liability
    25,651       3.1 %     18,201       9,498       16,104       2.1 %     6,326       2,130  
 
                                                               
Other
    28,567       3.5 %     9,573       6,643       23,422       3.2 %     5,082       1,466  
 
                                               
 
                                                               
Lloyd’s Operations Total
    237,879       28.9 %     137,673       120,094       241,600       32.7 %     118,434       102,625  
 
                                               
 
                                                               
Intercompany elimination
          0.0 %                       0.0 %            
 
                                               
 
                                                               
Total
  $ 823,371       100.0 %   $ 493,471     $ 440,701     $ 737,816       100.0 %   $ 391,711     $ 333,959  
 
                                               

 

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Gross Written Premium
Insurance Companies’ Gross Written Premium
Marine Premium. The gross written premium for the first nine months of 2007 consisted of 31.4% marine liability, 20.9% offshore energy, 9.7% cargo, 7.4% transport, 10.5% protection and indemnity (P&I) and 8.3% bluewater hull with the remainder in several other marine related classes of business.
The marine gross written premium for the 2007 third quarter and nine month period decreased 2.0% and 2.2%, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2006 reflecting flattening or declining premium in several classes of business due to increased competitive market conditions. The average renewal premium rates during the 2007 third quarter decreased 1.7% and the nine month period was flat. We expect continuing pricing declines in 2007 for marine business, including offshore energy business, as additional capacity re-enters the marine market.
Specialty Premium. The gross written premium for the first nine months of 2007 consisted of 48.0% contractors liability business, 15.5% excess casualty business, 11.4% primary casualty business, 13.1% commercial middle markets business, 2.5% personal umbrella business and 9.5% other targeted commercial risks.
The specialty gross written premium for the 2007 third quarter and nine month period increased 11.6% and 31.6%, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2006 reflecting growth across all lines of business including premiums generated from our primary casualty business which started in the 2006 third quarter. The average renewal premium rates decreased by approximately 15.3% and 11.4% for the contractors liability business in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period, respectively. The recent premium rate decreases for the contractors liability business and generally for the specialty lines of business are reflective of softening market conditions which are expected to continue throughout 2007.
Professional Liability Premium. The gross written premium for the first nine months of 2007 consisted of 66.6% D&O liability coverage for privately held and publicly traded corporations, 26.0% professional liability coverage for lawyers and other professionals and 7.4% professional liability coverage for architects and engineers.
The professional liability gross written premium for the 2007 third quarter and nine month period increased 7.4% and 6.5%, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2006. The average overall renewal premium rates for the professional liability business decreased by approximately 5.8% and 6.6% in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period, respectively. D&O renewal premium rates, included in the overall professional liability rate change, also decreased by approximately 7.7% and 8.6% in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period, respectively. We anticipate continuing declines in 2007 pricing given the overall favorable industry underwriting results for this business.
Other Premium. The gross written premium for the 2007 third quarter and nine month period includes inland marine business and European property business written by the U.K. Branch, which were both started by the Company in 2006.
Lloyd’s Operations’ Gross Written Premium
Our gross written premium is based on the amount of Syndicate 1221’s stamp capacity that we provide. Our percentage of participation in the stamp capacity is 100% for both 2007 and 2006. Stamp capacity is a measure of the amount of premium a Lloyd’s syndicate is authorized to write based on a business plan approved by the Council of Lloyd’s. Syndicate 1221’s stamp capacity is £140.0 million ($278.2 million) in 2007 compared to £123.5 million ($224.8 million) in 2006.

 

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Gross written premium increased 17.5% and net written premium increased 77.5% in the 2007 third quarter compared to the 2006 third quarter. Gross written premium and net written premium decreased approximately 1.5% and increased 16.2%, respectively, for the first nine months of 2007 compared to the same period in 2006. Commencing in 2007, advance premium has been excluded from gross written premium of our Lloyd’s Operations and deferred to future periods where it will be recorded in the quarterly periods which correspond to the applicable effective dates of the insurance policies. Advance premium represents gross written premium on bound policies with effective dates subsequent to the end of the quarter. Advance premiums of approximately $11.1 million were excluded from gross written premium for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, while advance premiums included in gross written premium for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 were approximately $4.2 million. The Lloyd’s Operations gross written premium for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006 excluding advance premiums were $63.0 million and $237.4 million, respectively.
The 2007 advance premium amounts, net of commissions, have been included in other liabilities on the September 30, 2007 balance sheet. The inclusion of such amounts in gross written premium in 2006 and exclusion of such amounts in the 2007 gross written premium had no impact on revenues or net income for either accounting period since premiums are earned commencing with the effective date of an insurance policy.
Marine Premium. The gross written premium for the first nine months of 2007 consisted of 31.6% cargo and specie, 22.5% offshore energy and 18.4% marine liability with the remainder in several other marine related classes of business.
The marine gross written premium for the 2007 third quarter and nine month period increased 11.3% and decreased 9.1%, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2006. The changes were due to the combination of flattening or declining premium in several classes of business due to increased competitive market conditions and the timing of the recording of advance premium discussed above. The average renewal premium rates decreased approximately 3.3% for the 2007 third quarter and were flat for the nine month period. We expect overall flat to moderate declines in 2007 pricing for marine business, including offshore energy business, as additional capacity re-enters the marine market.
Professional Liability Premium. The gross written premium for the first nine months of 2007 consisted of 45% D&O liability coverage for privately held and publicly traded corporations and 55% professional liability coverage for lawyers and other professionals.
Other Premium. The gross written premium for the 2007 third quarter and nine month period consisted of European property business, and engineering and construction business which provides coverage for construction projects including machinery, equipment and loss of use due to delays and of premium for onshore energy business which principally focuses on the oil and gas, chemical and petrochemical industries with coverages primarily for property damage and business interruption.
Ceded Written Premium. In the ordinary course of business, we reinsure certain insurance risks with unaffiliated insurance companies for the purpose of limiting our maximum loss exposure, protecting against catastrophic losses, and maintaining desired ratios of net premiums written to statutory surplus. The relationship of ceded to written premium varies based upon the types of business written and whether the business is written by the Insurance Companies or the Lloyd’s Operations.

 

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The following tables set forth our ceded written premium by segment and major line of business for the periods indicated:
                                 
    Three Months Ended September 30,  
    2007     2006  
            % of             % of  
    Ceded     Gross     Ceded     Gross  
    Written     Written     Written     Written  
    Premium     Premium     Premium     Premium  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
                               
Insurance Companies:
                               
Marine
  $ 28,833       54.4 %   $ 29,550       54.6 %
Specialty
    27,186       28.4 %     32,752       38.2 %
Professional Liability
    10,099       41.1 %     9,398       41.1 %
Other
    2,263                 NM     785                 NM
 
                       
Subtotal
    68,381       38.4 %     72,485       44.3 %
 
                       
 
                               
Lloyd’s Operations:
                               
Marine
    12,687       25.3 %     21,219       47.2 %
Professional Liability
    947       9.8 %     5,634       62.5 %
Other
    4,844       59.0 %     3,078       80.9 %
 
                       
Subtotal
    18,478       27.2 %     29,931       51.8 %
 
                       
 
                               
Intercompany elimination
                    NM     214                 NM
 
                       
 
                               
Total
  $ 86,859       35.3 %   $ 102,630       46.3 %
 
                       
NM = not meaningful

 

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    Nine Months Ended September 30,  
    2007     2006  
            % of             % of  
    Ceded     Gross     Ceded     Gross  
    Written     Written     Written     Written  
    Premium     Premium     Premium     Premium  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
                               
Insurance Companies:
                               
Marine
  $ 99,843       48.6 %   $ 108,037       51.5 %
Specialty
    95,274       32.9 %     83,597       38.0 %
Professional Liability
    27,973       40.3 %     30,270       46.5 %
Other
    6,604       30.8 %     1,035       80.8 %
 
                       
Subtotal
    229,694       39.2 %     222,939       44.9 %
 
                       
 
                               
Lloyd’s Operations:
                               
Marine
    73,762       40.2 %     95,048       47.0 %
Professional Liability
    7,450       29.0 %     9,778       60.7 %
Other
    18,994       66.5 %     18,340       78.3 %
 
                       
Subtotal
    100,206       42.1 %     123,166       51.0 %
 
                       
 
                               
Intercompany elimination
                    NM                     NM
 
                       
 
                               
Total
  $ 329,900       40.1 %   $ 346,105       46.9 %
 
                       
NM = not meaningful
The ratios of total ceded written premium to gross written premium in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period were 35.3% and 40.1%, respectively, compared to the 2006 third quarter and nine month period ratios of 46.3% and 46.9%, respectively. The decrease in the ratio of ceded written premium to gross written premium for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 compared to the same periods in 2006 was due to a combination of the following factors:
 
Modest reductions in the amounts of marine reinsurance ceded on a pro rata basis by the Insurance Companies.
 
 
Reductions in the amount of business ceded on a pro rata basis by the Lloyd’s Operations coupled with reductions in reinsurer participation in our Syndicate 1221 stamp capacity. The 2007 third quarter ceded written premium of the Lloyd’s Operations was reduced by approximately $6.4 million for ceded written premium amounts that were over estimated in prior accounting periods mostly recorded during the six months ended 2007. The estimate change which results in a higher relationship of net premiums retained to gross written premium in the 2007 third quarter was not material to the current and prior quarterly accounting periods.
 
 
An increase in the proportion of specialty gross premiums, in which we retain a higher proportion of premium relative to our other lines, to the overall total amount. In addition, effective April 1, 2007, the Company increased its net retention from $500,000 to $1 million for the contractors liability business which reduced the amount of premium ceded. Somewhat offsetting retaining more contractors liability premium, the Company generally reinsures a large percentage of its new lines of business and increases its retention as the business matures over time.
 
