pru201503106k3.htm
 
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
 
 
Washington, D.C. 20549
 
 
FORM 6-K
 
 
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER
 
 
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of

the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
 
 
For the month of March, 2015

 
 
PRUDENTIAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
 
 
(Translation of registrant's name into English)
 
 
LAURENCE POUNTNEY HILL,

LONDON, EC4R 0HH, ENGLAND
(Address of principal executive offices)


 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports
under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F.


Form 20-F X           Form 40-F


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information
contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the
Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

 
Yes              No X


 
If "Yes" is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant
in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82-



 
 




 
 

 
 
European Embedded Value (EEV) basis results
 
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
 
Results analysis by business area
 
     
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
   
Note
   
note (iii)
Asia operations
       
New business
3
1,162
 
1,139
Business in force
4
739
 
753
Long-term business
 
1,901
 
1,892
Eastspring Investments
 
78
 
64
Development expenses
 
(1)
 
(1)
Total
 
1,978
 
1,955
US operations
       
New business
3
694
 
706
Business in force
4
834
 
820
Long-term business
 
1,528
 
1,526
Broker-dealer and asset management
 
6
 
39
Total
 
1,534
 
1,565
UK operations
       
New business
3
270
 
237
Business in force
4
476
 
595
Long-term business
 
746
 
832
General insurance commission
 
19
 
22
Total UK insurance operations
 
765
 
854
M&G (including Prudential Capital)
 
386
 
346
Total
 
1,151
 
1,200
Other income and expenditurenote (i)
 
(531)
 
(482)
Solvency II and restructuring costsnote (ii)
 
(36)
 
(34)
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
 
4,096
 
4,204
           
Analysed as profits (losses) from:
       
New business
3
2,126
 
2,082
Business in force
4
2,049
 
2,168
Long-term business
 
4,175
 
4,250
Asset management
 
470
 
449
Other results
 
(549)
 
(495)
Total
 
4,096
 
4,204
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis. This approach has been adopted throughout this supplementary information.
 
 
Notes:
 
(i)   EEV basis other income and expenditure represents the post-tax IFRS basis result, less the unwind of expected margins on the internal management of the assets of the covered business (as explained in note 16(a)(vii)).
 
(ii)  Solvency II and restructuring costs comprise the net of tax charge recognised on an IFRS basis and the additional amount recognised on the EEV basis for the shareholders' share incurred by the PAC with-profits fund.
 
(iii)  The comparative results have been prepared using previously reported average exchange rates for the year. For memorandum disclosure purposes note 2 presents the 2013 results on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases.
 
Post-tax summarised consolidated income statement
       
           
   
Note
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
       
Asia operations
 
1,978
 
1,955
US operations
 
1,534
 
1,565
UK operations
 
1,151
 
1,200
Other income and expenditure
 
(531)
 
(482)
Solvency II and restructuring costs
 
(36)
 
(34)
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
 
4,096
 
4,204
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
5
763
 
(564)
Effect of changes in economic assumptions
6
(369)
 
629
Mark to market value movements on core borrowings
 
(187)
 
152
Gain on sale of PruHealth and PruProtect
7
44
 
Loss attaching to held for sale Japan Life business
8
 
(35)
Costs of domestication of Hong Kong branch
9
(4)
 
(28)
Total post-tax non-operating profit
 
247
 
154
Profit for the year attributable to equity holders of the Company
 
4,343
 
4,358
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
Movement in shareholders' equity
       
               
       
Note
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
Profit for the year attributable to equity shareholders
 
4,343
 
4,358
Items taken directly to equity:
       
 
Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges
 
737
 
(1,077)
 
Dividends
 
(895)
 
(781)
 
New share capital subscribed
 
13
 
6
 
Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined
   benefit pension schemes
 
(11)
 
(53)
 
Reserve movements in respect of share-based payments
 
106
 
98
 
Treasury shares:
       
   
Movement in own shares in respect of share-based payment plans
 
(48)
 
(10)
   
Movement in own shares purchased by unit trusts consolidated under IFRS
 
(6)
 
(31)
 
Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and
   required capital
 
77
 
(97)
Net increase in shareholders' equity
12
4,316
 
2,413
Shareholders' equity at beginning of year:
       
 
As previously reported
12
24,856
 
22,443
 
Effect of the domestication of Hong Kong branch on 1 January 2014
9
(11)
 
-
         
24,845
 
22,443
Shareholders' equity at end of year
12
29,161
 
24,856
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
                   
Comprising: 
 
31 Dec 2014 £m
 
31 Dec 2013 £m
   
Long-term
business operations
 
Asset
management
and other operations  
Total      
 
Long-term
business
operations
Asset
management
and other operations  
Total     
     
note 12
     
note 12
   
Asia operations
 
12,545
274
12,819
 
10,536
255
10,791
US operations
 
8,379
157
8,536
 
6,966
134
7,100
UK insurance operations
 
8,433
19
8,452
 
7,342
22
7,364
M&G
 
-
1,646
1,646
 
-
1,602
1,602
Other operations
 
-
(2,292)
(2,292)
 
-
(2,001)
(2,001)
Shareholders' equity at end of year
 
29,357
(196)
29,161
 
24,844
12
24,856
Representing:
               
 
Net assets excluding acquired goodwill
and holding company net borrowings
 
29,124
1,542
30,666
 
24,613
1,155
25,768
 
Acquired goodwill
 
233
1,230
1,463
 
231
1,230
1,461
 
Holding company net borrowings at market value note10  
 
-
(2,968)
(2,968)
 
-
(2,373)
(2,373)
   
29,357
(196)
29,161
 
24,844
12
24,856
 
 
Summary statement of financial position
     
             
     
Note
31 Dec 2014 £m
 
31 Dec 2013 £m
Total assets less liabilities, before deduction for insurance funds
 
326,633
 
288,826
Less insurance funds:*
       
 
Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers' share) and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds
 
(314,822)
 
(279,176)
 
Less shareholders' accrued interest in the long-term business
 
17,350
 
15,206
       
(297,472)
 
(263,970)
 Total net assets
 12
 29,161
 
 24,856
         
Share capital
 
128
 
128
Share premium
 
1,908
 
1,895
IFRS basis shareholders' reserves
 
9,775
 
7,627
Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity
 12
11,811
 
9,650
Additional EEV basis retained profit
 12
17,350
 
15,206
Total EEV basis shareholders' equity (excluding non-controlling interests)
 12
29,161
 
24,856
 
*  Including liabilities in respect of insurance products classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4.
 
Net asset value per share
     
           
     
31 Dec 2014
 
31 Dec 2013
Based on EEV basis shareholders' equity of £29,161 million (2013: £24,856 million) (in pence)
1,136p
 
971p
Number of issued shares at year end (millions)
2,568
 
2,560
           
Annualised return on embedded value*
16%
 
19%
 
*  Annualised return on embedded value is based on EEV post-tax operating profit, as a percentage of opening EEV basis shareholders' equity.
 
 
Notes on the EEV basis results
 
1 Basis of preparation
 
The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles issued by the European Insurance CFO Forum in May 2004 and subsequently supplemented by Additional Guidance on EEV Disclosure issued in October 2005. Where appropriate, the EEV basis results include the effects of adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). The EEV results are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis.
 
The directors are responsible for the preparation of the supplementary information in accordance with the EEV Principles. The auditors have reported on the 2014 EEV basis results supplement to the Company's statutory accounts for 2014.  Their report was (i) unqualified, (ii) did not include a reference to any matters to which the auditors drew attention by way of emphasis without qualifying their report and (iii) did not contain a statement under section 498(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 2006. Except for the change in presentation of EEV results from pre-tax to post-tax, as described in the additional unaudited financial information for the 2013 annual report, the 2013 results have been derived from the EEV basis results supplement to the Company's statutory accounts for 2013. The supplement included an unqualified audit report from the auditors.
 
A detailed description of the EEV methodology and accounting presentation is provided in note 16.
 
 
2 Results analysis by business area
 
The 2013 comparative results are shown below on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The 2013 CER comparative results are translated at 2014 average exchange rates.
 
Annual premium and contribution equivalents (APE) (note16(a)(ii))
     
                 
   
2014 £m
 
2013 £m
 
% change
 
Note
   
AER
CER
 
AER
CER
Asia operations
 
 2,237
 
 2,125
 1,946
 
5%
15%
US operations
 
 1,556
 
 1,573
 1,494
 
(1%)
4%
UK operations
 
 857
 
 725
 725
 
18%
18%
Total
3  
 4,650
 
 4,423
 4,165
 
5%
12%
 
Post-tax operating profit
               
                 
   
2014 £m
 
2013 £m
 
% change
 
Note
   
AER
CER
 
AER
CER
Asia operations
               
New business
3  
1,162
 
1,139
1,032
 
2%
13%
Business in force
4  
739
 
753
673
 
(2)%
10%
Long-term business
 
 1,901
 
 1,892
 1,705
 
0%
11%
Eastspring investments
 
78
 
 64
 59
 
22%
32%
Development costs
 
(1)
 
(1)
(1)
 
0%
0%
Total
 
 1,978
 
 1,955
 1,763
 
1%
12%
US operations
               
New business
3  
694
 
706
670
 
(2)%
4%
Business in force
4  
834
 
820
779
 
2%
7%
Long-term business
 
 1,528
 
 1,526
 1,449
 
0%
5%
Broker-dealer and asset management
 
6
 
 39
 37
 
(85)%
(84)%
Total
 
 1,534
 
 1,565
 1,486
 
(2)%
3%
UK operations
               
New business
3  
270
 
237
237
 
14%
14%
Business in force
4  
476
 
595
595
 
(20)%
(20)%
Long-term business
 
746
 
832
832
 
(10)%
(10)%
General insurance commission
 
19
 
 22
 22
 
(14)%
(14)%
Total UK insurance operations
 
765
 
854
854
 
(10)%
(10)%
M&G (including Prudential Capital)
 
386
 
 346
 346
 
12%
12%
Total
 
 1,151
 
 1,200
 1,200
 
(4)%
(4)%
Other income and expenditure
 
(531)
 
(482)
(482)
 
(10)%
(10)%
Solvency II and restructuring costs
 
(36)
 
(34)
(34)
 
(6)%
(6)%
Post-tax operating profit based on
    longer-term investment returns
 
 4,096
 
 4,204
 3,933
 
(3)%
4%
                 
Analysed as profits from:
               
New business
3  
 2,126
 
2,082
1,939
 
2%
10%
Business in force
4  
 2,049
 
 2,168
 2,047
 
(5)%
0%
Total long-term business
 
4,175
 
4,250
3,986
 
(2)%
5%
Asset management
 
470
 
449
442
 
5%
6%
Other results
 
(549)
 
(495)
(495)
 
(11)%
(11)%
Post-tax operating profit based on
    longer-term investment returns
 
4,096
 
 4,204
 3,933
 
(3)%
4%
                 
 
Post-tax profit
               
                 
   
2014 £m
 
2013 £m
 
% change
 
Note
   
AER
CER
 
AER
CER
Post-tax operating profit based on
    longer-term investment returns
 
 4,096
 
 4,204
 3,933
 
(3)%
4%
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
 5  
763
 
(564)
(529)
 
235%
244%
Effect of changes in economic assumptions
 6  
(369)
 
 629
 623
 
(159)%
(159)%
Other non-operating profit
 
(147)
 
 89
 94
 
(265)%
(256)%
Total post-tax non-operating profit
 
247
 
154
188
 
60%
31%
Profit for the year attributable to
   shareholders
 
 4,343
 
 4,358
 4,121
 
0%
5%
                 
 
Basic earnings per share (in pence)
               
                 
 
2014
 
2013
 
% change
     
AER
 
CER
 
AER
CER
Based on post-tax operating profit
    including longer-term investment returns
160.7
p
165.0
p
154.4
p
(3%)
4%
Based on post-tax profit
170.4
p
171.0
p
161.7
p
0%
5%
Average number of shares (millions)
2,549
 
2,548
 
2,548
     
 
 
3 Analysis of new business contribution
 
(i)      Group Summary
               
   
2014
   
Annual premium and contribution equivalents (APE)
Present
value of new business premiums (PVNBP)
New business contribution
 
New business
 margin
     
APE
PVNBP
   
note 18
note 18
(note)
     
   
£m
£m
£m
 
%
%
Asia operations(note ii)
 2,237
 12,331
 1,162
 
 52
 9.4
US operations
 1,556
 15,555
 694
 
 45
 4.5
UK insurance operations
 857
 7,471
 270
 
 32
 3.6
Total
 4,650
 35,357
 2,126
 
 46
 6.0
               
   
2013
   
Annual premium and contribution equivalents (APE)
Present
value of new business premiums (PVNBP)
New business contribution*
 
New business
 margin*
     
APE
PVNBP
   
note 18
note 18
(note)
     
   
£m
£m
£m
 
%
%
Asia operations(note ii)
 2,125
 11,375
 1,139
 
 54
 10.0
US operations
 1,573
 15,723
 706
 
 45
 4.5
UK insurance operations
 725
 5,978
 237
 
 33
 4.0
Total
 4,423
 33,076
 2,082
 
 47
 6.3
               
Note:
The increase in new business contribution of £44 million from £2,082 million for 2013 to £2,126 million in 2014 comprises an increase on a CER basis of £187 million, offset by foreign exchange effects of £(143) million. The increase of £187 million on the CER basis comprises a contribution of £277 million reflecting higher sales volumes and the impact of pricing and product actions, offset by a £(90) million adverse effect of reductions in long-term interest rates in the year (analysed as Asia negative £(17) million, US negative £(63) million and UK negative £(10) million).
 
 
(ii)     Asia operations
   
2014 £m
2013* £m
       
AER
CER
China
 27
 
28
26
Hong Kong
 405
 
283
269
India
 12
 
15
14
Indonesia
 296
 
359
301
Korea
 11
 
25
25
Taiwan
 29
 
31
29
 Other
 382
 
398
368
Total Asia operations
 1,162
 
1,139
1,032
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
4 Operating profit from business in force
 
 
(i)  Group Summary
         
 
2014 £m
 
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
 
note (ii)
note (iii)
note (iv)
(note)
Unwind of discount and other expected returns
648
382
410
1,440
Effect of changes in operating assumptions
52
86
138
Experience variances and other items
39
366
66
471
Total
739
834
476
2,049
         
 
2013* £m
 
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
 
 
note (ii)
note (iii)
note (iv)
(note)
Unwind of discount and other expected returns
668
395
437
1,500
Effect of changes in operating assumptions
5
76
98
179
Experience variances and other items
80
349
60
489
Total
753
820
595
2,168
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
Note:
The movements in operating profit from business in force of £(119) million from £2,168 million in 2013 to £2,049 million for 2014 comprises:
       
     
2014 £m
 
Reduction in unwind of discount and other expected returns:
 
   
Foreign exchange effects
(80)
   
Effect of changes in interest rates
(187)
   
Effect of growth in opening value and other items
207
     
(60)
 
Non-recurrent benefit in 2013 of reduction in UK corporate tax rates
(98)
 
Year on year change in effects of other operating assumptions, experience variances and other items
39
 
Net decrease in operating profit from business in force
(119)
 
 
(ii)  Asia operations
 
       
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
 
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)
 
648
 
668
 
Effect of changes in operating assumptions:
       
   
Mortality and morbiditynote (b)
 
27
 
19
   
Persistency and withdrawalsnote (c)
 
(17)
 
(23)
   
Expense
 
(5)
 
(6)
   
Othernote (d)
 
47
 
15
       
52
 
5
 
Experience variances and other items:
       
   
Mortality and morbiditynote (e) 
 
23
 
33
   
Persistency and withdrawalsnote (f) 
 
44
 
36
   
Expensenote (g) 
 
(27)
 
(17)
   
Other
 
(1)
 
28
       
39
 
80
 
Total Asia operations
 
739
 
753
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
Notes: 
 
(a) The decrease in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £(20) million from £668 million for 2013 to £648 million for 2014 is impacted by the effect of lower interest rates of £(55) million, and a £(61) million adverse foreign currency translation effect, partially offset by £96 million mainly for the increase in the opening in-force value.
 
(b) In 2014 the credit of £27 million for mortality and morbidity assumption changes reflects a number of offsetting items, including the effect of reduced projected mortality rates for Hong Kong.  In 2013 the credit of £19 million mainly reflected the beneficial effect arising from the renegotiation of a reinsurance agreement in Indonesia.
 
(c) In 2014 the charge of £(17) million for persistency  assumptions mainly reflects increased partial withdrawal assumptions on unit-linked business in Korea.  For 2013 the charge of £(23) million reflected a number of offsetting items including the effect of strengthening lapse and premium holiday assumptions in Korea.                                                                                                                    
 
(d) In 2014 the credit of £47 million for other assumption changes reflects a number of offsetting items, including the effects of modelling improvements and those arising from asset allocation changes in Hong Kong.
 
(e) The favourable effect of mortality and morbidity experience in 2014 of £23 million (2013: £33 million) reflects better than expected experience in Indonesia and Hong Kong, offset by higher claims in Malaysia on medical reimbursement products.
 
(f) The positive persistency and withdrawals experience variance in 2014 of £44 million (2013: £36 million) reflects favourable experience principally in Hong Kong across all product groups.
 
(g) The expense experience variance at 2014 is negative £(27) million (2013: negative £(17) million). The variance arises in operations which are currently sub-scale (China, Malaysia Takaful and Taiwan), and from short-term overruns in India and Korea.
 
 
 
 
(iii)  US operations
 
 
       
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
 
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)
 
382
 
395
 
Effect of changes in operating assumptions:
       
   
Persistencynote (b)
 
55
 
47
   
Othernote (c)
 
31
 
29
       
86
 
76
 
Experience variances and other items:
       
   
Spread experience variancenote (d)
 
192
 
217
   
Amortisation of interest-related realised gains and lossesnote (e)
 
56
 
58
   
Othernote (f)
 
118
 
74
       
366
 
349
 
Total US operations
 
834
 
820
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
Notes:                                                                                                                                                         
 
(a) The decrease in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £(13) million from £395 million for 2013 to £382 million for 2014 reflects a £(73) million adverse effect of the 90 basis points reduction in the US 10-year Treasury rate and a £(19) million adverse foreign currency effect, partially offset by a £79 million effect mainly for the underlying growth in the in-force book.
 
(b) The credit in 2014 of £55 million (2013: £47 million) for persistency assumption changes principally relates to revised assumptions for variable annuity business to more closely reflect recent experience.
 
(c) The effect of other changes in operating assumptions of £31 million reflects a number of offsetting items and includes the capitalised effect of changes in projected policyholder variable annuity fees of £46 million (2013: £33 million) which vary depending on the size and mix of variable annuity funds.
 
(d) The spread assumption for Jackson is determined on a longer-term basis, net of provision for defaults (see note 17 (ii)). The spread experience variance in 2014 of £192 million (2013: £217 million) includes the positive effect of transactions undertaken to more closely match the overall asset and liability duration.
 
(e) The amortisation of interest-related gains and losses reflects the fact that when bonds that are neither impaired nor deteriorating are sold and reinvested there will be a consequent change in the investment yield. The realised gain or loss is amortised into the result over the year when the bonds would have otherwise matured to better reflect the long-term returns included in operating profits.
 
(f) The effect of £118 million in 2014 for other experience variances and other items includes the effect of favourable persistency, mortality and tax experience variances, the most significant item arising from the continued positive persistency experience for annuity business of £59 million (2013: £40 million).
 
 
(iv)    UK insurance operations
 
 
       
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
 
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)
410
 
437
 
Effect of change in UK corporate tax ratenote (b)
 
98
 
Other itemsnote (c)
66
 
60
 
Total UK insurance operations
476
 
595
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
     Notes:
 
(a)   The decrease in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £(27) million from £437 million for 2013 to £410 million for 2014 reflects a £(59) million adverse impact of the 130 basis point reduction in gilt yields partially offset by £32 million mainly for the underlying growth in the in-force book.
 
(b)   For 2013, the positive contribution from the change in UK corporate tax rates of £98 million reflected the combined effect of the reductions in corporate rates from 23 per cent to 21 per cent from April 2014 and 21 per cent to 20 per cent from April 2015.
 
(c)   Other items of £66 million for 2014 (2013: £60 million) principally reflect the positive effects of rebalancing the investment portfolio backing annuity business (see note 16(b)(ii)).
 
 
5 Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
 
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns included in profit for the year arise as follows:
 
(i) Group Summary
           
     
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
 
Insurance operations:
       
 
Asianote (ii)
 
439
 
(308)
 
USnote (iii)
 
(166)
 
(280)
 
UKnote (iv)
 
583
 
28
     
856
 
(560)
 
Other operationsnote (v)
 
(93)
 
(4)
 
Total
 
763
 
(564)
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
 
(ii) Asia operations
 
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for Asia operations comprise amounts in respect of:
         
   
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
 
Hong Kong
178
 
(178)
 
Indonesia
35
 
(44)
 
Singapore
92
 
(80)
 
Other
134
 
(6)
 
Total Asia operations
439
 
(308)
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
These fluctuations mainly arise from decreases (2014) and increases (2013) in long-term interest rates as they affect the value of bonds in the portfolios backing liabilities and related capital. The £134 million credit for other operations in 2014 principally arises in Taiwan of £23 million and in Thailand of £49 million for unrealised gains on bonds.
 
(iii) US operations
 
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for US operations comprise:
     
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
 
Investment return related experience on fixed income securitiesnote (a)
31
 
13
 
Investment return related impact due to changed expectation of profits on in-force
   variable annuity business in future periods based on current period
   separate account return, net of related hedging activitynote (b)
(187)
 
(377)
 
Other items including actual less long-term return on equity based investmentsnote (c)
(10)
 
84
 
Total US operations
(166)
 
(280)
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
 
Notes:
(a)   The credit relating to fixed income securities comprises the following elements:
 
-   the excess of actual realised gains and losses over the amortisation of interest related realised gains and losses recorded in the profit and loss account;
 
-   credit loss experience (versus the longer-term assumption); and
 
-   the impact of changes in the asset portfolio.
(b)   This item reflects the net impact of:
 
-   variances in projected future fees and future benefit costs arising from the effect of market fluctuations on the growth in separate account asset values in the current reporting period; and
 
-   related hedging activity arising from realised and unrealised gains and losses on equity related hedges and interest rate options.
 
(c)   For 2013, other items of £84 million primarily reflected a beneficial impact of the excess of actual over assumed return from investments in limited partnerships.
 