 
Increases in our net retentions on the professional liability pro rata reinsurance treaty which renewed April 1, 2006. No changes to retentions occurred for the April 1, 2007 renewal.

 

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Net Written Premium. Net written premium increased 33.7% and 26.0% in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2006, primarily due to business expansion in the Navigators Insurance Company’s specialty business unit and the Lloyd’s Operations’ marine and professional liability businesses. In addition, the rate of growth in net written premium exceeds the rate of growth in gross written premium as we are retaining more of our business as discussed above.
Net Earned Premium. Net earned premium, which generally lags the increase in net written premium, increased 34.9% and 32.0% in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2006, as a result of the increased net written premium discussed above.
Commission Income. Commission income from unaffiliated business was $0.1 million and $1.0 million in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period, respectively, compared to $0.6 million and $2.5 million in the 2006 third quarter and nine month period, respectively. The declines in the 2007 periods were primarily due to the elimination of the marine pool as of January 1, 2006 resulting in a decline in unaffiliated commission income from the pool.
Net Investment Income. Net investment income increased 22% and 25% in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2006, due to the increase in invested assets as a result of the positive cash flow from operations.
Net Realized Capital Gains and Losses. Pre-tax net income included a net realized capital loss of $66,000 for the 2007 third quarter compared to a net realized capital loss of $151,000 for the 2006 third quarter. On an after-tax basis, the 2007 third quarter net realized capital loss was $49,000 or $0.00 per share compared to a net realized capital loss of $104,000 or $0.01 per share for the 2006 third quarter. Pre-tax net income included a net realized capital gain of $975,000 for the first nine months of 2007 compared to a net realized capital loss of $767,000 for the first nine months of 2006. On an after-tax basis, the net realized capital gain was $626,000 or $0.04 per share for the first nine months of 2007 compared to a net realized capital loss of $520,000 or $0.03 per share for the first nine months of 2006.
Other Income/(Expense). Other income/(expense) for the third quarters and first nine months of both 2007 and 2006 consisted primarily of foreign exchange gains and losses from our Lloyd’s Operations and inspection fees related to the specialty insurance business.
Operating Expenses
Net Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses Incurred. The ratios of net losses and LAE incurred to net earned premium (loss ratios) for the 2007 and 2006 third quarters were 56.4% and 55.7%, respectively, and 56.5% and 57.9% for the first nine months of 2007 and 2006, respectively. The loss ratios for the third quarter of 2007 and 2006 were favorably impacted by 7.8 and 5.1 loss ratio points, respectively, resulting from a redundancy of prior period loss reserves. The loss ratios for the first nine months of 2007 and 2006 were favorably impacted by 6.7 and 3.8 loss ratio points, respectively, also resulting from a redundancy of prior period loss reserves.
The 2007 third quarter and nine month loss ratios both included 1.3 loss ratio points for U.K. flood losses in the Insurance Companies property line of business and Lloyd’s marine line of business (principally cargo losses), respectively.

 

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The following table sets forth gross reserves for losses and LAE reduced for reinsurance recoverable on such amounts resulting in net loss and LAE reserves (a non-GAAP measure reconciled in the following table):
                 
    September 30,     December 31,  
    2007     2006  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
               
Gross reserves for losses and LAE
  $ 1,645,542     $ 1,607,555  
Less: Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and LAE reserves
    837,545       911,439  
 
           
Net loss and LAE reserves
  $ 807,997     $ 696,116  
 
           
The following tables set forth our net reported loss and LAE reserves and net IBNR reserves by segment and line of business as of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006 (a non-GAAP measure reconciled above):
                                 
    September 30, 2007  
    Net     Net     Total     % of IBNR  
    Reported     IBNR     Net Loss     to Total Net  
    Reserves     Reserves     Reserves     Loss Reserves  
    ($ in thousands)        
 
                               
Insurance Companies:
                               
Marine
  $ 90,345     $ 100,760     $ 191,105       52.7 %
Specialty
                               
Construction liability
    37,272       201,172       238,444       84.4 %
All other liability
    24,436       57,223       81,659       70.1 %
 
                         
Total Specialty
    61,708       258,395       320,103       80.7 %
 
                         
 
                               
Professional liability
    21,820       46,299       68,119       68.0 %
Other
    12,615       12,402       25,017       49.6 %
 
                         
 
                               
Total Insurance Companies
    186,488       417,856       604,344       69.1 %
 
                         
 
                               
Lloyd’s Operations:
                               
Marine
    81,582       91,688       173,270       52.9 %
Other
    8,464       21,919       30,383       72.1 %
 
                         
 
                               
Total Lloyd’s Operations
    90,046       113,607       203,653       55.8 %
 
                         
 
                               
Total Company
  $ 276,534     $ 531,463     $ 807,997       65.8 %
 
                         

 

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    December 31, 2006  
    Net     Net     Total     % of IBNR  
    Reported     IBNR     Net Loss     to Total Net  
    Reserves     Reserves     Reserves     Loss Reserves  
    ($ in thousands)        
 
                               
Insurance Companies:
                               
Marine
  $ 83,295     $ 96,098     $ 179,393       53.6 %
Specialty
                               
Construction liability
    40,070       166,179       206,249       80.6 %
All other liability
    15,214       39,381       54,595       72.1 %
 
                         
Total Specialty
    55,284       205,560       260,844       78.8 %
 
                         
 
                               
Professional liability
    14,013       37,558       51,571       72.8 %
Other
    9,867       9,432       19,299       48.9 %
 
                         
 
                               
Total Insurance Companies
    162,459       348,648       511,107       68.2 %
 
                         
 
                               
Lloyd’s Operations:
                               
Marine
    77,621       95,876       173,497       55.3 %
Other
    3,103       8,409       11,512       73.0 %
 
                         
 
                               
Total Lloyd’s Operations
    80,724       104,285       185,009       56.4 %
 
                         
 
                               
Total Company
  $ 243,183     $ 452,933     $ 696,116       65.1 %
 
                         
The recoverable amounts above do not include $84.0 million and $108.9 million of reinsurance recoverable for paid losses at September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, respectively, of which $27.8 million and $66.6 million, respectively, related to the gross loss payments for Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.
With the recording of gross losses, the Company assesses its reinsurance coverage, potential receivables, and the recoverability of the receivables. Losses incurred on business recently written are primarily covered by reinsurance agreements written by companies with whom the Company is currently doing reinsurance business and whose credit the Company continues to assess in the normal course of business.
Our overall reinsurance recoverable amounts for paid and unpaid losses have declined during 2007 as the Company continues to bill and collect its recoverables for Hurricanes Katrina and Rita loss payments and retains more of its business:

 

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                    Nine  
    September 30,     December 31,     Month  
    2007     2006     Change  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
                       
Reinsurance recoverables:
                       
Paid losses
  $ 84,043     $ 108,878     $ (24,835 )
Unpaid losses and LAE reserves
    837,545       911,439       (73,894 )
 
                 
Total
  $ 921,588     $ 1,020,317     $ (98,729 )
 
                 
Our reserving practices and the establishment of any particular reserve reflect management’s judgment concerning sound financial practice and do not represent any admission of liability with respect to any claims made against us. No assurance can be given that actual claims made and related payments will not be in excess of the amounts reserved. During the loss settlement period, it often becomes necessary to refine and adjust the estimates of liability on a claim either upward or downward. Even after such adjustments, ultimate liability may exceed or be less than the revised estimates.
There are a number of factors that could cause actual losses and loss adjustment expenses to differ materially from the amount that we have reserved for losses and loss adjustment expenses.
The process of establishing loss reserves is complex and imprecise as it must take into account many variables that are subject to the outcome of future events. As a result, informed subjective judgments as to our ultimate exposure to losses are an integral component of our loss reserving process.
IBNR loss reserves are calculated by the Company’s actuaries using several standard actuarial methodologies, including the paid and incurred loss development and the paid and incurred Bornheutter-Ferguson loss methods. Additional analyses, such as frequency/severity analyses, are performed for certain books of business.
While an annual loss reserve study is conducted for each line of business, the timing of such studies varies throughout the year. Additionally, a review of the emergence of actual losses relative to expectations for each line of business is conducted each quarter. A separate analysis of our asbestos and environmental liability exposures is also performed annually and updated quarterly. Any adjustments that result from this review are recorded in the quarter in which they are identified.
The actuarial methods generally utilize analysis of historical patterns of the development of paid and reported losses for each line of business by underwriting year. This process relies on the basic assumption that past experience, adjusted for the effects of current developments and likely trends, is an appropriate basis for predicting future outcomes. This basic assumption is particularly relevant for our marine and energy business written by our Insurance Companies and Lloyd’s Operations where we generally rely on the substantial loss development data accumulated over many years to establish IBNR loss reserves for immature underwriting years.
For certain long tail classes of business where anticipated loss experience is less predictable because of the small number of claims and/or erratic claim severity patterns, estimates are based on both expected losses and actual reported losses. These classes include our contractors liability business and directors and officers liability business, among others. For these classes, we set ultimate losses for each underwriting year reflecting several factors, including our evaluation of loss trends and the current risk environment. The expected ultimate losses are adjusted as the underwriting year matures.