(iv) UK insurance operations
 
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for UK insurance operations comprise:
 
   
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
 
Shareholder-backed annuitynote (a)
310
 
(58)
 
With-profits, Unit-linked and othernote (b)
273
 
86
   
583
 
28
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
 
Notes:
 
(a)    Short-term fluctuations in investment returns for shareholder-backed annuity business comprise:
 
-    gains/(losses) on surplus assets  compared to the expected long-term rate of return reflecting reductions/(increases) in corporate bond and gilt yields;
 
-    the difference between actual and expected default experience; and
 
-    the effect of mismatching for assets and liabilities of different durations and other short-term fluctuations in investment returns.
 
(b)   The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for with-profits, unit-linked and other business primarily arise from the excess of actual over expected returns for with-profits business, reflecting a  total pre-tax return on the fund (including unallocated surplus) in 2014 of 9.5 per cent compared to an assumed rate of return of 5.0 per cent (2013: 8.0 per cent total return compared to assumed rate of 6.0 per cent). In addition, the amount includes the effect of a partial hedge of future shareholder transfers expected to emerge from the UK's with-profits sub-fund taken out during 2013. This hedge reduces the risks arising from equity market declines.
 
 
(v) Other operations
 
 
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns of other operations were negative £(93) million (2013: negative £(4) million) representing unrealised value movements on investments and foreign exchange items.
 
6 Effect of changes in economic assumptions
 
The effects of changes in economic assumptions for in-force business included in profit for the year, arise as follows:
 
(i)   Group Summary
     
       
 
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
Asia operationsnote (ii)
(269)
 
255
US operationsnote (iii)
(77)
 
242
UK insurance operationsnote (iv)
(23)
 
132
Total
(369)
 
629
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
(ii)  Asia operations
     
         
The effect of changes in economic assumptions for Asia operations comprises:
     
         
   
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
 
Hong Kong
(121)
 
289
 
Malaysia
11
 
(62)
 
Indonesia
25
 
(176)
 
Singapore
(42)
 
90
 
Taiwan
(21)
 
92
 
Other
(121)
 
22
 
Total Asia operations
(269)
 
255
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
 
        The negative effect of £(269) million in 2014 principally reflected the overall impact of the reduction in fund earned rates for participating business  in Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan, driven by the decrease in long-term interest rates. A negative effect has been reported on non-participating business in Korea (adverse £(38) million) and Thailand (adverse £(34) million) for similar reasons. These amounts were partially offset by the positive effect of valuing future health and protection profits at lower discount rates in Indonesia and Malaysia.
 
 
 
        The positive impact in 2013 of £255 million reflected the overall impact of an increase in fund earned rates for participating business, principally arising in Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan, mainly due to the increase in long-term interest rates. There were partial offsets arising in Indonesia and Malaysia, valuing the negative impact of future health and protection profits at a higher discount rate.
 
 
 
(iii)  US operations
 
 
 
The effect of changes in economic assumptions for US operations comprises:
 
   
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
 
Effect of changes in 10-year treasury rates:
     
   
Fixed annuity and other general account business note (a)
151
 
(244)
   
Variable annuity businessnote (b)
(228)
 
382
 
Decrease in additional allowance for credit risknote (c)
 
104
 
Totalnote (d)
(77)
 
242
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
 
Notes:
 
(a)   For fixed annuity and other general account business,  the credit of £151 million in 2014 principally arises from the effect on the future projected spread income of applying a lower discount rate on the opening value of the in-force book, arising from the 90 basis points reduction in the 10-year treasury rates (2013: charge of £(244) million reflecting the 130 basis points increase).
 
(b)   In 2014 there was a 90 basis points decline in 10-year treasury rates. For variable annuity business the charge of £(228) million principally reflects the net effect of the consequent decrease in the assumed future rate of return on the underlying separate account assets, resulting in lower projected fee income and an increase in projected benefit costs, partially offset by the decrease in the risk discount rate. The credit of £382 million in 2013 reflected an increase in the risk free rate of 130 basis points.
 
(c)   For 2013 the £104 million effect of the decrease in the additional allowance for credit risk within the risk discount rate reflected the reduction in credit spreads (50 basis points for spread business and 10 basis points for variable annuity business).
 
(d)   The overall credit in 2013 of £242 million included a charge of £(13) million for the effect of a change in required capital on the EEV basis from 235 per cent to 250 per cent of risk-based capital.
 
 
(iv)  UK insurance operations
 
       
The effect of changes in economic assumptions for UK insurance operations comprises the following:
 
   
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
 
Effect of changes in expected long-term rates of return, risk discount rates and other changes:
     
   
Shareholder-backed annuity businessnote (a)
352
 
(56)
   
With-profits and other businessnote (b)
(375)
 
188
 
Total
(23)
 
132
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
 
Notes:
 
(a)   For shareholder-backed annuity business the overall positive effect reflects the effect on the present value of projected spread income arising from the reduction in expected long-term rates of return and risk discount rates, following the swap rate decline in 2014.
 
(b)   For with-profits and other business the total charge in 2014 of £(375) million (2013: credit of £188 million) includes the net effect of the reduction in fund earned rates and risk discount rates (as shown in note 17(iii)), arising from the 130 basis points decrease (2013: increase of 120 basis points) in the 15-year government bond rate and portfolio changes. 
 
7 Sale of PruHealth and PruProtect business
 
On 10 November 2014, the Prudential Assurance Company Limited announced an agreement to sell its 25 per cent equity stake in the PruHealth and PruProtect businesses to Discovery Group Europe Limited.  The sale was completed on 14 November 2014.  This transaction gave rise to a gain on disposal of £44 million. 
 
8 Held for sale Japan Life business
 
On 5 February 2015, the Group announced that it had completed the sale of its closed book life insurance business in Japan, PCA Life Insurance Company Limited to SBI Holdings, Inc. following regulatory approvals. The loss of Japan Life business in the 2013 results includes the reduction in EEV carrying value to reflect the completion of sale. 
 
9 Domestication of the Hong Kong branch business
 
On 1 January 2014, following consultation with policyholders of PAC and regulators and court approval, the Hong Kong branch of PAC was transferred to separate subsidiaries established in Hong Kong. The 2014 EEV basis results includes opening adjustments arising from the transfer of capital that was previously held within the UK business in respect of the Hong Kong branch operations and additional capital requirements that arise from the newly established subsidiaries as follows:
 
 
2014 £m
Adjustment to shareholders' equity at
1 January 2014
Free surplus
Required capital
Total
net worth
Value of
in-force business
Total
long-term
business
operations
Asia operations
(104)
104
-
(40)
(40)
UK insurance operations
69
(69)
-
29
29
Opening adjustment
(35)
35
(11)
(11)
 
The net EEV basis effect of £(11) million represents the cost of holding higher required capital levels in the stand-alone Hong Kong shareholder-backed long-term insurance business.  The post-tax costs incurred to enable the domestication in 2014 were £4 million (2013: £28 million).
 
10 Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations
                 
 
31 Dec 2014 £m
   
31 Dec 2013 £m
 
IFRS
basis
Mark to
market
value
adjustment
EEV
basis at
market
value
   
IFRS
basis
Mark to
market
value
adjustment
EEV
basis at
market
value
Holding company* cash and short-term investments
(1,480)
-
(1,480)
   
(2,230)
-
(2,230)
Core structural borrowings - central funds
3,869
579
4,448
   
4,211
392
4,603
Holding company net borrowings
2,389
579
2,968
   
1,981
392
2,373
Core structural borrowings - Prudential Capital
275
-
275
   
275
-
275
Core structural borrowings - Jackson
160
42
202
   
150
38
188
Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations
2,824
621
3,445
   
2,406
430
2,836
 
* Including central finance subsidiaries.
 
11 Analysis of movement in free surplus
 
Free surplus is the excess of the regulatory basis net assets for EEV reporting purposes (net worth) over the capital required to support the covered business. Where appropriate, adjustments are made to the net worth so that backing assets are included at fair value rather than cost so as to comply with the EEV Principles.
 
(i) Underlying free surplus generated
             
               
The 2013 comparative results are shown below on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The 2013 CER comparative results are translated at 2014 average exchange rates.
               
 
2014 £m
 
2013 £m
 
% change
     
AER
CER
*
AER
CER
Asia operations
             
Underlying free surplus generated from in-force
    life business
860
 
819
742
 
5%
16%
Investment in new businessnotes (ii)(a), (ii)(g)
(346)
 
(310)
(285)
 
(12)%
(21)%
Long-term business
514
 
509
457
 
1%
12%
Eastspring Investmentsnote (ii)(b)
78
 
64
59
 
22%
32%
Total
592
 
573
516
 
3%
15%
US operations
             
Underlying free surplus generated from in-force
    life business
 1,191
 
 1,129
 1,072
 
5%
11%
Investment in new businessnote (ii)(a)
(187)
 
(298)
(283)
 
37%
34%
Long-term business
1,004
 
831
789
 
21%
27%
Broker-dealer and asset managementnote (ii)(b)
6
 
39
37
 
(85)%
(84)%
Total
1,010
 
870
826
 
16%
22%
UK insurance operations
             
Underlying free surplus generated from in-force
    life business
645
 
680
680
 
(5)%
(5)%
Investment in new businessnote (ii)(a)
(73)
 
(29)
(29)
 
(152)%
(152)%
Long-term business
572
 
651
651
 
(12)%
(12)%
General insurance commissionnote (ii)(b)
19
 
22
22
 
(14)%
(14)%
Total
591
 
673
673
 
(12)%
(12)%
M&G (including Prudential Capital)note (ii)(b)
386
 
346
346
 
12%
12%
Underlying free surplus generated
2,579
 
2,462
2,361
 
5%
9%
               
Representing:
             
Long-term business:
             
Expected in-force cashflows (including expected
    return on net assets)
2,382
 
2,150
2,037
 
11%
17%
Effects of changes in operating assumptions,
    operating experience variances and other
    operating items
314
 
478
457
 
(34)%
(31)%
Underlying free surplus generated from
    in-force life business
2,696
 
2,628
2,494
 
3%
8%
Investment in new businessnotes (ii)(a), (ii)(g)
(606)
 
(637)
(597)
 
5%
(2)%
Total long-term business
2,090
 
1,991
1,897
 
5%
10%
Asset managementnote (ii)(b)
489
 
471
464
 
4%
5%
Underlying free surplus generated
2,579
 
2,462
2,361
 
5%
9%
               
(ii) Movement in Free surplus
         
                 
Long-term business and asset management operations
2014 £m
 
2013 £m
       
 Long-term business
Asset management and UK general insurance commission
Free surplus of long-term business, asset management and UK general insurance commission
 
Free surplus of
 long-term business, asset management and UK general insurance commission
 
note 13
note (b)
     
Underlying movement:
         
 
Investment in new businessnotes (a), (g)
(606)
(606)
 
(637)
 
Business in force:
         
   
Expected in-force cash flows (including expected return
   on net assets)
2,382
489
2,871
 
2,621
   
Effects of changes in operating assumptions, operating
   experience variances and other operating items
314
314
 
478
       
2,090
489
2,579
 
2,462
Increase in EEV assumed level of required capital
 
(58)
Loss attaching to held for sale Japan Life businessnote 8
 
(40)
Gain on sale of PruHealth and PruProtect notes  7, 13
130
130
 
 -
Other non-operating itemsnote (c)
(252)
(14)
(266)
 
(722)
       
1,968
475
2,443
 
1,642
Net cash flows to parent companynote (d)
(1,170)
(312)
(1,482)
 
(1,341)
Bancassurance agreement and purchase of Thanachart Life
 
 365
Exchange movements, timing differences and other itemsnote (e)
210
(80)
130
 
(352)
Net movement in free surplus
1,008
83
1,091
 
314
Balance at beginning of year:
         
As previously reported
3,220
783
4,003
 
3,689
Effect of domestication of Hong Kong branch on 1 January 2014note 9
(35)
(35)
 
-
Balance at 1 January
3,185
783
3,968
 
3,689
Balance at 31 December 2014 / 31 December 2013note (g)
4,193
866
5,059
 
4,003
Representing:
         
 
Asia operations
1,347
213
1,560
 
1,379
 
US operations
1,416
141
1,557
 
1,074
 
UK operations
1,430
512
1,942
 
1,550
       
4,193
866
5,059
 
4,003
Balance at beginning of year:
         
 
Asia operations
1,185
194
1,379
 
1,181
 
US operations
956
118
1,074
 
1,319
 
UK operations
1,079
471
1,550
 
1,189
       
3,220
783
4,003
 
3,689
                               
 
 
Notes:
 
(a)   Free surplus invested in new business represents amounts set aside for required capital and acquisition costs.
 