 

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While we have a significant amount of loss development data that is utilized by our actuaries to establish the IBNR loss reserves for our contractors liability business, there have been significant changes relating to this product and its market that could affect the applicability of our data. For example, one factor that may affect reserves and claim frequency is legislation implemented in California, which generally provides consumers who experience construction defects a method other than litigation to obtain defect repairs. The law, which became effective July 1, 2002 with a sunset provision effective January 1, 2011, provides for an alternative dispute resolution system that attempts to involve all parties to the claim at an early stage. This legislation may impact claim severity, frequency and length of settlement assumptions underlying our reserves. Accordingly, our ultimate liability may exceed or be less than current estimates due to this variable, among others. There were approximately 1,062 contractors liability claims open at September 30, 2007 compared to 1,060 at December 31, 2006.
The professional liability business generates third-party claims which also are longer tail in nature. The professional liability policies mostly provide coverage on a claims-made basis, whereby coverage is generally provided only for those claims that are made during the policy period. These claims often involve a lengthy litigation period after being reported. Our professional liability business is relatively immature, as we first began writing the business in late 2001. Accordingly, it will take some time to better understand the reserve trends on this business. Given the limited history of this business, the actuaries generally utilize industry data to initially establish IBNR loss reserves, which are subsequently adjusted based on actual and expected claim emergence as each underwriting year matures. There were approximately 1,047 professional liability claims open at September 30, 2007 compared to 944 at December 31, 2006.
At the start of each underwriting year, our actuaries and management determine an initial selected ultimate loss ratio for each line of business. Management participation generally includes the underwriter for the particular line of business, executive management, and claims and finance personnel. Generally, such determinations are based on prior year history modified where deemed appropriate for observed changes in premium rates, terms, conditions, exposures, and loss trends. Industry data is generally utilized for new lines of business.
As underwriting years age, for each subsequent quarter and following years, our actuaries, with management, continue to update and refine their estimates of selected ultimate loss ratios for each line of business, by underwriting year, using the actuarial methods referred to above and incorporating relevant factors that generally include actual loss development, recent claims activity, number and dollar amount of open claims, risk characteristics of the particular line of business, the potential effects of changes in underwriting and claims procedures, historic performance relative to expectations and the relationship of the IBNR reserve levels across underwriting years and between similar lines of business. The output of this process results in refinements to the ultimate loss ratios. Such refinements to the ultimate loss ratios for the prior underwriting years generate prior year redundancies or deficiencies recorded in the year such refinements are made.
Asbestos Liability. Our exposure to asbestos liability principally stems from marine liability insurance written on an occurrence basis during the mid-1980s. In general, our participation on such risks is in the excess layers, which requires the underlying coverage to be exhausted prior to coverage being triggered in our layer. In many instances we are one of many insurers who participate in the defense and ultimate settlement of these claims, and we are generally a minor participant in the overall insurance coverage and settlement.
The reserves for asbestos exposures at September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006 are for: (i) the 2005 fourth quarter settlements of two large claims aggregating approximately $28 million for excess insurance policy limits exposed to class action suits against two insureds involved in the manufacturing or distribution of asbestos products, each settlement is being paid over a two year period that started in 2006; (ii) the 2004 settlement of a large claim approximating $25 million exposed to a class action suit which settlement is being paid over a seven year period that started in June 2005; (iii) other insureds not directly involved in the manufacturing or distribution of asbestos products, but that have more than incidental asbestos exposure for their purchase or use of products that contained asbestos; and (iv) attritional asbestos claims that could be expected to occur over time. Substantially all of our asbestos liability reserves are included in our marine loss reserves.
The Company believes that there are no remaining known claims where it would suffer a material loss as a result of excess policy limits being exposed to class action suits for insureds involved in the manufacturing or distribution of asbestos products. There can be no assurances, however, that material loss development may not arise in the future from existing asbestos claims or new claims given the evolving and complex legal environment that may directly impact the outcome of the asbestos exposures of our insureds.

 

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The following tables set forth our gross and net loss and LAE reserves for our asbestos exposures for the periods indicated, which we believe are subject to uncertainties greater than those presented by other types of claims:
                 
    Nine Months Ended     Year Ended  
    September 30, 2007     December 31, 2006  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
               
Gross of Reinsurance
               
Beginning gross reserves
  $ 37,171     $ 56,838  
Incurred losses & LAE
    (91 )     246  
Calendar year payments
    13,169       19,913  
 
           
Ending gross reserves
  $ 23,911     $ 37,171  
 
           
 
               
Gross case loss reserves
  $ 16,031     $ 29,291  
Gross IBNR loss reserves
    7,880       7,880  
 
           
Ending gross reserves
  $ 23,911     $ 37,171  
 
           
 
               
Net of Reinsurance
               
Beginning net reserves
  $ 21,381     $ 30,372  
Incurred losses & LAE
    1,870       229  
Calendar year payments
    5,816       9,220  
 
           
Ending net reserves
  $ 17,435     $ 21,381  
 
           
 
               
Net case loss reserves
  $ 9,732     $ 13,678  
Net IBNR loss reserves
    7,703       7,703  
 
           
Ending net reserves
  $ 17,435     $ 21,381  
 
           
To the extent the Company incurs additional gross loss development for its historic asbestos exposure the Company’s allowance for uncollectible reinsurance would increase for the reinsurers that are insolvent, in run-off or otherwise no longer active in the reinsurance business. The Company continues to believe that it will be able to collect reinsurance on the gross portion of its historic gross asbestos exposure in the above table. Net loss development for gross asbestos exposure was not significant in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 or 2006.
At September 30, 2007, the ceded asbestos paid and unpaid recoverables were $15.9 million compared to $23.5 million at December 31, 2006. During the 2007 second quarter, the Company increased its provision for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables for asbestos losses by $1.6 million.
Loss reserves for environmental losses generally consist of oil spill claims on marine liability policies written in the ordinary course of business. Net loss reserves for such exposures are included in our marine loss reserves and are not separately identified.

 

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Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. During the 2005 third quarter, the Company recorded gross and net loss estimates of $471 million and $22.3 million, respectively, exclusive of $14.5 million for the cost of excess of loss reinstatement premiums related to Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.
The following tables set forth our gross and net loss and LAE reserves, incurred loss and LAE, and payments for Hurricanes Katrina and Rita for the periods indicated:
                 
    Nine Months Ended     Year Ended  
    September 30, 2007     December 31, 2006  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
               
Gross of Reinsurance
               
Beginning gross reserves
  $ 319,230     $ 465,728  
Incurred loss & LAE
    (15,004 )      
Calendar year payments
    115,885       146,498  
 
           
Ending gross reserves
  $ 188,341     $ 319,230  
 
           
 
               
Gross case loss reserves
  $ 75,938     $ 172,916  
Gross IBNR loss reserves
    112,403       146,314  
 
           
Ending gross reserves
  $ 188,341     $ 319,230  
 
           
 
               
Net of Reinsurance
               
Beginning net reserves
  $ 10,003     $ 19,408  
Incurred loss & LAE
    (1,154 )      
Calendar year payments
    3,524       9,405  
 
           
Ending net reserves
  $ 5,325     $ 10,003  
 
           
 
               
Net case loss reserves
  $ 1,103     $ 3,628  
Net IBNR loss reserves
    4,222       6,375  
 
           
Ending net reserves
  $ 5,325     $ 10,003  
 
           
Our management believes that the estimates for the reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses are adequate to cover the ultimate cost of losses and loss adjustment expenses on reported and unreported claims. However, it is possible that the ultimate liability may exceed or be less than such estimates. To the extent that reserves are deficient or redundant, the amount of such deficiency or redundancy is treated as a charge or credit to earnings in the period in which the deficiency or redundancy is identified. We continue to review all of our loss reserves, including our asbestos reserves and Hurricanes Katrina and Rita reserves, on a regular basis.
Commission Expense. Commission expense paid to unaffiliated brokers and agents is generally based on a percentage of the gross written premium and is reduced by ceding commissions the Company may receive on the ceded written premium. Commissions are generally deferred and recorded as deferred policy acquisition costs to the extent that they relate to unearned premium. The ratios of commission expense to net earned premiums in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period were 12.6% and 12.3%, respectively, compared to 11.9% and 12.3% for the comparable periods in 2006.
Other Operating Expenses. The 23.0% and 35.7% increases in other operating expenses in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period compared to the same periods in 2006 were attributable primarily to employee-related expenses resulting from expansion of the business and investments in technology to support this growth. Included in other operating expenses for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 were $1.6 million and $4.9 million, respectively, in the aggregate for employee stock options, stock grants and stock appreciation rights expense compared to $2.6 million and $4.4 million for the comparable periods in 2006.

 

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Income Taxes. The income tax expense was $11.5 million and $8.5 million for the third quarters of 2007 and 2006, respectively, resulting in effective tax rates of 31.4% and 31.8%, respectively. The income tax expense was $32.2 million and $24.9 million for the first nine months of 2007 and 2006, respectively, resulting in effective tax rates of 31.8% and 32.4%, respectively. The Company’s effective tax rate is less than 35% due to permanent differences between book and tax return income, with the most significant item being tax exempt interest. As of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, the net deferred Federal, foreign, state and local tax assets were $31.4 million and $30.4 million, respectively.
We are subject to the tax regulations of the United States and foreign countries in which we operate. The Company files a consolidated federal tax return, which includes all domestic subsidiaries and the U.K. Branch. The income from the foreign operations is designated as either U.S. connected income or non-U.S. connected income. Lloyd’s is required to pay U.S. income tax on U.S. connected income written by Lloyd’s syndicates. Lloyd’s and the IRS have entered into an agreement whereby the amount of tax due on U.S. connected income is calculated by Lloyd’s and remitted directly to the IRS. These amounts are then charged to the corporate members in proportion to their participation in the relevant syndicates. The Company’s corporate members are subject to this agreement and will receive U.K. tax credits for any U.S. income tax incurred up to the U.K. income tax charge on the U.S. income. The non-U.S. connected insurance income would generally constitute taxable income under the Subpart F income section of the Internal Revenue Code since less than 50% of the Company’s premium is derived within the U.K. and would therefore be subject to U.S. taxation when the Lloyd’s year of account closes. Taxes are accrued at a 35% rate on our foreign source insurance income and foreign tax credits, where available, are utilized to offset U.S. tax as permitted. The Company’s effective tax rate for Syndicate 1221 taxable income could substantially exceed 35% to the extent the Company is unable to offset U.S. taxes paid under Subpart F tax regulations with U.K. tax credits on future underwriting year distributions. U.S. taxes are not accrued on the earnings of the Company’s foreign agencies as these earnings are not subject to the Subpart F tax regulations. These earnings are subject to taxes under U.K. tax regulations. These earnings are subject to taxes under U.K. tax regulations currently at a 30% rate. A finance bill was enacted in the U.K. on July 19, 2007 that reduces the U.K. corporate tax rate from 30% to 28% effective April 1, 2008. The effect of such tax rate change was not material to the Company’s financial statements.
We have not provided for U.S. deferred income taxes on the undistributed earnings of approximately $42.6 million of our non-U.S. subsidiaries since these earnings are intended to be permanently reinvested in our non-U.S. subsidiaries. However, in the future, if such earnings were distributed to the Company, taxes of approximately $6.7 million would be payable on such undistributed earnings and would be reflected in the tax provision for the year in which these earnings are no longer intended to be permanently reinvested in the foreign subsidiary assuming all foreign tax credits are realized.
The Company had net state and local deferred tax assets amounting to potential future tax benefits of $7.4 million and $6.0 million at September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, respectively. Included in the deferred tax assets are net operating loss carryforwards of $3.8 million and $4.8 million at September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, respectively. A valuation allowance was established for the full amount of these potential future tax benefits due to the uncertainty associated with their realization. The Company’s state and local tax carryforwards at September 30, 2007 expire from 2019 to 2027.
In July 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) issued Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes (“FIN 48”), an interpretation of SFAS No. 109. FIN 48, which became effective in the first quarter of 2007, establishes the threshold for recognizing the benefits of tax-return positions in the financial statements as more-likely-than-not to be sustained by the taxing authorities, and prescribes a measurement methodology for those positions meeting the recognition threshold. The Company’s adoption of FIN 48 at January 1, 2007 did not have a material effect on its financial condition or results of operations.

 

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Segment Information
The Company classifies its business into two underwriting segments consisting of the Insurance Companies and the Lloyd’s Operations, which are separately managed, and a Corporate segment. Segment data for each of the two underwriting segments include allocations of revenues and expenses of the Navigators Agencies and the Parent Company’s expenses and related income tax amounts.
We evaluate the performance of each segment based on its underwriting and net income results. The Insurance Companies’ and the Lloyd’s Operations’ results are measured by taking into account net earned premium, net losses and loss adjustment expenses, commission expense, other operating expenses and commission income and other income (expense). The Corporate segment consists of the Parent Company’s investment income, interest expense and the related tax effect. Each segment also maintains its own investments, on which it earns income and realizes capital gains or losses. Our underwriting performance is evaluated separately from the performance of our investment portfolios.
Following are the financial results of the Company’s two underwriting segments.
Insurance Companies
Our Insurance Companies consist of Navigators Insurance Company, including its U.K. Branch, and Navigators Specialty Insurance Company. Navigators Insurance Company, our largest insurance subsidiary, has been active since 1983. It specializes principally in underwriting marine insurance and related lines of business, specialty liability insurance and professional liability insurance. Navigators Specialty Insurance Company, a wholly owned subsidiary of Navigators Insurance Company, began operations in 1990. It underwrites specialty and professional liability insurance on an excess and surplus lines basis fully reinsured by Navigators Insurance Company. The Navigators Agencies produce business for the Insurance Companies.

 

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Following are the results of operations for the Insurance Companies for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006:
                                 
    Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2007     2006     2007     2006  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
                               
Gross written premium
  $ 178,058     $ 163,673     $ 585,492     $ 496,216  
Net written premium
    109,677       91,188       355,798       273,277  
 
                               
Net earned premium
    109,060       85,494       320,607       231,334  
Net losses and LAE
    (59,816 )     (47,926 )     (184,881 )     (135,556 )
Commission expense
    (13,086 )     (9,889 )     (38,072 )     (24,925 )
Other operating expenses
    (21,157 )     (16,697 )     (60,983 )     (44,096 )
Commission income and other income (expense)
    304       661       889       2,661  
 
                       
 
                               
Underwriting profit
    15,305       11,643       37,560       29,418  
 
                               
Net investment income
    14,816       12,345       42,910       34,778  
Net realized capital gains (losses)
    41       (29 )     1,118       (329 )
 
                       
Income before income taxes
    30,162       23,959       81,588       63,867  
 
                               
Income tax expense
    9,193       7,658       25,267       20,442  
 
                       
Net income
  $ 20,969     $ 16,301     $ 56,321     $ 43,425  
 
                       
 
                               
Loss and LAE ratio
    54.8 %     56.1 %     57.7 %     58.6 %
Commission expense ratio
    12.0 %     11.6 %     11.9 %     10.8 %
Other operating expense ratio (1)
    19.1 %     18.8 %     18.7 %     17.9 %
 
                       
Combined ratio
    85.9 %     86.5 %     88.3 %     87.3 %
 
                       
(1)  
Includes other operating expenses and commission income and other income (expense).

 

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Following are the underwriting results of the Insurance Companies for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006:
                                                         
    Three Months Ended September 30, 2007  
    ($ in thousands)  
    Net     Losses                    
    Earned     and LAE     Underwriting     Underwriting     Combined Ratio  
    Premium     Incurred     Expenses     Profit/(Loss)     Loss     Expense     Total  
 
                                                       
Marine
  $ 29,520     $ 19,239     $ 9,767     $ 514       65.2 %     33.1 %     98.3 %
Specialty
    62,796       30,153       17,338       15,305       48.0 %     27.6 %     75.6 %
Professional Liability
    14,184       8,764       5,217       203       61.8 %     36.8 %     98.6 %
Other
    2,560       1,660       1,617       (717 )   NM     NM     NM  
 
                                         
Total
  $ 109,060     $ 59,816     $ 33,939     $ 15,305       54.8 %     31.1 %     85.9 %
 
                                         
                                                         
    Three Months Ended September 30, 2006  
    ($ in thousands)  
    Net     Losses                    
    Earned     and LAE     Underwriting     Underwriting     Combined Ratio  
    Premium     Incurred     Expenses     Profit/(Loss)     Loss     Expense     Total  
 
                                                       
Marine
  $ 29,291     $ 17,064     $ 8,696     $ 3,531       58.3 %     29.7 %     88.0 %
Specialty
    45,234       24,216       13,713       7,305       53.5 %     30.3 %     83.8 %
Professional Liability
    10,938       6,417       3,615       906       58.7 %     33.1 %     91.8 %
Other
    31       229       (99 )     (99 )   NM     NM     NM  
 
                                         
Total
  $ 85,494     $ 47,926     $ 25,925     $ 11,643       56.1 %     30.4 %     86.5 %
 
                                         

 

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    Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007  
    ($ in thousands)  
    Net     Losses                    
    Earned     and LAE     Underwriting     Underwriting     Combined Ratio  
    Premium     Incurred     Expenses     Profit(Loss)     Loss     Expense     Total  
 
                                                       
Marine
  $ 96,531     $ 57,116     $ 28,488     $ 10,927       59.2 %     29.5 %     88.7 %
Specialty
    175,326       95,226       49,869       30,231       54.3 %     28.4 %     82.7 %
Professional Liability
    40,555       24,989       14,870       696       61.6 %     36.6 %     98.2 %
Other
    8,195       7,550       4,939       (4,294 )   NM     NM     NM  
 
                                         
Total
  $ 320,607     $ 184,881     $ 98,166     $ 37,560       57.7 %     30.6 %     88.3 %
 
                                         
                                                         
    Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006  
    ($ in thousands)  
    Net     Losses                    
    Earned     and LAE     Underwriting     Underwriting     Combined Ratio  
    Premium     Incurred     Expenses     Profit(Loss)     Loss     Expense     Total  
 
                                                       
Marine
  $ 80,679     $ 47,609     $ 22,038     $ 11,032       59.0 %     27.3 %     86.3 %
Specialty
    121,133       69,177       35,312       16,644       57.1 %     29.2 %     86.3 %
Professional Liability
    29,494       18,715       9,076       1,703       63.5 %     30.8 %     94.3 %
Other
    28       55       (66 )     39     NM     NM     NM  
 
                                         
Total
  $ 231,334     $ 135,556     $ 66,360     $ 29,418       58.6 %     28.7 %     87.3 %
 
                                         
Net earned premium of the Insurance Companies increased 27.6% and 38.6% in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period compared to the same periods in 2006 reflecting business expansion in the specialty and professional liability business units coupled with increased retention of the business written, partially offset by the effect of premium rate changes on renewal policies on certain lines of business. The average renewal marine and energy premium rates decreased approximately 1.7% during the 2007 third quarter and were flat for the nine month period.
Excluding the 2005 Hurricane Losses, underwriting results generally reflect the favorable industry market conditions over the last three to four years coupled with satisfactory loss trends in the aforementioned periods. The 2007 third quarter loss ratio was favorably impacted by prior period loss reserve redundancies of $11.0 million or 10.1 loss ratio points. The 2006 third quarter loss ratio was favorably impacted by prior period loss reserve redundancies of $4.9 million or 5.7 loss ratio points. The loss ratio for the first nine months of 2007 was favorably impacted by prior period loss reserve redundancies of $22.2 million or 6.9 loss ratio points. The loss ratio for the first nine months of 2007 includes 0.6 loss ratio points or $2.0 million of 2007 second quarter U.K. flood losses for European property business recorded in the other line of business. The loss ratio for the first nine months of 2006 was favorably impacted by prior period loss reserve redundancies of $9.3 million or 4.0 loss ratio points.
The approximate annualized pre-tax yields on the Insurance Companies’ investment portfolio, excluding net realized capital gains and losses, was 4.5% for both the 2007 third quarter and nine month period, compared to 4.7% and 4.6% for the comparable 2006 periods. The average duration of our Insurance Companies’ invested assets at September 30, 2007 was 4.6 years compared to 4.4 years at September 30, 2006. Net investment income increased in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period compared to the same periods in 2006 primarily due to the positive cash flows resulting in a larger investment portfolio including the statutory surplus contribution of $100 million from the net proceeds of our April 2006 7% Senior Notes offering.