(b)   For the purposes of this analysis, free surplus for asset management operations and the UK general insurance commission is taken to be IFRS basis post-tax earnings and shareholders' equity.
 
(c)   Non-operating items are principally short-term fluctuations in investment returns and the effect of changes in economic assumptions for long-term business operations.
 
(d)   Net cash flows to parent company for long-term business operations reflect the flows as included in the holding company cash flow at transaction rates.
 
(e)   Exchange movements, timing differences and other items represent:
   
2014 £m
   
Long-term
business
Asset management and UK general insurance commission
Total
 
Exchange movementsnote 13
134
11
145
 
Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus
      and required capitalnote 12
77
77
 
Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined
      benefit pension schemes
(17)
(1)
(18)
 
Othernote (f)
16
(90)
(74)
   
210
(80)
130
 
 
(f)    Other primarily reflects the effect of intra-group loans, contingent loan funding as shown in note 13(i), timing differences and other non-cash items.
 
(g)   Investment in new business includes the annual amortisation charge of amounts incurred to secure exclusive distribution rights  through our bancassurance partners at a rate that reflects the pattern in which the future economic benefits are expected to be consumed by reference to new business levels. Included within the overall free surplus balance of our Asian life entities is £304 million representing unamortised amounts incurred to secure exclusive distribution rights through bancassurance partners. These amounts exclude £883 million of  Asia distribution rights intangibles that are financed by loan arrangements from central companies, the costs of which are allocated to the Asia life segment as the amortisation cost is incurred.
 
 
12 Reconciliation of movement in shareholders' equity
 
     
2014 £m
   
     
Long-term business operations
 
Other operations
 
Group
Total
   
     
Asia operations
 
US
operations
 
UK
insurance operations
 
Total
long-term business
operations
       
                   
                   
     
note (i)
             
note (i)
       
Post-tax operating profit (based on longer-
   term investment returns)
                         
Long-term business:
                         
 
New businessnote 3
1,162
 
694
 
270
 
2,126
 
 
2,126
   
 
Business in forcenote 4
739
 
834
 
476
 
2,049
 
 
2,049
   
     
1,901
 
1,528
 
746
 
4,175
 
 
4,175
   
Asset management
 
 
 
 
470
 
470
   
Other results
(1)
 
 
(20)
 
(21)
 
(528)
 
(549)
   
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-
   term investment returns
1,900
 
1,528
 
726
 
4,154
 
(58)
 
4,096
   
Total post-tax non-operating profit
170
 
(245)
 
600
 
525
 
(278)
 
247
   
Profit for the year
2,070
 
1,283
 
1,326
 
4,679
 
(336)
 
4,343
   
Other items taken directly to equity
                         
Exchange movements on foreign operations
   and net investment hedges
375
 
483
 
 
858
 
(121)
 
737
   
Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers)note (ii)
(410)
 
(413)
 
(200)
 
(1,023)
 
1,023
 
   
Investment in operationsnote (iii)
3
 
 
 
3
 
(3)
 
   
External dividends
 
 
 
 
(895)
 
(895)
   
Other movements note (iv)
9
 
(17)
 
(64)
 
(72)
 
126
 
54
   
Mark to market value movements on Jackson
   assets backing surplus and required capital
 
77
 
 
77
 
 
77
   
Net increase in shareholders' equity
2,047
 
1,413
 
1,062
 
4,522
 
(206)
 
4,316
   
Shareholders' equity at beginning of year:
                         
As previously reported
10,305
 
6,966
 
7,342
 
24,613
 
243
 
24,856
   
Effect of domestication of Hong Kong branch on
    1 January 2014note 9
(40)
 
 -  
 
29
 
(11)
 
 -  
 
(11)
   
Shareholders' equity at 31 December 2014note (i)
12,312
 
8,379
 
8,433
 
29,124
 
37
 
29,161
   
                             
Representing:
                       
Statutory IFRS basis shareholders' equity:
                       
Net assets
3,315
 
4,067
 
3,785
 
11,167
 
(819)
 
10,348
 
Goodwill
-
 
-
 
-
 
-
 
1,463
 
1,463
 
Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity
3,315
 
4,067
 
3,785
 
11,167
 
644
 
11,811
 
Additional retained profit (loss) on an EEV basisnote (v)
8,997
 
4,312
 
4,648
 
17,957
 
(607)
 
17,350
 
EEV basis shareholders' equity
12,312
 
8,379
 
8,433
 
29,124
 
37
 
29,161
 
Balance at 31 December 2013
                       
Representing:
                       
Statutory IFRS basis shareholders' equity:
                       
Net assets
2,564
 
3,446
 
2,976
 
8,986
 
(797)
 
8,189
 
Goodwill
-
 
-
 
-
 
-
 
1,461
 
1,461
 
Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity
2,564
 
3,446
 
2,976
 
8,986
 
664
 
9,650
 
Additional retained profit (loss) on an EEV basisnote (v)
7,741
 
3,520
 
4,366
 
15,627
 
(421)
 
15,206
 
EEV basis shareholders' equity
10,305
 
6,966
 
7,342
 
24,613
 
243
 
24,856
 
 
Notes:
 
(i)     For the purposes of the table above, goodwill of £233 million (2013: £231 million) related to Asia long-term operations is included in Other operations.
 
(ii)    Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) represent dividends that have been declared in the year and amounts accrued in respect of statutory transfers. The amounts included in note 11 for these items are as per the holding company cashflow at transaction rates. The difference primarily relates to intra-group loans, timing differences arising on statutory transfers, and other non-cash items.
 
(iii)   Investment in operations reflects increases in share capital.
 
(iv)   Included in other movements there was a charge of £(11) million (2013: £(53) million) for the shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on the defined benefit schemes.
 
(v)   The additional retained loss on an EEV basis for Other operations primarily represents the mark to market value adjustment for holding company net borrowings of a charge of £(579) million (2013: £(392) million), as shown in note 10.
 
13 Reconciliation of movement in net worth and value of in-force for long-term business
                 
   
2014 £m
               
Total
           
Value of
 
long-term
   
Free
Required
Total net
 
in-force
 
business
   
Surplus
capital
 worth
 
business
 
operations
   
note  11
     
note (iii)
   
Group
             
Shareholders' equity at beginning of year:
             
As previously reported
3,220
3,954
7,174
 
17,439
 
24,613
Effect of domestication of Hong Kong branch on 1 January 2014note 9
(35)
35
 
(11)
 
(11)
   
3,185
3,989
7,174
 
17,428
 
24,602
New business contributionnotes (ii) and 3
(606)
453
(153)
 
2,279
 
2,126
Existing business - transfer to net worth
2,276
(316)
1,960
 
(1,960)
 
Expected return on existing businessnote 4
106
81
187
 
1,253
 
1,440
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances note 4
335
36
371
 
238
 
609
Development expenses, solvency II and restructuring costs
(21)
(21)
 
 
(21)
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
2,090
254
2,344
 
1,810
 
4,154
Gain on sale of PruHealth and PruProtectnote 7
130
(32)
98
 
(54)
 
44
Other non-operating items
(252)
220
(32)
 
513
 
481
Post-tax profit from long-term business
1,968
442
2,410
 
2,269
 
4,679
Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges
134
125
259
 
599
 
858
Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) and investment in
       operationsnote (i)
(1,099)
(1,099)
 
79
 
(1,020)
Other movements
5
5
 
 
5
Shareholders' equity at 31 December 2014
4,193
4,556
8,749
 
20,375
 
29,124
                 
 
Representing:
             
Asia operations
             
Shareholders' equity at beginning of year:
             
As previously reported
1,185
977
2,162
 
8,143
 
10,305
Effect of domestication of Hong Kong branch on 1 January 2014note 9
(104)
104
 
(40)
 
(40)
   
1,081
1,081
2,162
 
8,103
 
10,265
New business contributionnotes (ii) and 3
(346)
130
(216)
 
1,378
 
1,162
Existing business - transfer to net worth
828
(23)
805
 
(805)
 
Expected return on existing businessnote 4
62
62
 
586
 
648
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4
(29)
44
15
 
76
 
91
Development expenses
(1)
(1)
 
 
(1)
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
514
151
665
 
1,235
 
1,900
Other non-operating items
118
70
188
 
(18)
 
170
Post-tax profit from long-term business
632
221
853
 
1,217
 
2,070
Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges
56
25
81
 
294
 
375
Intra-group dividends and investment in operations
(407)
(407)
 
 
(407)
Other movements
(15)
(15)
 
24
 
9
Shareholders' equity at 31 December 2014
1,347
1,327
2,674
 
9,638
 
12,312
 
US operations
             
Shareholders' equity at 1 January 2014
956
1,607
2,563
 
4,403
 
6,966
New business contributionnotes (ii) and 3
(187)
216
29
 
665
 
694
Existing business - transfer to net worth
883
(210)
673
 
(673)
 
Expected return on existing businessnote 4
30
48
78
 
304
 
382
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4
278
4
282
 
170
 
452
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
1,004
58
1,062
 
466
 
1,528
Other non-operating items
(269)
(55)
(324)
 
79
 
(245)
Post-tax profit from long-term business
735
3
738
 
545
 
1,283
Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges
78
100
178
 
305
 
483
Intra-group dividends
(413)
(413)
 
 
(413)
Other movements
60
60
 
 
60
Shareholders' equity at 31 December 2014
1,416
1,710
3,126
 
5,253
 
8,379
 
UK insurance operations
             
Shareholders' equity at beginning of year:
             
As previously reported
1,079
1,370
2,449
 
4,893
 
7,342
Effect of domestication of Hong Kong branch on 1 January 2014note 9
69
(69)
 
29
 
29
   
1,148
1,301
2,449
 
4,922
 
7,371
New business contributionnotes (ii) and 3
(73)
107
34
 
236
 
270
Existing business - transfer to net worth
565
(83)
482
 
(482)
 
Expected return on existing businessnote 4
14
33
47
 
363
 
410
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4
86
(12)
74
 
(8)
 
66
Solvency II and restructuring costs
(20)
(20)
 
 
(20)
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
572
45
617
 
109
 
726
Gain on sale of PruHealth and PruProtectnote  7
130
(32)
98
 
(54)
 