 

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Lloyd’s Operations
The Lloyd’s Operations consist of NUAL, which manages Syndicate 1221, Millennium Underwriting Ltd. and Navigators Corporate Underwriters Ltd. Both Millennium Underwriting Ltd. and Navigators Corporate Underwriters Ltd. are Lloyd’s corporate members with limited liability and provide capacity to Syndicate 1221. NUAL owns Navigators Underwriting Ltd., an underwriting managing agency with its principal office in Manchester, England, which underwrites cargo and engineering business for Syndicate 1221. Navigators NV, a wholly owned subsidiary of NUAL located in Antwerp, Belgium, produces transport liability, cargo and marine liability premium on behalf of Syndicate 1221. The Lloyd’s Operations and Navigators Management (UK) Limited, a Navigators Agency which produces business for the U.K. Branch, are subsidiaries of Navigators Holdings (UK) Limited located in the United Kingdom.
Syndicate 1221 has stamp capacity of £140.0 million ($278.2 million) in 2007 compared to £123.5 million ($224.8 million) in 2006. Stamp capacity is a measure of the amount of premium a Lloyd’s syndicate is authorized to write based on a business plan approved by the Council of Lloyd’s. The Company participates for 100% of Syndicate 1221’s capacity for both the 2007 and 2006 underwriting years.
Syndicate 1221’s stamp capacity is expressed net of commission (as is standard at Lloyd’s). The Syndicate 1221 premium recorded in the Company’s financial statements is gross of commission. Lloyd’s presents its results on an underwriting year basis, generally closing each underwriting year after three years. We make estimates for each underwriting year and timely accrue the expected results. Our Lloyd’s Operations included in the consolidated financial statements represent our participation in Syndicate 1221.
Lloyd’s syndicates report the amounts of premiums, claims, and expenses recorded in an underwriting account for a particular year to the companies or individuals that participate in the syndicates. The syndicates generally keep accounts open for three years. Traditionally, three years have been necessary to report substantially all premiums associated with an underwriting year and to report most related claims, although claims may remain unsettled after the underwriting year is closed. A Lloyd’s syndicate typically closes an underwriting year by reinsuring outstanding claims on that underwriting year with the participants for the next underwriting year. The ceding participants pay the assuming participants an amount based on the unearned premiums and outstanding claims in the underwriting year at the date of the assumption. Our participation in Syndicate 1221 is represented by and recorded as our proportionate share of the underlying assets and liabilities and results of operations of the syndicate since (i) we hold an undivided interest in each asset, (ii) we are proportionately liable for each liability and (iii) Syndicate 1221 is not a separate legal entity. At Lloyd’s, the amount to close an underwriting year into the next year is referred to as the reinsurance to close (“RITC”) transaction. The RITC amounts represent the transfer of the assets and liabilities from the participants of a closing underwriting year to the participants of the next underwriting year. To the extent our participation in the syndicate changes, the RITC amounts vary accordingly. The RITC transaction is recorded in the fourth quarter as additional written and earned premium, losses incurred, loss reserves and receivables, all in the same amount. There are no gains or losses recorded on the RITC transaction.
We provide letters of credit to Lloyd’s to support our participation in Syndicate 1221’s stamp capacity as discussed below under the caption Liquidity and Capital Resources.
Whenever a member of Lloyd’s is unable to pay its debts to policyholders, such debts may be payable by the Lloyd’s Central Fund. If Lloyd’s determines that the Central Fund needs to be increased, it has the power to assess premium levies on current Lloyd’s members up to 3% of a member’s underwriting capacity in any one year. The Company does not believe that any assessment is likely in the foreseeable future and has not provided any allowance for such an assessment. However, based on the Company’s 2007 capacity at Lloyd’s of £140 million, the September 30, 2007 exchange rate of £1 equals $2.04 and in the event of a maximum 3% assessment, the Company would be assessed approximately $8.6 million. In addition, beginning with the 2005 underwriting year, Lloyd’s added a second tier of assets to the existing central fund. This second tier was being built up through a compulsory interest bearing loan to the Society of Lloyd’s from the Lloyd’s members based on the stamp capacity of each syndicate for the respective underwriting year. The funds were invested in assets eligible for Society of Lloyd’s solvency. At June 30, 2007, the Company had $5.9 million of assets loaned to this fund which were repaid during the 2007 third quarter from a bond offering completed by Lloyd’s in September 2007.

 

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Following are the results of operations of the Lloyd’s Operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006:
                                 
    Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2007     2006     2007     2006  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
                               
Gross written premium
  $ 67,903     $ 57,780     $ 237,879     $ 241,600  
Net written premium
    49,425       27,849       137,673       118,434  
 
                               
Net earned premium
    46,978       30,202       120,094       102,625  
Net losses and LAE
    (28,203 )     (16,530 )     (64,069 )     (57,644 )
Commission expense
    (6,590 )     (3,880 )     (16,353 )     (16,173 )
Other operating expenses
    (6,745 )     (5,986 )     (21,816 )     (16,922 )
Commission income and other income (expense)
    111       (906 )     96       (850 )
 
                       
 
                               
Underwriting profit
    5,551       2,900       17,952       11,036  
 
                               
Net investment income
    2,609       1,774       7,167       5,448  
Net realized capital gains (losses)
    (107 )     (122 )     (143 )     (438 )
 
                       
Income before income taxes
    8,053       4,552       24,976       16,046  
 
                               
Income tax expense
    2,877       1,627       8,806       5,650  
 
                       
Net income
  $ 5,176     $ 2,925     $ 16,170     $ 10,396  
 
                       
 
                               
Loss and LAE ratio
    60.0 %     54.7 %     53.3 %     56.2 %
Commission expense ratio
    14.0 %     12.8 %     13.6 %     15.8 %
Other operating expense ratio (1)
    14.1 %     22.8 %     18.1 %     17.3 %
 
                       
Combined ratio
    88.1 %     90.3 %     85.0 %     89.3 %
 
                       
(1)  
Includes other operating expenses and commission income and other income (expense).
The Lloyd’s Operations have been experiencing business expansion coupled with improving underwriting results as a result of the generally favorable market conditions for marine and energy business from late 2001 through 2003, and continuing to a lesser extent in 2004. Marine and energy premium rate increases occurred in 2005 and continued into 2006 following Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, particularly in the offshore energy business. The average renewal marine and energy premium rates decreased approximately 3.3% during the 2007 third quarter and were flat for the nine month period.
The 2007 third quarter loss ratio was favorably impacted by prior period loss reserve redundancies of $1.2 million or 2.5 loss ratio points. The 2006 third quarter loss ratio was favorably impacted by prior period loss reserve redundancies of $1.1 million or 3.6 loss ratio points. The loss ratio for the first nine months of 2007 was favorably impacted by prior period loss reserve redundancies of $7.4 million or 6.2 loss ratio points. The loss ratio for the first nine months of 2006 was favorably impacted by prior period loss reserve redundancies of $3.4 million or 3.3 loss ratio points.

 

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The loss ratio for the 2007 third quarter and nine month period includes 4.2 and 3.0 loss ratio points or $2.0 million and $3.6 million, respectively, for the 2007 second and third quarters U.K. flood losses related to European property business and marine cargo business.
The increases in other operating expenses in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period compared to the same periods in 2006 were attributable primarily to the increase in employee-related expenses, investments in technology, the increase in the average foreign exchange rates used to convert British sterling to U.S. dollars and an increase in the Lloyd’s related expenses.
The approximate annualized pre-tax yields on the Lloyd’s Operations investment portfolio, excluding net realized capital gains and losses, were 3.6% for both the 2007 third quarter and nine month period, compared to 3.2% for both of the comparable 2006 periods. The average duration of our Lloyd’s Operations invested assets at September 30, 2007 was 1.4 years compared to 1.2 years at September 30, 2006. Net investment income increased in the 2007 third quarter and nine month period compared to the same periods in 2006 primarily due to the positive cash flows resulting in a larger investment portfolio.
Off-Balance Sheet Transactions
There have been no material changes in the information concerning off-balance sheet transactions as stated in the Company’s 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Tabular Disclosure of Contractual Obligations
There have been no material changes in the operating lease or capital lease information concerning contractual obligations as stated in the Company’s 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K. Total reserves for losses and LAE were $1.6 billion at both September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006. There were no significant changes in the Company’s lines of business or claims handling that would create a material change in the percentage relationship of the projected payments by period to the total reserves.
The following table sets forth our contractual obligations with respect to the 7% senior unsecured notes due May 1, 2016 discussed in the Notes to Interim Consolidated Financial Statements, included herein:
                                         
    Payments Due by Period  
            Less than                     More than  
    Total     1 Year     1-3 Years     3-5 Years     5 Years  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
                                       
7% Senior Notes
  $ 203,750     $ 8,750     $ 17,500     $ 17,500     $ 160,000  
 
                             
Investments
The objective of the Company’s investment policy, guidelines and strategy is to maximize total investment return in the context of preserving and enhancing shareholder value and statutory surplus of the Insurance Companies. Secondarily, an important consideration is to optimize the after-tax book income.

 

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The investments are managed by outside professional fixed-income and equity portfolio managers. The Company seeks to achieve its investment objectives by investing in cash equivalents and money market funds, municipal bonds, U.S. Government bonds, U.S. Government agency guaranteed and non-guaranteed securities, corporate bonds, mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities and common and preferred stocks. Our investment guidelines require that the amount of the consolidated fixed income portfolio rated below “A-” but no lower than “BBB-” by Standard & Poor’s (“S&P”) or below “A3” but no lower than “Baa3” by Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s”) shall not exceed 10% of the total of fixed income and short-term investments. Securities rated below “BBB-” by S&P or below “Baa3” by Moody’s combined with any other investments not specifically permitted under the investment guidelines, can not exceed 5% of consolidated stockholders’ equity. Investments in equity securities that are actively traded on major U.S. stock exchanges can not exceed 20% of consolidated stockholders’ equity. Our investment guidelines prohibit investments in derivatives other than as a hedge against foreign currency exposures or the writing of covered call options on the equity portfolio.
The Insurance Companies’ investments are subject to the direction and control of their respective Board of Directors and our Finance Committee. The investment portfolio and the performance of the investment managers are reviewed quarterly. These investments must comply with the insurance laws of New York State, the domiciliary state of Navigators Insurance Company and Navigators Specialty Insurance Company. These laws prescribe the type, quality and concentration of investments which may be made by insurance companies. In general, these laws permit investments, within specified limits and subject to certain qualifications, in Federal, state and municipal obligations, corporate bonds, preferred stocks, common stocks, mortgages and real estate.
The Lloyd’s Operations’ investments are subject to the direction and control of the Board of Directors and the Investment Committee of NUAL, as well as the Company’s Board of Directors and Finance Committee, and represent our share of the investments held by Syndicate 1221. These investments must comply with the rules and regulations imposed by Lloyd’s and by certain overseas regulators. The investment portfolio and the performance of the investment managers are reviewed quarterly.
All fixed maturity and equity securities are carried at fair value. The fair value is based on quoted market prices or dealer quotes provided by independent pricing services.
The following tables set forth our cash and investments as of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006:

 

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            Gross     Gross     Cost or  
    Fair     Unrealized     Unrealized     Amortized  
September 30, 2007   Value     Gains     (Losses)     Cost  
            ($ in thousands)          
Fixed maturities:
                               
 
                               
U.S. Government Treasury Bonds, GNMAs and foreign government bonds
  $ 205,074     $ 1,697     $ (1,381 )   $ 204,758  
States, municipalities and political Subdivisions
    498,186       3,612       (1,803 )     496,377  
Mortgage- and asset-backed securities
(excluding GNMAs)
    541,847       1,141       (6,132 )     546,838  
Corporate bonds
    209,577       1,525       (2,433 )     210,485  
 
                       
 
                               
Total fixed maturities
    1,454,684       7,975       (11,749 )     1,458,458  
 
                       
 
                               
Equity securities — common stocks
    63,858       7,559       (1,398 )     57,697  
 
                               
Cash
    4,906                   4,906  
 
                               
Short-term investments
    215,117                   215,117  
 
                       
 
                               
Total
  $ 1,738,565     $ 15,534     $ (13,147 )   $ 1,736,178  
 
                       
                                 
            Gross     Gross     Cost or  
    Fair     Unrealized     Unrealized     Amortized  
December 31, 2006   Value     Gains     (Losses)     Cost  
            ($ in thousands)          
Fixed maturities:
                               
 
                               
U.S. Government Treasury Bonds, GNMAs and foreign government bonds
  $ 206,214     $ 972     $ (2,086 )   $ 207,328  
States, municipalities and political Subdivisions
    361,859       2,719       (2,345 )     361,485  
Mortgage- and asset-backed securities
(excluding GNMAs)
    489,556       939       (4,488 )     493,105  
Corporate bonds
    201,088       1,672       (1,950 )     201,366  
 
                       
 
                               
Total fixed maturities
    1,258,717       6,302       (10,869 )     1,263,284  
 
                       
 
                               
Equity securities — common stocks
    37,828       6,297       (348 )     31,879  
 
                               
Cash
    2,404                   2,404  
 
Short-term investments
    176,961                   176,961  
 
                       
 
                               
Total
  $ 1,475,910     $ 12,599     $ (11,217 )   $ 1,474,528  
 
                       

 

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At September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, all fixed-maturity and equity securities held by us were classified as available-for-sale.
We regularly review our fixed maturity and equity securities portfolios to evaluate the necessity of recording impairment losses for other-than-temporary declines in the fair value of investments. In general, we focus our attention on those securities whose market value was less than 80% of their cost or amortized cost, as appropriate, for six or more consecutive months. Other factors considered in evaluating potential impairment include the current fair value as compared to cost or amortized cost, as appropriate, our intent and ability to retain the investment for a period of time sufficient to allow for an anticipated recovery in value, specific credit issues related to the issuer and current economic conditions.
As mentioned above, the Company considers its intent and ability to hold a security until the value recovers as part of the process of evaluating whether a security’s unrealized loss represents an other-than-temporary decline. The Company’s ability to hold such securities is supported by sufficient cash flow from its operations and from maturities within its investment portfolio in order to meet its claims payment and other disbursement obligations arising from its underwriting operations without selling such investments. With respect to securities where the decline in value is determined to be temporary and the security’s value is not written down, a subsequent decision may be made to sell that security and realize a loss. Subsequent decisions on security sales are made within the context of overall risk monitoring, changing information, market conditions and assessing value relative to other comparable securities. Management of the Company’s investment portfolio is outsourced to third party investment managers. While these investment managers may, at a given point in time, believe that the preferred course of action is to hold securities with unrealized losses that are considered temporary until such losses are recovered, the dynamic nature of the portfolio management may result in a subsequent decision to sell the security and realize the loss, based upon a change in market and other factors described above. The Company believes that subsequent decisions to sell such securities are consistent with the classification of the Company’s portfolio as available for sale.
When a security in our investment portfolio has an unrealized loss that is deemed to be other-than-temporary, we write the security down to fair value through a charge to operations. Significant changes in the factors we consider when evaluating investments for impairment losses could result in a significant change in impairment losses reported in the consolidated financial statements. There were no impairment losses recorded in our fixed maturity or equity securities portfolios in the first nine months of 2007 or 2006.
At September 30, 2007, the average quality of the investment portfolio as rated by S&P and Moody’s was AA/Aa with an average duration of 4.1 years. All of the Company’s mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities, except for $1.2 million, are rated AAA/Aaa by S&P and Moody’s, and the Company does not own any collateralized debt obligations (CDO’s), collateralized loan obligations (CLO’s) or asset backed commercial paper.
At September 30, 2007, the Company had $486,000 of mortgage-backed securities with subprime mortgage exposures. The securities are rated AAA/Aaa and have an effective maturity of 0.5 years. We also own four mortgage-backed securities totaling $12,643,000 at September 30, 2007 classified as Alt A which is a credit category between prime and subprime. The Alt A bonds, also rated AAA/Aaa, have an effective maturity of 2.4 years. The Company is receiving principal and/or interest payments on all these securities and believes such amounts are fully collectible.
The following table summarizes all securities in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, showing the aggregate fair value and gross unrealized loss by the length of time those securities had been continuously in an unrealized loss position:

 

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    September 30, 2007     December 31, 2006  
    Fair     Gross
Unrealized
    Fair     Gross
Unrealized
 
    Value     Loss     Value     Loss  
            ($ in thousands)          
 
Fixed Maturities:
                               
U.S. Government Treasury Bonds, GNMAs and foreign government bonds
                               
0-6 Months
  $ 4,417     $ 10     $ 34,085     $ 586  
7-12 Months
    16,741       250       20,806       86  
> 12 Months
    43,490       1,121       69,424       1,414  
 
                       
Subtotal
    64,648       1,381       124,315       2,086  
 
                       
 
                               
States, municipalities and political subdivisions
                               
0-6 Months
    44,938       277       57,747       316  
7-12 Months
    53,709       289       6,661       80  
> 12 Months
    107,220       1,237       118,917       1,949  
 
                       
Subtotal
    205,867       1,803       183,325       2,345  
 
                       
 
                               
Mortgage- and asset-backed securities (excluding GNMAs)
                               
0-6 Months
    109,219       547       174,270       921  
7-12 Months
    142,789       2,370       10,444       65  
> 12 Months
    158,289       3,215       184,515       3,502  
 
                       
Subtotal
    410,297       6,132       369,229       4,488  
 
                       
 
                               
Corporate bonds
                               
0-6 Months
    48,968       787       27,719       185  
7-12 Months
    13,041       466       15,503       224  
> 12 Months
    65,437       1,180       66,014       1,541  
 
                       
Subtotal
    127,446       2,433       109,236       1,950  
 
                       
 
                               
Total Fixed Maturities
  $ 808,258     $ 11,749     $ 786,105     $ 10,869  
 
                       
 
                               
Equity securities — common stocks
                               
0-6 Months
  $ 17,223     $ 1,257     $ 3,265     $ 158  
7-12 Months
    905       128       800       72  
> 12 Months
    304       13       782       118  
 
                       
 
                               
Total Equity Securities
  $ 18,432     $ 1,398     $ 4,847     $ 348  
 
                       
We analyze the unrealized losses quarterly to determine if any are other-than-temporary. The above unrealized losses have been determined to be temporary and resulted from changes in market conditions.