44
Other non-operating items
(101)
205
104
 
452
 
556
Post-tax profit from long-term business
601
218
819
 
507
 
1,326
Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers)note (i)
(279)
(279)
 
79
 
(200)
Other movements
(40)
(40)
 
(24)
 
(64)
Shareholders' equity at 31 December 2014
1,430
1,519
2,949
 
5,484
 
8,433
                 
 
Notes:
 
(i)      The amounts shown in respect of free surplus and the value of in-force business for UK insurance operations for intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) include the repayment of contingent loan funding. Contingent loan funding represents amounts whose repayment to the lender is contingent upon future surpluses emerging from certain contracts specified under the arrangement. If insufficient surplus emerges on those contracts, there is no recourse to other assets of the Group and the liability is not payable to the degree of shortfall.
(ii)      New business contribution per £1 million of free surplus invested:
                       
     
2014 £m
 
2013 £m
     
Asia operations
US operations
UK
insurance operations
Total
long-term
business operations
 
Asia operations
US operations
UK
insurance operations
Total
long-term
business operations
                       
 
Post-tax new business
   contributionnote 3
1,162
694
270
2,126
 
1,139
706
237
2,082
 
Free surplus invested in
    new business
(346)
(187)
(73)
(606)
 
(310)
(298)
(29)
(637)
 
Post-tax new business contribution
   £1 million of free surplus invested
3.4
3.7
3.7
3.5
 
3.7
2.4
8.2
3.3
 
 
(iii)     The value of in-force business comprises the value of future margins from current in-force business less the cost of holding required capital as shown below:
                       
     
31 Dec 2014 £m
 
31 Dec 2013 £m
     
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
 
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
 
Value of in-force business
   before deduction of
   cost of capital and
   time value of guarantees  
10,168
5,914
5,756
21,838
 
8,540
4,769
5,135
18,444
 
Cost of capital
(417)
(199)
(272)
(888)
 
(347)
(220)
(242)
(809)
 
Cost of time value of guaranteesnote (iv)
(113)
(462)
(575)
 
(50)
(146)
(196)
 
Net value of in-force business
9,638
5,253
5,484
20,375
 
8,143
4,403
4,893
17,439
 
 
(iv)     The increase in the cost of time value of guarantees for US operations from £(146) million at 2013 to £(462) million at 2014 primarily relates to variable annuity business. It mainly arises from the decrease in the expected long-term separate account rate of return following the 90 basis points decline in the US 10-year treasury bond rate and the impact from new business written in the year, partly offset by the level of equity performance.
 
14 Expected transfer of value of in-force business to free surplus
 
The discounted value of in-force business and required capital can be reconciled to the 2014 and 2013 totals in the tables below for the emergence of free surplus as follows:
 
 
2014 £m
 
2013 £m
Required capitalnote 13
4,556
 
3,954
Value of in-force (VIF)note 13
20,375
 
17,439
Add back: deduction for cost of time value of guaranteesnote 13
575
 
196
Expected cashflow from sale of Japan Life business
(23)
 
(25)
Other itemsnote
(1,382)
 
(1,157)
Total
24,101
 
20,407
 
Note:
'Other items'  represent amounts incorporated into VIF where there is no definitive timeframe for when the payments will be made or receipts received. In particular, other items includes the deduction of the value of the shareholders' interest in the estate, the value of which is derived by increasing final bonus rates so as to exhaust the estate over the lifetime of the in-force with-profits business. This is an assumption to give an appropriate valuation. To be conservative this item is excluded from the expected free surplus generation profile below.
 
Cash flows are projected on a deterministic basis and are discounted at the appropriate risk discount rate. The modelled cash flows use the same methodology underpinning the Group's embedded value reporting and so are subject to the same assumptions and sensitivities.
 
The table below shows how the VIF generated by the in-force business and the associated required capital is modelled as emerging into free surplus over future years.
 
   
2014 £m
   
Expected period of conversion of future post tax distributable earnings and required capital flows to free surplus
 
2014 Total as shown above
1-5 years
6 -10 years
11-15 years
16 -20 years
21-40 years
40+ years
Asia operations*
10,859
3,660
2,289
1,553
1,026
1,874
457
US operations
7,471
3,867
2,298
873
334
99
UK insurance operations
5,771
2,111
1,464
973
606
604
13
Total
24,101
9,638
6,051
3,399
1,966
2,577
470
 
100%
40%
25%
14%
8%
11%
2%
               
   
2013 £m
   
Expected period of conversion of future post tax distributable earnings and required capital flows to free surplus
 
2013Total as shown above
1-5 years
6 -10 years
11-15 years
16 -20 years
21-40 years
40+ years
Asia operations*
9,021
3,168
1,883
1,275
855
1,465
375
US operations
6,234
3,326
1,845
653
271
139
UK insurance operations
5,152
1,915
1,326
870
536
487
18
Total
20,407
8,409
5,054
2,798
1,662
2,091
393
 
100%
41%
25%
14%
8%
10%
2%
*Following its reclassification as held for sale, the Asia cashflows exclude any cashflows in respect of Japan.
               
15 Sensitivity of results to alternative assumptions
 
(a) Sensitivity analysis - economic assumptions
 
The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 31 December 2014 (31 December 2013) and the post-tax new business contribution after the effect of required capital for 2014 and 2013 to:
 
 
•     1 per cent increase in the discount rates;
 
•     1 per cent increase and decrease in interest rates, including all consequential changes (assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets, risk discount rates);
 
•     1 per cent rise in equity and property yields;
 
•     10 per cent fall in market value of equity and property assets (embedded value only);
 
•     The statutory minimum capital level (by contrast to EEV basis required capital), (for embedded value only);
 
•     5 basis point increase in UK long-term expected defaults; and
 
•     10 basis point increase in the liquidity premium for UK annuities.
 
 
In each sensitivity calculation, all other assumptions remain unchanged except where they are directly affected by the revised economic conditions.
 
New business contribution
                 
                     
   
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
   
Asia operations
US operations
UK insurance operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
 
Asia operations
US operations
UK insurance operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
Post-tax new business contributionnote 3
1,162
694
270
2,126
 
1,139
706
237
2,082
Discount rates - 1% increase
(176)
(27)
(38)
(241)
 
(148)
(34)
(29)
(211)
Interest rates - 1% increase
13
61
(15)
59
 
23
47
(1)
69
Interest rates - 1% decrease
(52)
(101)
19
(134)
 
(55)
(69)
(124)
Equity/property yields - 1% rise
46
73
12
131
 
45
63
10
118
Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps increase
(10)
(10)
 
(6)
(6)
Liquidity premium - 10 bps increase
20
20
 
12
12
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
Embedded value of long-term business operations
             
         
   
2014 £m
 
2013 £m
         
Total
       
Total
       
UK
long-term
     
UK
long-term
   
Asia
US
insurance
business
 
Asia
US
insurance
business
   
operations
operations
operations
operations
 
operations
operations
operations
 operations
Shareholders' equitynote 12
12,312
8,379
8,433
29,124
 
10,305
6,966
7,342
24,613
Discount rates - 1% increase
 (1,214)
 (268)
 (602)
 (2,084)
 
 (992)
 (266)
 (529)
 (1,787)
Interest rates - 1% increase
 (462)
 (232)
 (362)
 (1,056)
 
 (297)
 (65)
 (380)
 (742)
Interest rates - 1% decrease
211
16
452
679
 
200
 (12)
443
631
Equity/property yields - 1% rise
435
365
282
1,082
 
370
250
210
830
Equity/property market values - 10% fall
 (221)
 (129)
 (380)
 (730)
 
 (183)
 (90)
 (238)
 (511)
Statutory minimum capital
129
139
4
272
 
109
153
4
266
Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps increase
 (139)
 (139)
 
 (114)
 (114)
Liquidity premium - 10 bps increase
278
278
 
228
228
 
The sensitivities shown above are for the impact of instantaneous changes on the embedded value of long-term business operations and include the combined effect on the value of in-force business and net assets at the balance sheet dates indicated. If the change in assumption shown in the sensitivities were to occur, then the effect shown above would be recorded within two components of the profit analysis for the following year. These are for the effect of economic assumption changes and short-term fluctuations in investment returns. In addition to the sensitivity effects shown above, the other components of the profit for the following year would be calculated by reference to the altered assumptions, for example new business contribution and unwind of discount, together with the effect of other changes such as altered corporate bond spreads. In addition for Jackson, the fair value movements on assets backing surplus and required capital which are taken directly to shareholders' equity would also be affected by changes in interest rates.
 
(b) Sensitivity analysis - non-economic assumptions
 
The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 31 December 2014 (31 December 2013) and the post-tax new business contribution after the effect of required capital for 2014 and 2013 to:
 
 
•    10 per cent proportionate decrease in maintenance expenses (a 10 per cent sensitivity on a base assumption of £10 per annum would represent an expense assumption of £9 per annum);
 
•    10 per cent proportionate decrease in lapse rates (a 10 per cent sensitivity on a base assumption of 5 per cent would represent a lapse rate of 4.5 per cent per annum); and
 
•    5 per cent proportionate decrease in base mortality and morbidity rates (i.e. increased longevity).
 
New business contribution
             
                     
   
2014 £m
 
2013* £m
   
Asia operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
 
Asia operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
Post-tax new business contributionnote 3
1,162
694
270
2,126
 
1,139
706
237
2,082
Maintenance expenses - 10% decrease
23
8
3
34
 
23
8
3
34
Lapse rates - 10% decrease
88
27
6
121
 
85
27
6
118
Mortality and morbidity - 5% decrease
52
2
(20)
34
 
58
4
(6)
56
Change representing effect on:
                 
 
Life business
52
2
1
55
 
58
4
2
64
 
UK annuities
(21)
(21)
 
 -  
 -  
(9)
(9)
 
*  The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.
 
Embedded value of long-term business operations
             
                     
   
2014 £m
 
2013 £m
   
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
 
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
Shareholders' equitynote 12
12,312
8,379
8,433
29,124
 
10,305
6,966
7,342
24,613
Maintenance expenses - 10% decrease
136
71
56
263
 
126
59
58
243
Lapse rates - 10% decrease
422
354
67
843
 
352
294
79
725
Mortality and morbidity - 5% decrease
433
163
(347)
249
 
377
154
(254)
277
Change representing effect on:
                 
 
Life business
433
163
9
605
 
377
154
20
551
 
UK annuities
(356)
(356)
 
(274)
(274)
 
 
16 Methodology and accounting presentation
 
(a) Methodology
 
Overview
The embedded value is the present value of the shareholders' interest in the earnings distributable from assets allocated to covered business after sufficient allowance has been made for the aggregate risks in that business. The shareholders' interest in the Group's long-term business comprises:
 
•     the present value of future shareholder cash flows from in-force covered business (value of in-force business), less deductions for:
 
         - the cost of locked-in required capital; and
 
         - the time value of cost of options and guarantees;
 
•     locked-in required capital; and
 
•     the shareholders' net worth in excess of required capital (free surplus).
 
The value of future new business is excluded from the embedded value.
 
Notwithstanding the basis of presentation of results (as explained in note 16(b)(iii)) no smoothing of market or account balance values, unrealised gains or investment return is applied in determining the embedded value or profit. Separately, the analysis of profit is delineated between operating profit based on longer-term investment returns and other constituent items (as explained in note 16(b)(i)).
 
(i) Covered business
The EEV results for the Group are prepared for 'covered business', as defined by the EEV Principles. Covered business represents the Group's long-term insurance business for which the value of new and in-force contracts is attributable to shareholders. The post-tax EEV basis results for the Group's covered business are then combined with the post-tax IFRS basis results of the Group's other operations. Under the EEV Principles, the results for covered business incorporate the projected margins of attaching internal asset management, as described in note 16(a)(vii).
 
The definition of long-term business operations is consistent with previous practice and comprises those contracts falling under the definition for regulatory purposes together with, for US operations, contracts that are in substance the same as guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) but do not fall within the technical definition.
 
Covered business comprises the Group's long-term business operations, with two exceptions:
 
•       the closed Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund (SAIF) which is excluded from covered business. SAIF is a ring-fenced sub-fund of the Prudential Assurance Company (PAC) long-term fund, established by a Court approved Scheme of Arrangement in October 1997. SAIF is closed to new business and the assets and liabilities of the fund are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund.
 
•       the presentational treatment of the Group's principal defined benefit pension scheme, the Prudential Staff Pension Scheme (PSPS). The partial recognition of the surplus for PSPS is recognised in 'Other' operations.
 
A small amount of UK group pensions business is also not modelled for EEV reporting purposes.
 
(ii) Valuation of in-force and new business
The embedded value results are prepared incorporating best estimate assumptions about all relevant factors including levels of future investment returns, expenses, persistency and mortality (as described in note 17). These assumptions are used to project future cash flows. The present value of the future cash flows is then calculated using a discount rate which reflects both the time value of money and the non-diversifiable risks associated with the cash flows that are not otherwise allowed for.
 
New business
In determining the EEV basis value of new business, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of
distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.
 
New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts classified as
investment products for IFRS basis reporting. New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option.
 
The post-tax contribution from new business represents profits determined by applying operating assumptions as at the end of the year.
 
For UK immediate annuity business and single premium Universal Life products in Asia, primarily in Singapore, the new business contribution is determined by applying economic assumptions reflecting point-of-sale market conditions. This is consistent with how the business is priced as crediting rates are linked to yields on specific assets and the yield is locked-in when the assets are purchased at the point-of-sale of the policy. For other business within the Group, end of year economic assumptions are used.
 
New business profitability is a key metric for the Group's management of the development of the business. In addition, post-tax new business margins are shown by reference to annual premium equivalents (APE) and the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP). These margins are calculated as the percentage of the value of new business profit to APE and PVNBP. APE is calculated as the aggregate of regular new business amounts and one-tenth of single new business amounts. PVNBP is calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business, allowing for lapses and other assumptions made in determining the EEV new business contribution.
 
Valuation movements on investments
With the exception of debt securities held by Jackson, investment gains and losses during the year (to the extent that changes in capital values do not directly match changes in liabilities) are included directly in the profit for the year and shareholders' equity as they arise.
 
The results for any covered business conceptually reflect the aggregate of the IFRS results and the movements on the additional shareholders' interest recognised on the EEV basis. Thus the start point for the calculation of the EEV results for Jackson, as for other businesses, reflects the market value movements recognised on the IFRS basis.
 
However, in determining the movements on the additional shareholders' interest, the basis for calculating the Jackson EEV result acknowledges that, for debt securities backing liabilities, the aggregate EEV results reflect the fact that the value of in-force business instead incorporates the discounted value of future spread earnings. This value is not affected generally by short-term market movements on securities that broadly speaking, are held for the longer-term.
 
Fixed income securities backing the free surplus and required capital for Jackson are accounted for at fair value. However, consistent with the treatment applied under IFRS for Jackson securities classified as available-for-sale, movements in unrealised appreciation on these securities are accounted for in equity rather than in the income statement, as shown in the movement in shareholders' equity.
 
(iii) Cost of capital
A charge is deducted from the embedded value for the cost of capital supporting the Group's long-term business. This capital is referred to as required capital. The cost is the difference between the nominal value of the capital and the discounted value of the projected releases of this capital allowing for investment earnings (post-tax) on the capital.
 
The annual result is affected by the movement in this cost from year-to-year which comprises a charge against new business profit and generally a release in respect of the reduction in capital requirements for business in force as this runs off.
Where required capital is held within a with-profits long-term fund, the value placed on surplus assets in the fund is already discounted to reflect its release over time and no further adjustment is necessary in respect of required capital.
 
(iv) Financial options and guarantees
 
Nature of financial options and guarantees in Prudential's long-term business
Asia operations
Subject to local market circumstances and regulatory requirements, the guarantee features described below in respect of UK business broadly apply to similar types of participating contracts principally written in the Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia. Participating products have both guaranteed and non-guaranteed elements.
 
There are also various non-participating long-term products with guarantees. The principal guarantees are those for whole of life contracts with floor levels of policyholder benefits that accrue at rates set at inception and do not vary subsequently with market conditions.
 
US operations (Jackson)
The principal financial options and guarantees in Jackson are associated with the fixed annuity and variable annuity (VA) lines of business.
 
Fixed annuities provide that, at Jackson's discretion, it may reset the interest rate credited to policyholders' accounts, subject to a guaranteed minimum. The guaranteed minimum return varies from 1.0 per cent to 5.5 per cent for 2014 and 2013, depending on the particular product, jurisdiction where issued, and date of issue. For 2014, 86 per cent (2013: 86 per cent) of the account values on fixed annuities are for policies with guarantees of 3 per cent or less. The average guarantee rate is 2.7 per cent (2013: 2.8 per cent).
 
Fixed annuities also present a risk that policyholders will exercise their option to surrender their contracts in periods of rapidly rising interest rates, possibly requiring Jackson to liquidate assets at an inopportune time.
 
Jackson issues VA contracts where it contractually guarantees to the contract holder either: a) return of no less than total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals; b) total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals plus a minimum return; or c) the highest contract value on a specified anniversary date adjusted for any withdrawals following the specified contract anniversary. These guarantees include benefits that are payable at specified dates during the accumulation period (Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB)), as death benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits (GMDB)) or as income benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefits (GMIB)). These guarantees generally protect the policyholder's value in the event of poor equity market performance. Jackson hedges the GMDB and GMWB guarantees through the use of equity options and futures contracts, and fully reinsures the GMIB guarantees.
 
Jackson also issues fixed index annuities that enable policyholders to obtain a portion of an equity-linked return while providing a guaranteed minimum return. The guaranteed minimum returns are of a similar nature to those described above for fixed annuities.
 
UK insurance operations
For covered business the only significant financial options and guarantees in the UK insurance operations arise in the with-profits fund.
 
With-profits products provide returns to policyholders through bonuses that are smoothed. There are two types of bonuses - annual and final. Annual bonuses are declared once a year and, once credited, are guaranteed in accordance with the terms of the particular product. Unlike annual bonuses, final bonuses are guaranteed only until the next bonus declaration. The with-profits fund also held a provision on the Pillar I Peak 2 basis of £50 million at 31 December 2014 (31 December 2013: £36 million) to honour guarantees on a small number of guaranteed annuity option products.
 
The Group's main exposure to guaranteed annuity options in the UK is through the non-covered business of SAIF. A provision on the Pillar I Peak 2 basis of £549 million was held in SAIF at 31 December 2014 (31 December 2013: £328 million) to honour the guarantees. As described in note 16(a)(i) above, the assets and liabilities are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund. Therefore the movement in the provision has no direct impact on shareholders.
 
Time value
The value of financial options and guarantees comprises two parts. One is given by a deterministic valuation on best estimate assumptions (the intrinsic value). The other part arises from the variability of economic outcomes in the future (the time value). Where appropriate, a full stochastic valuation has been undertaken to determine the time value of the financial options and guarantees.
 
The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of long-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, for example, separate modelling of individual asset classes but with an allowance for correlation between the various asset classes. Details of the key characteristics of each model are given in
notes 17(iv),(v) and (vi).
 
In deriving the time value of financial options and guarantees, management actions in response to emerging investment and fund solvency conditions have been modelled. Management actions encompass, but are not confined to investment allocation decisions, levels of reversionary and terminal bonuses and credited rates. Bonus rates are projected from current levels and varied in accordance with assumed management actions applying in the emerging investment and fund solvency conditions.
 
In all instances, the modelled actions are in accordance with approved local practice and therefore reflect the options actually available to management. For the PAC with-profits fund, the actions assumed are consistent with those set out in the Principles and Practices of Financial Management which explains how regular and final bonus rates within the discretionary framework are determined, subject to the general legislative requirements applicable.
 
(v) Level of required capital
In adopting the EEV Principles, Prudential has based required capital on its internal targets subject to it being at least the local statutory minimum requirements. For with-profits business written in a segregated life fund, as is the case in Asia and the UK, the capital available in the fund is sufficient to meet the required capital requirements. For shareholder-backed business the following capital requirements apply:
 
•     Asia operations: the level of required capital has been set to an amount at least equal to the higher of local statutory requirements and the internal target;
 
•     US operations: the level of required capital has been set at 250 per cent of the risk-based capital required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) at the Company Action Level (CAL); and
 
•     UK insurance operations: the capital requirements are set to an amount at least equal to the higher of Pillar I and Pillar II requirements for shareholder-backed business of UK insurance operations as a whole.
 
 
(vi) With-profits business and the treatment of the estate
The proportion of surplus allocated to shareholders from the PAC with-profits fund has been based on the present level of 10 per cent. The value attributed to the shareholders' interest in the estate is derived by increasing final bonus rates (and related shareholder transfers) so as to exhaust the estate over the lifetime of the in-force with-profits business. In any scenarios where the total assets of the life fund are insufficient to meet policyholder claims in full, the excess cost is fully attributed to shareholders. Similar principles apply, where appropriate, for other with-profits funds of the Group's Asia operations.
 
 
(vii) Internal asset management
The new business and in-force results from long-term business include the projected value of profits or losses from asset management and service companies that support the Group's covered insurance businesses. The results of the Group's asset management operations include the current year profits from the management of both internal and external funds. EEV basis shareholders' other income and expenditure is adjusted to deduct the unwind of the expected internal asset management profit margin for the year. The deduction is on a basis consistent with that used for projecting the results for covered insurance business. Group operating profit accordingly includes the variance between actual and expected profit in respect of management of the covered business assets.
 
 
(viii) Allowance for risk and risk discount rates
 
Overview
Under the EEV Principles, discount rates used to determine the present value of future cash flows are set by reference to risk-free rates plus a risk margin. The risk margin should reflect any non-diversifiable risk associated with the emergence of distributable earnings that is not allowed for elsewhere in the valuation. Prudential has selected a granular approach to better reflect differences in market risk inherent in each product group. The risk discount rate so derived does not reflect an overall Group market beta but instead reflects the expected volatility associated with the cash flows for each product category in the embedded value model.
 
Since financial options and guarantees are explicitly valued under the EEV methodology, discount rates under EEV are set excluding the effect of these product features.
 
The risk margin represents the aggregate of the allowance for market risk, additional allowance for credit risk where appropriate, and allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risk. No allowance is required for non-market risks where these are assumed to be fully diversifiable.
 
Market risk allowance
The allowance for market risk represents the beta multiplied by an equity risk premium. Except for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as explained below) such an approach has been used for all of the Group's businesses.
 