 

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The following table shows the composition by National Association of Insurance Commissioners (“NAIC”) rating and the generally equivalent S&P and Moody’s ratings of the fixed maturity securities in our portfolio with gross unrealized losses at September 30, 2007. Some of the securities are not rated by S&P and/or Moody’s.
                                         
            Gross        
    Equivalent   Equivalent   Unrealized Loss     Fair Value  
NAIC   S&P   Moody’s           Percent             Percent  
Rating   Rating   Rating   Amount     of Total     Amount     of Total  
            ($ in thousands)  
 
1  
AAA/AA/A
  Aaa/Aa/A   $ 10,956       93 %   $ 770,130       95 %
2  
BBB
  Baa     785       7 %     37,884       5 %
3  
BB
  Ba     8             244        
4  
B
  B                        
5  
CCC or lower
  Caa or lower                        
6  
N/A
  N/A                        
   
 
                           
   
Total
      $ 11,749       100 %   $ 808,258       100 %
   
 
                           
At September 30, 2007, all of the gross unrealized losses in the table directly above are related to fixed maturity securities that are rated investment grade except for one bond with an unrealized loss of $8,000. Investment grade is defined as a security having a NAIC rating of 1 or 2, an S&P rating of “BBB–” or higher, or a Moody’s rating of “Baa3” or higher. Unrealized losses on investment grade securities principally relate to changes in interest rates or changes in sector-related credit spreads since the securities were acquired. Any such unrealized losses are recognized in income, if the securities are sold, or if the decline in fair value is deemed other-than-temporary.
The scheduled maturity dates for fixed maturity securities in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2007 are shown in the following table:
                                 
    Gross        
    Unrealized Loss     Fair Value  
            Percent             Percent  
    Amount     of Total     Amount     of Total  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
Due in one year or less
  $ 123       1 %   $ 27,115       3 %
Due after one year through five years
    1,506       13 %     141,102       17 %
Due after five years through ten years
    1,653       14 %     102,022       13 %
Due after ten years
    2,335       20 %     127,722       16 %
Mortgage- and asset-backed securities
    6,132       52 %     410,297       51 %
 
                       
 
                               
Total fixed income securities
  $ 11,749       100 %   $ 808,258       100 %
 
                       
Expected maturities may differ from contractual maturities because issuers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties. Due to the periodic repayment of principal, the mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities are estimated to have an effective maturity of approximately 4.7 years.

 

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Our realized capital gains and losses for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 were as follows:
                                 
    Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2007     2006     2007     2006  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
Fixed maturities:
                               
Gains
  $ 23     $ 8     $ 500     $ 349  
(Losses)
    (816 )     (198 )     (1,535 )     (1,605 )
 
                       
 
    (793 )     (190 )     (1,035 )     (1,256 )
 
                       
Equity securities:
                               
Gains
    888       41       2,285       525  
(Losses)
    (161 )     (2 )     (275 )     (36 )
 
                       
 
    727       39       2,010       489  
 
                       
 
                               
Net realized capital gains (losses)
  $ (66 )   $ (151 )   $ 975     $ (767 )
 
                       
The following table details realized losses in excess of $250,000 from sales and impairments during the first nine months of 2007 and 2006 and the related circumstances giving rise to the loss:
                                                         
                                                    # of Months  
                                                    Unrealized Loss  
                                            Net     Exceeded 20%  
    Date of     Proceeds     (Loss) on             Holdings at     Unrealized     of Cost or  
Description   Sale     from Sale     Sale     Impairment     September 30, 2007     (Loss)     Amortized Cost  
($ in thousands)  
Nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006:
 
                                                       
CAPMARK Financial GP (1)
    8/22/2007     $ 1,614       ($330 )                        
TIPS (2)
    3/31/2007     $ 5,823       ($335 )                        
TIPS (2)
    3/31/2006     $ 15,418       ($305 )                        
 
(1)  
CAPMARK Financial Group securities were sold due to credit concerns.
 
(2)   
Treasury inflation protection securities (TIPS) were sold during the 2007 and 2006 and first quarters due to the widening breakeven yield spread between TIPS and Treasuries.
Reinsurance Recoverables
We utilize reinsurance principally to reduce our exposure on individual risks, to protect against catastrophic losses, and to stabilize loss ratios and underwriting results. Although reinsurance makes the reinsurer liable to us to the extent the risk is transferred or ceded to the reinsurer, ceded reinsurance arrangements do not eliminate our obligation to pay claims to our policyholders. Accordingly, we bear credit risk with respect to our reinsurers. Specifically, our reinsurers may not pay claims made by us on a timely basis, or they may not pay some or all of these claims. Either of these events would increase our costs and could have a material adverse effect on our business. We are required to pay the losses even if the reinsurer fails to meet its obligations under the reinsurance agreement. Hurricanes Katrina and Rita increased our reinsurance recoverables significantly which increased our credit risk.

 

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We are protected by various treaty and facultative reinsurance agreements. Our exposure to credit risk from any one reinsurer is managed through diversification by reinsuring with a number of different reinsurers, principally in the United States and European reinsurance markets. To meet our standards of acceptability, when the reinsurance is placed, a reinsurer generally must have an A.M. Best Company and/or S&P rating of “A” or better, or equivalent financial strength if not rated, plus at least $250 million in policyholders’ surplus. Our Reinsurance Security Committee monitors the financial strength of our reinsurers and the related reinsurance receivables and periodically reviews the list of acceptable reinsurers. The reinsurance is placed either directly by us or through reinsurance intermediaries. The reinsurance intermediaries are compensated by the reinsurers.
The Company continues to periodically monitor the financial condition and ongoing activities of its reinsurers, in order to assess the adequacy of its allowance for uncollectible reinsurance.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Cash flows from operations were $231.3 million and $88.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. The positive operating cash flow was primarily due to the increase in net written premium, collected investment income, decrease in reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and fewer paid losses relating to the 2005 hurricanes. Operating cash flow was used primarily to acquire additional investment assets.
Investments and cash increased to $1.7 billion at September 30, 2007 from $1.5 billion at December 31, 2006. The increase was due to the positive cash flow from operations. Net investment income was $18.0 million and $14.7 million for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, and $51.5 million and $41.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.
The approximate annualized pre-tax yields of the investment portfolio, excluding net realized capital gains and losses, were 4.3% and 4.5% for the 2007 and 2006 third quarters, respectively. The approximate annualized pre-tax yields of the investment portfolio, excluding net realized capital gains and losses, were 4.4% for both the 2007 and 2006 nine month periods. As of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, all fixed maturity securities and equity securities held by us were classified as available-for-sale.
At September 30, 2007, the weighted average rating of our fixed maturity investments was “AA” by Standard & Poor’s and “Aa” by Moody’s. We believe that we have limited exposure to credit risk since, the entire fixed maturity investment portfolio, except for $244,000, consists of investment grade bonds. At September 30, 2007, our portfolio had an average maturity of 5.3 years and duration of 4.1 years. Management continually monitors the composition and cash flow of the investment portfolio in order to maintain the appropriate levels of liquidity in an effort to ensure our ability to satisfy claims.
We have a credit facility provided through a consortium of banks. The credit facility was amended in February 2007 to increase the letters of credit available under the facility from $115 million to $180 million and to increase the line of credit under the facility from $10 million to $20 million. Also, the expiration of the credit facility was extended from June 30, 2007 to March 31, 2009. If, at that time, the bank consortium does not renew the credit facility, we will need to find other sources to provide the letters of credit or other collateral required to continue our participation in Syndicate 1221. The credit facility, which is denominated in U.S. dollars, is utilized primarily by Navigators Corporate Underwriters Ltd. and Millennium Underwriting Ltd. to fund our participation in Syndicate 1221 which is denominated in British pounds. At September 30, 2007, letters of credit with an aggregate face amount of $108.1 million were issued under the credit facility. The line of credit was unused at September 30, 2007.
The credit facility is collateralized by all of the common stock of Navigators Insurance Company. The credit agreement contains covenants common to transactions of this type, including restrictions on indebtedness and liens, limitations on dividends, stock buy backs, mergers and the sale of assets, and requirements to maintain certain consolidated tangible net worth, statutory surplus and other financial ratios. No dividends have been declared or paid by the Company through September 30, 2007. We were in compliance with all covenants at September 30, 2007.

 