The beta of a portfolio or product measures its relative market risk. The risk discount rates reflect the market risk inherent in each product group and hence the volatility of product cash flows. These are determined by considering how the profits from each product are affected by changes in expected returns on various asset classes. By converting this into a relative rate of return it is possible to derive a product specific beta.
 
Product level betas reflect the most recent product mix to produce appropriate betas and risk discount rates for each major product grouping.
 
Additional credit risk allowance
The Group's methodology is to allow appropriately for credit risk. The allowance for total credit risk is to cover:
•     expected long-term defaults;
•     credit risk premium (to reflect the volatility in downgrade and default levels); and
•     short-term downgrades and defaults.
 
These allowances are initially reflected in determining best estimate returns and through the market risk allowance described above. However, for those businesses which are largely backed by holdings of debt securities these allowances in the projected returns and market risk allowances may not be sufficient and an additional allowance may be appropriate.
 
The practical application of the allowance for credit risk varies depending upon the type of business as described below.
 
 
Asia operations
For Asia operations, the allowance for credit risk incorporated in the projected rates of return and the market risk allowance are sufficient. Accordingly no additional allowance for credit risk is required.
 
The projected rates of return for holdings of corporate bonds comprise the risk-free rate plus an assessment of long-term spread over the risk-free rate.
 
US operations (Jackson)
For Jackson business, the allowance for long-term defaults is reflected in the risk margin reserve (RMR) charge which is deducted in determining the projected spread margin between the earned rate on the investments and the policyholder crediting rate.
 
The risk discount rate incorporates an additional allowance for credit risk premium and short-term downgrades and defaults as shown in note 17(ii). In determining this allowance a number of factors have been considered. These factors, in particular, include:
 
(a)   How much of the credit spread on debt securities represents an increased credit risk not reflected in the RMR long-term default assumptions, and how much is liquidity premium (which is the premium required by investors to compensate for the risk of longer-term investments which cannot be easily converted into cash, and converted at the fair market value). In assessing this effect, consideration has been given to a number of approaches to estimating the liquidity premium by considering recent statistical data; and
 
(b)   Policyholder benefits for Jackson fixed annuity business are not fixed. It is possible in adverse economic scenarios to pass on a component of credit losses to policyholders (subject to guarantee features) through lower investment return rates credited to policyholders. Consequently, it is only necessary to allow for the balance of the credit risk in the risk discount rate.
 
The level of the additional allowance is assessed at each reporting period to take account of prevailing credit conditions and as the business in force alters over time. The additional allowance for variable annuity business has been set at one-fifth of the non-variable annuity business to reflect the proportion of the allocated holdings of general account debt securities.
 
The level of allowance differs from that for UK annuity business for investment portfolio differences and to take account of the management actions available in adverse economic scenarios to reduce crediting rates to policyholders, subject to guarantee features of the products.
 
UK operations
(1) Shareholder-backed annuity business
For Prudential's UK shareholder-backed annuity business, Prudential has used a market consistent embedded value (MCEV) approach to derive an implied risk discount rate which is then applied to the projected best estimate cash flows.
In the annuity MCEV calculations as the assets are generally held to maturity to match long duration liabilities, the future cash flows are discounted using the swap yield curve plus an allowance for liquidity premium based on Prudential's assessment of the expected return on the assets backing the annuity liabilities after allowing for:
 
(a)   expected long-term defaults derived as a percentage of historical default experience based on Moody's data for the period 1970 to 2009 and the definition of the credit rating assigned to each asset held is the second highest credit rating published by Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch;
 
(b)   a credit risk premium, which is derived as the excess over the expected long-term defaults, of the 95th percentile of historical cumulative defaults based on Moody's data for the period 1970 to 2009, and subject to a minimum margin over expected long-term defaults of 50 per cent;
 
(c)   an allowance for a 1 notch downgrade of the asset portfolio subject to credit risk and;
 
(d)   an allowance for short-term downgrades and defaults.
 
For the purposes of presentation in the EEV results, the results on this basis are reconfigured. Under this approach the projected earned rate of return on the debt securities held is determined after allowing for expected long-term defaults and, where necessary, an additional allowance for an element of short-term downgrades and defaults to bring the allowance in the earned rate up to best estimate levels. The allowances for credit risk premium, 1 notch downgrade and the remaining element of short-term downgrade and default allowances are incorporated into the risk margin included in the discount rate, as shown in note 17(iii)(b).
 
(2) With-profits fund non-profit annuity business
For UK non-profit annuity business including that attributable to the PAC with-profits fund, the basis for determining the aggregate allowance for credit risk is consistent with that applied for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as described above). The allowance for credit risk for this business is taken into account in determining the projected cash flows to the with-profits fund, which are in turn discounted at the risk discount rate applicable to all of the projected cash flows of the fund.
 
(3) With-profits fund holdings of debt securities
The UK with-profits fund holds debt securities as part of its investment portfolio backing policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus. The assumed earned rate for with-profit holdings of corporate bonds is defined as the risk-free rate plus an assessment of the long-term spread over gilts, net of expected long-term defaults. This approach is similar to that applied for equities and properties for which the projected earned rate is defined as the risk-free rate plus a long-term risk premium.
     
 
Allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risks
The majority of non-market and non-credit risks are considered to be diversifiable. Finance theory cannot be used to determine the appropriate component of beta for non-diversifiable non-market risks since there is no observable risk premium associated with it that is akin to the equity risk premium. Recognising this, a pragmatic approach has been applied.
 
A base level allowance of 50 basis points is applied to cover the non-diversifiable non-market risks associated with the Group's businesses. For the Group's US business and UK business other than shareholder-backed annuity, no additional allowance is necessary. For UK shareholder-backed annuity business a further allowance of 50 basis points is used to reflect the longevity risk which is of particular relevance. For the Group's Asia operations in China, India, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam, additional allowances are applied for emerging market risk ranging from 100 to 250 basis points.
 
(ix) Foreign currency translation
Foreign currency profits and losses have been translated at average exchange rates for the year. Foreign currency assets and liabilities have been translated at year end rates of exchange. The principal exchange rates are shown in note A1 of the IFRS statements.
 
(x) Taxation
In determining the post-tax profit for the year for covered business, the overall tax rate includes the impact of tax effects determined on a local regulatory basis. Tax payments and receipts included in the projected cash flows to determine the value of in-force business are calculated using rates that have been announced and substantively enacted by the end of the reporting period.
 
(xi) Inter-company arrangements
The EEV results for covered business incorporate annuities established in the PAC non-profit sub-fund from vesting pension polices in SAIF (which is not covered business). The EEV results also incorporate the effect of the reinsurance arrangement of non-profit immediate pension annuity liabilities of SAIF to PRIL. In addition, the free surplus and value of in-force business are calculated after taking account of the impact of contingent loan arrangements between Group companies (movements in the contingent loan liability are reflected via the projected cash flows in the value of in-force and the related funding is reflected in free surplus).
 
(b) Accounting presentation
 
(i) Analysis of post-tax profit
To the extent applicable, the presentation of the EEV post-tax profit for the year is consistent in the classification between operating and non-operating results with the basis that the Group applies for the analysis of IFRS basis results. Operating results reflect underlying results including longer-term investment returns (which are determined as described in note 16(b)(ii) below) and incorporate the following:
 
•       new business contribution, as defined in note 16(a)(ii);
 
•       unwind of discount on the value of in-force business and other expected returns, as described in note 16(b)(iii) below;
 
•       the impact of routine changes of estimates relating to non-economic assumptions, as described in note 16(b)(iv) below; and
 
•       non-economic experience variances, as described in note 16(b)(v) below.
 
Non-operating results comprise the following:
 
•       short-term fluctuations in investment returns;
 
•       the mark to market value movements on core borrowings;
 
•       the effect of changes in economic assumptions;
 
•       the gain on sale of PruHealth and PruProtect in 2014;
 
•       the costs associated with the domestication of the Hong Kong branch which became effective on 1 January 2014; and
 
•       the loss attaching to the held for sale Japan Life business.
 
Total profit attributable to shareholders and basic earnings per share include these items, together with actual investment returns. The Company believes that operating profit, as adjusted for these items, better reflects underlying performance.
 
(ii) Investment returns included in operating profit
For the investment element of the assets covering the net worth of long-term insurance business, investment returns are recognised in operating results at the expected long-term rate of return. These expected returns are calculated by reference to the asset mix of the portfolio. For the purpose of calculating the longer-term investment return to be included in the operating result of the PAC with-profits fund of UK operations, where assets backing the liabilities and unallocated surplus are subject to market volatility, asset values at the beginning of the reporting period are adjusted to remove the effects of short-term market movements as explained in note 16(b)(iii) below.
 
For the purpose of determining the long-term returns for debt securities of US operations for fixed annuity and other general account business, a risk margin charge is included which reflects the expected long-term rate of default based on the credit quality of the portfolio. For Jackson, interest-related realised gains and losses are amortised to the operating results over the maturity period of the sold bonds and for equity-related investments, a long-term rate of return is assumed, which reflects the aggregation of end of period risk-free rates and equity risk premium. For US variable annuity separate account business, operating profit includes the unwind of discount on the opening value of in-force adjusted to reflect end of period projected rates of return with the excess or deficit of the actual return recognised within non-operating profit, together with the related hedging activity.
     
For UK annuity business, rebalancing of the asset portfolio backing the liabilities to policyholders may, from time to time, take place to align it more closely with the internal benchmark of credit quality that management applies. Such rebalancing will result in a change in the projected yield on the asset portfolio and the allowance for default risk. The net effect of these changes is included in the result for the year.
 
 
(iii) Unwind of discount and other expected returns
The unwind of discount and other expected returns is determined by reference to:
 
•        the value of in-force business at the beginning of the period (adjusted for the effect of current period economic and operating assumption changes); and
 
•        required capital and surplus assets.
 
In applying this general approach, the unwind of discount included in operating profit for the with-profits business of UK insurance operations is determined by reference to the opening value of in-force, as adjusted for the effects of short-term investment volatility due to market movements (i.e. smoothed). In the summary statement of financial position and for total profit reporting, asset values and investment returns are not smoothed. At 31 December 2014 the shareholders' interest in the smoothed surplus assets used for this purpose only, were £194 million lower (31 December 2013: £136 million lower) than the surplus assets carried in the statement of financial position.
 
(iv) Effect of changes in operating assumptions
Operating profit includes the effect of changes to operating assumptions on the value of in-force at the end of the period. For presentational purposes, the effect of change is delineated to show the effect on the opening value of in-force with the experience variance being determined by reference to the end of period assumptions.
 
(v) Operating experience variances
Operating profits include the effect of experience variances on non-economic assumptions, which are calculated with reference to the embedded value assumptions at the end of the reporting period, such as persistency, mortality and morbidity, expenses and other factors.
 
(vi) Effect of changes in economic assumptions
Movements in the value of in-force business at the beginning of the period caused by changes in economic assumptions, net of the related change in the time value of cost of options and guarantees, are recorded in non-operating results.
 
17 Assumptions
 
Principal economic assumptions
The EEV basis results for the Group's operations have been determined using economic assumptions where the long-term expected rates of return on investments and risk discount rates are set by reference to period end rates of return on government bonds. Expected returns on equity and property asset classes and corporate bonds are derived by adding a risk premium, based on the Group's long-term view, to the risk-free rate.
     