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Our reinsurance has been placed with various U.S. and foreign insurance companies and with selected syndicates at Lloyd’s. Pursuant to the implementation of Lloyd’s Plan of Reconstruction and Renewal, a portion of our recoverables are now reinsured by Equitas (a separate United Kingdom authorized reinsurance company established to reinsure outstanding liabilities of all Lloyd’s members for all risks written in the 1992 or prior years of account).
Time lags do occur in the normal course of business between the time gross losses are paid by the Company and the time such gross losses are billed and collected from reinsurers. Recoverable amounts at September 30, 2007 are anticipated to be billed and collected over the next several years as gross losses are paid by the Company.
Generally, for pro-rata or quota share reinsurers, including pool participants, the Company issues quarterly settlement statements for premiums less commissions and paid loss activity, which are expected to be settled by the end of the subsequent quarter. The Company has the ability to issue “cash calls” requiring such reinsurers to pay losses whenever paid loss activity for a claim ceded to a particular reinsurance treaty exceeds a predetermined amount (generally $1.0 million) as set forth in the pro-rata treaty. For the Insurance Companies, cash calls must generally be paid within 30 calendar days. There is generally no specific settlement period for the Lloyd’s Operations cash call provisions, but such billings are usually paid within 45 calendar days.
Generally, for excess of loss reinsurers the Company pays monthly or quarterly deposit premiums based on the estimated subject premiums over the contract period (usually one year) which are subsequently adjusted based on actual premiums determined after the expiration of the applicable reinsurance treaty. Paid losses subject to excess of loss recoveries are generally billed as they occur and are usually settled by reinsurers within 30 calendar days for the Insurance Companies and 30 business days for the Lloyd’s Operations.
The Company sometimes withholds funds from reinsurers and may apply ceded loss billings against such funds in accordance with the applicable reinsurance agreements.
At September 30, 2007, the ceded asbestos paid and unpaid recoverables were $15.9 million compared to $23.5 million at December 31, 2006. Of such amounts at September 30, 2007, $9.0 million was due from Equitas. In November 2006, the Company filed an arbitration demand against Equitas for paid losses recoverable on settled asbestos claims. The approximate ceded paid and unpaid recoverable amounts relating to the arbitration is $2.7 million. See Part II Item 1 “Legal Proceedings”, for a discussion of the arbitration. The Company generally experiences significant collection delays for a large portion of reinsurance recoverable amounts for asbestos losses given that certain reinsurers are in run-off or otherwise no longer active in the reinsurance business. Such circumstances are considered in the Company’s ongoing assessment of such reinsurance recoverables.
The Company believes that it has adequately managed its cash flow requirements related to reinsurance recoveries from its positive cash flows and the use of available short-term funds when applicable. However, there can be no assurances that the Company will be able to continue to adequately manage such recoveries in the future or that collection disputes or reinsurer insolvencies will not arise that could materially increase the collection time lags or result in recoverable write-offs causing additional incurred losses and liquidity constraints to the Company. The payment of gross claims and related collections from reinsurers with respect to Hurricanes Katrina and Rita could significantly impact the Company’s liquidity needs. However, we expect to pay these hurricane losses over a period of years from cash flow and, if needed, short-term investments and expect to collect our paid reinsurance recoverables generally under the terms described above.
We believe that the cash flow generated by the operating activities of our subsidiaries will provide sufficient funds for us to meet our liquidity needs over the next twelve months. Beyond the next twelve months, cash flow available to us may be influenced by a variety of factors, including general economic conditions and conditions in the insurance and reinsurance markets, as well as fluctuations from year to year in claims experience.

 

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Our capital resources consist of funds deployed or available to be deployed to support our business operations. At September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, our capital resources were as follows:
                 
    September 30,     December 31,  
    2007     2006  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
Senior debt
  $ 123,644     $ 123,560  
Stockholders’ equity
    626,476       551,343  
 
           
Total capitalization
  $ 750,120     $ 674,903  
 
           
Ratio of debt to total capitalization
    16.5 %     18.3 %
 
           
The Company completed its public offering of senior debt on April 17, 2006 and received net proceeds of $123.5 million of which $100 million was contributed to the capital and surplus of Navigators Insurance Company. The increase in stockholders’ equity in 2007 was primarily due to 2007 nine month net income of $69.1 million.
We monitor our capital adequacy to support our business on a regular basis. The future capital requirements of our business will depend on many factors, including our ability to write new business successfully and to establish premium rates and reserves at levels sufficient to cover losses. Our ability to underwrite is largely dependent upon the quality of our claims paying and financial strength ratings as evaluated by independent rating agencies. In particular, we require (1) sufficient capital to maintain our financial strength ratings, as issued by several ratings agencies, at a level considered necessary by management to enable our Insurance Companies to compete, (2) sufficient capital to enable our Insurance Companies to meet the capital adequacy tests performed by statutory agencies in the United States and the United Kingdom and (3) letters of credit and other forms of collateral that are necessary to support the business.
On October 29, 2007 the Board of Directors adopted a stock repurchase program for up to $30 million of the Company’s common stock. Repurchases may be made from time to time at prevailing prices in open market or privately negotiated transactions through December 31, 2008. The timing and amount of the repurchase transactions under the program will depend on a variety of factors, including the trading price of the stock, market conditions and corporate and regulatory considerations.
We primarily rely upon dividends from our subsidiaries to meet our holding company obligations. Since the issuance of the senior debt in April 2006, the holding company cash obligations primarily consist of semi-annual interest payments of $4.4 million. Going forward, the interest payments and any stock repurchases will be made from a combination of funds currently at the Parent Company, dividends from its subsidiaries or the $20 million line of credit. The dividends have historically been paid by Navigators Insurance Company. Based on the December 31, 2006 surplus of Navigators Insurance Company the approximate remaining maximum amount available at September 30, 2007 for the payment of dividends by Navigators Insurance Company during 2007 without prior regulatory approval was $56.7 million. Navigators Insurance Company declared a $2.0 million dividend in each of the first, second and third quarters of 2007. No dividends were declared or paid by Navigators Insurance Company during 2006.

 

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Condensed Parent Company balance sheets as of September 30, 2007 (unaudited) and December 31, 2006 are shown in the table below:
                 
    September 30,     December 31,  
    2007     2006  
    ($ in thousands)  
 
Cash and investments
  $ 43,684     $ 32,308  
Investments in subsidiaries
    701,369       634,299  
Goodwill and other intangible assets
    2,534       2,534  
Other assets
    8,428       12,939  
 
           
Total assets
  $ 756,015     $ 682,080  
 
           
 
               
Accounts payable and other liabilities
  $ 1,150     $ 1,590  
Accrued interest payable
    3,646       1,458  
Deferred compensation payable
    1,099       4,129  
7% Senior Notes due May 1, 2016
    123,644       123,560  
 
           
Total liabilities
    129,539       130,737  
 
           
 
               
Stockholders’ equity
    626,476       551,343  
 
           
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
  $ 756,015     $ 682,080  
 
           
At September 30, 2007, approximately $5.0 million of investments are held in a tax escrow account on behalf of Navigators Insurance Company until the two-year tax loss carryback period expires.
Deferred compensation payable represents accrued costs for employee stock appreciation rights which are paid by the operating subsidiaries when such stock appreciation rights are exercised.
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk
There have been no material changes in the information concerning market risk as stated in the Company’s 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Item 4. Controls and Procedures
  (a)  
The Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer of the Company have evaluated the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”)), as of the end of the period covered by this quarterly report. Based on such evaluation, such officers have concluded that as of the end of such period the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures are effective in identifying, on a timely basis, material information required to be disclosed in our reports filed or submitted under the Exchange Act.
 
  (b)  
There have been no changes during our third fiscal quarter in our internal control over financial reporting that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company’s internal control over financial reporting.

 

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Part II — Other Information
Item 1. Legal Proceedings
Except as described below, the Company is not a party to, or the subject of, any material pending legal proceedings which depart from the ordinary routine litigation incident to the kinds of business that it conducts.
On November 22, 2006, the Company filed a demand for arbitration in New York against Equitas, a lead reinsurer participating in excess of loss reinsurance agreements, with respect to unsatisfied loss payment recovery demands that the Company has previously presented to Equitas (the “Equitas Arbitration”). The recovery demands are for the 2005 settlement of two class action lawsuits involving large asbestos claims (together, the “2005 Settled Claims”), which 2005 Settled Claims are being paid through 2007. Equitas has not indicated any dispute with respect to recoveries on related pro rata reinsurance agreements for such 2005 Settled Claims or with respect to excess of loss or pro rata reinsurance for the 2004 Settled Claim referred to below. The aggregate amount of excess of loss recoveries due from Equitas for ceded paid and unpaid losses on the 2005 Settled Claims is approximately $2.7 million.
The Company filed its demand for arbitration against Equitas in accordance with the applicable provisions of the excess of loss reinsurance agreements. The Company believes that the refusal of Equitas to satisfy the Company’s payment demands is without merit and it intends to vigorously pursue collection of its reinsurance recovery. While it is too early to predict with any certainty the outcome of the Equitas Arbitration, the Company believes that the ultimate outcome would not be expected to have a significant adverse effect on its results of operations, financial condition or liquidity, although an unexpected adverse resolution of the Equitas Arbitration could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s results of operations in a particular fiscal quarter or year.
Item 1A. Risk Factors
There have been no material changes from the risk factors as previously disclosed in the Company’s 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds
None.
Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities
None.

 

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Item 4. Submissions of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
None.
Item 5. Other Information
None
Item 6. Exhibits
         
Exhibit No.   Description of Exhibit    
 
11-1
  Statement re Computation of Per Share Earnings   *
31-1
  Certification of CEO per Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act   *
31-2
  Certification of CFO per Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act   *
32-1
  Certification of CEO per Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (This exhibit is intended to be furnished in accordance with Regulation S-K item 601(b)(32)(ii) and shall not be deemed to be filed for purposes of section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference).   *
32-2
  Certification of CFO per Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (This exhibit is intended to be furnished in accordance with Regulation S-K item 601(b)(32)(ii) and shall not be deemed to be filed for purposes of section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference).   *
 
*  
Included herein.

 

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SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
         
 
  The Navigators Group, Inc.    
 
  (Registrant)    
 
       
Date: October 31, 2007
  /s / Paul J. Malvasio
 
Paul J. Malvasio
   
 
  Executive Vice President    
 
  and Chief Financial Officer    

 

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INDEX OF EXHIBITS
         
Exhibit No.   Description of Exhibit    
 
11-1
  Statement re Computation of Per Share Earnings   *
 
       
31-1
  Certification of CEO per Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act   *
 
       
31-2
  Certification of CFO per Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act   *
 
       
32-1
  Certification of CEO per Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (This exhibit is intended to be furnished in accordance with Regulation S-K item 601(b)(32)(ii) and shall not be deemed to be filed for purposes of section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference).   *
 
       
32-2
  Certification of CFO per Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (This exhibit is intended to be furnished in accordance with Regulation S-K item 601(b)(32)(ii) and shall not be deemed to be filed for purposes of section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference).   *
 
*  
Included herein.

 

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