The total profit that emerges over the lifetime of an individual contract as calculated using the embedded value basis is the same as that calculated under the IFRS basis. Since the embedded value basis reflects discounted future cash flows, under this methodology the profit emergence is advanced, thus more closely aligning the timing of the recognition of profits with the efforts and risks of current management actions, particularly with regard to business sold during the year.
 
                               
(i) Asia operationsnote (b)
                             
                               
 
Risk discount rate %
 
10-year government
bond yield %
 
Expected
long-term Inflation %
 
New business
 
In force
               
 
31 Dec 2014
 
31 Dec 2013
 
31 Dec 2014
 
31 Dec 2013
 
31 Dec 2014
 
31 Dec 2013
 
31 Dec 2014
 
31 Dec 2013
China
10.2
 
11.2
 
10.2
 
11.2
 
3.7
 
4.7
 
2.5
 
2.5
Hong Kongnotes (b), (c)
3.7
 
4.9
 
3.7
 
4.8
 
2.2
 
3.1
 
2.3
 
2.3
India
13.0
 
14.0
 
13.0
 
14.0
 
8.0
 
9.0
 
4.0
 
4.0
Indonesia
12.0
 
12.5
 
12.0
 
12.5
 
7.9
 
8.6
 
5.0
 
5.0
Korea
6.7
 
7.4
 
6.5
 
7.6
 
2.6
 
3.6
 
3.0
 
3.0
Malaysianote (c)
6.6
 
6.5
 
6.6
 
6.5
 
4.1
 
4.2
 
2.5
 
2.5
Philippines
10.8
 
10.5
 
10.8
 
10.5
 
4.0
 
3.8
 
4.0
 
4.0
Singaporenote (c)
4.3
 
4.6
 
5.0
 
5.3
 
2.3
 
2.6
 
2.0
 
2.0
Taiwan
4.2
 
4.3
 
4.1
 
4.1
 
1.6
 
1.7
 
1.0
 
1.0
Thailand
9.5
 
10.7
 
9.5
 
10.7
 
2.7
 
3.9
 
3.0
 
3.0
Vietnam
14.0
 
15.7
 
14.0
 
15.7
 
7.2
 
9.0
 
5.5
 
5.5
Total weighted risk discount ratenote (a)
6.9
 
8.1
 
6.6
 
7.2
               
Equity risk premiums in Asia (excluding those for the held for sale Japan Life business) range from 3.5 per cent to 8.7 per cent for 2014 and 2013.  
 
Notes:
 
(a)     The weighted risk discount rates for Asia operations shown above have been determined by weighting each country's risk discount rates by reference to the post-tax EEV basis new business result and the closing value of in-force business. The changes in the risk discount rates for individual Asia territories reflect the movements in government bond yields, together with the effects of movements in the allowance for market risk and changes in product mix.
 
(b)     For Hong Kong the assumptions shown are for US dollar denominated business. For other territories, the assumptions are for local currency denominated business.
 
(c)     The mean equity return assumptions for the most significant equity holdings of the Asia operations were:
 
   
31 Dec 2014 %
 
31 Dec 2013 %
 
Hong Kong
6.2
 
7.1
 
Malaysia
10.1
 
10.1
 
Singapore
8.3
 
8.6
 
 
 
(ii)  US operations
       
               
       
31 Dec 2014 %
   
31 Dec 2013 %
Assumed new business spread margins:*
       
 
Fixed Annuity business:**
       
   
January to June issues 
1.5
   
1.2
   
July to December issues
1.5
   
1.75
 
Fixed Index Annuity business:
       
   
January to June issues 
2.0
   
1.45
   
July to December issues
2.0
   
2.0
 
Institutional business
0.7
   
0.75
Allowance for long-term defaults included in projected spreadnote 16(a)(viii) 
0.25
   
0.25
Risk discount rate:
       
 
Variable annuity:
       
   
Risk discount rate
6.9
   
7.6
   
Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote 16 (a)(viii)
0.2
   
0.2
 
Non-variable annuity:
       
   
Risk discount rate
3.9
   
4.8
   
Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote 16 (a)(viii)
1.0
   
1.0
 
Weighted average total:
       
   
New business
6.7
   
7.4
   
In force
6.2
   
6.9
US 10-year treasury bond rate at end of year
2.2
   
3.1
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for US equities
6.2
   
7.1
Expected long-term rate of inflation
2.8
   
2.6
Equity risk premium
4.0
   
4.0
S&P equity return volatility note 17 (v)
18.0
   
19.0
 
 
*    including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account  and fixed index annuity business, the assumed spread margin grades up linearly by 25 basis points to a long-term assumption over five years.
 
 
**   including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account.
 
(iii)  UK insurance operations
     
           
     
31 Dec 2014 %
 
31 Dec 2013 %
Shareholder-backed annuity business:note (b)
     
Risk discount rate:
     
   
New business
6.5
 
6.8
   
In forcenote (a)
6.9
 
8.3
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for shareholder-backed annuity business:
     
   
New business
4.1
 
4.2
   
In forcenote (a)
3.2
 
4.3
Other business:
     
Risk discount rate:
     
   
New business
5.3
 
6.1
   
In force
5.9
 
6.8
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rates of investment return:
     
   
UK equities
6.2
 
7.5
   
Overseas equities
6.2 to 9.0
 
7.1 to 9.2
   
Property
4.9
 
6.2
   
15-year gilt rate
2.2
 
3.5
   
Corporate bonds
3.8
 
5.1
Expected long-term rate of inflation
3.0
 
 3.4
Equity risk premium
4.0
 
4.0
 
Notes:
 
(a)      For shareholder-backed annuity business, the movements in the pre-tax long-term nominal rates of return and the risk discount rates for in-force business mainly reflect the effect of changes in asset yields.
 
(b)      Credit spread treatment: For Prudential Retirement Income Limited, which has approximately 90 per cent of UK shareholder-backed annuity business, the credit assumptions used in the underlying MCEV calculation (see note 16(a)(viii)) and the residual liquidity premium element of the bond spread over swap rates are as follows:
               
     
Individual annuity new business
 
Total in-force business
     
31 Dec 2014 (bps)
31 Dec 2013 (bps)
 
31 Dec 2014 (bps)
31 Dec 2013 (bps)
   
Bond spread over swap rates
108
117
 
143
 133
   
Total credit risk allowance
29
37
 
58
 62
   
Liquidity premium
 79
 80
 
 85
 71
 
*    The new business liquidity premium is based on the weighted average of the point of sale liquidity premia. 
 
The overall allowance for credit risk is prudent by comparison with historic rates of default and would be sufficient to withstand a wide range of extreme credit events over the expected lifetime of the annuity business.
 
Stochastic assumptions
Details are given below of the key characteristics of the models used to determine the time value of the financial options and guarantees as referred to in note 16(a)(iv).
 
(iv)    Asia operations
 
•       The stochastic cost of guarantees is primarily of significance for the Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore and Taiwan operations.
 
•       The principal asset classes are government and corporate bonds.
 
•       The asset return models are similar to the models as described for UK insurance operations below.
 
•       The volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 35 per cent in both years, and the volatility of government bond yields ranges from 0.9 per cent to 2.3 per cent in both years.
 
 
(v)     US operations (Jackson)
 
•     Interest rates and equity returns are projected using a log-normal generator reflecting historical market data.
 
•     Corporate bond returns are based on Treasury yields plus a spread that reflects current market conditions.
 
•     The volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 27 per cent (2013: 19 per cent to 32 per cent) and the standard deviation of interest rates ranges from 2.2 per cent to 2.5 per cent for both years.
 
 
(vi)    UK insurance operations
 
•     Interest rates are projected using a stochastic interest rate model calibrated to the current market yields.
 
•     Equity returns  are assumed to follow a log-normal distribution.
 
•     The corporate bond return is calculated based on a risk-free bond return plus a mean-reverting spread.
 
•     Property returns are also modelled on a risk-free bond return plus a risk premium with a stochastic process reflecting total property returns.
 
•     The standard deviation of equities and property ranges from 15 per cent to 20 per cent for both years.
 
Operating assumptions
Best estimate assumptions
Best estimate assumptions are used for the cash flow projections, where best estimate is defined as the mean of the distribution of future possible outcomes. The assumptions are reviewed actively and changes are made when evidence exists that material changes in future experience are reasonably certain.
 
Assumptions required in the calculation of the value of options and guarantees, for example relating to volatilities and correlations, or dynamic algorithms linking liabilities to assets, have been set equal to the best estimates and, wherever material and practical, reflect any dynamic relationships between the assumptions and the stochastic variables.
 
Demographic assumptions
Persistency, mortality and morbidity assumptions are based on an analysis of recent experience but also reflect expected future experience. Where relevant, when calculating the time value of financial options and guarantees, policyholder withdrawal rates vary in line with the emerging investment conditions according to management's expectations.
 
Expense assumptions
Expense levels, including those of service companies that support the Group's long-term business operations, are based on internal expense analysis investigations and are appropriately allocated to acquisition of new business and renewal of in-force business. Exceptional expenses are identified and reported separately. For mature business, it is Prudential's policy not to take credit for future cost reduction programmes until the savings have been delivered. For businesses which are currently sub-scale (China, Malaysia Takaful and Taiwan) and India (where the business model is being adapted as the industry continues to adjust to regulatory changes), expense overruns are reported where these are expected to be short-lived.
 
For Asia operations, the expenses comprise costs borne directly and recharged costs from the Asia regional head office, that are attributable to covered business. The assumed future expenses for these operations also include projections of these future recharges. Development expenses are charged as incurred.
 
Corporate expenditure, which is included in other income and expenditure, comprises:
 
•       Expenditure for Group head office, to the extent not allocated to the PAC with-profits funds, together with Solvency II implementation and restructuring costs, which are charged to the EEV basis results as incurred; and
 
•       Expenditure of the Asia regional head office that is not allocated to the covered business or asset management operations which is charged as incurred. These costs are primarily for corporate related activities and are included within corporate expenditure.
 
Tax rates
The assumed long term effective tax rates for operations reflect the incidence of taxable profits and losses in the projected cash flows as explained in note 16(a)(x).
The local standard corporate tax rates applicable for the most significant operations for 2014 and 2013, are as follows:
 
Standard corporate tax rates
 
%
Asia operations:
   
Hong Kong
 
16.5*
Indonesia
 
25.0
Malaysia
 
2015: 25.0; From 2016: 24.0
Singapore
 
17.0
US operations
 
35.0
UK operations
 
20.0
* 16.5 per cent on 5 per cent of premium income
 
18 New business premiums and contributions note (i)
 
                               
 
Single
 
Regular
 
Annual premium and contribution equivalents
 
 Present value of new business premiums
                 
(APE)
 
(PVNBP)
                 
note 16(a)(ii)
 
note 16(a)(ii)
 
2014
£m
 
2013
£m
 
2014
£m
 
2013
£m
 
2014
£m
 
2013
£m
 
2014
£m
 
2013
£m
Group insurance operations
                             
Asia
 2,272
 
 2,136
 
 2,010
 
 1,911
 
 2,237
 
 2,125
 
 12,331
 
 11,375
US
 15,555
 
 15,712
 
 -  
 
 2
 
 1,556
 
 1,573
 
 15,555
 
 15,723
UK
 6,681
 
 5,128
 
 189
 
 212
 
 857
 
 725
 
 7,471
 
 5,978
Group total
 24,508
 
 22,976
 
 2,199
 
 2,125
 
 4,650
 
 4,423
 
 35,357
 
 33,076
Asia insurance operations
                   
  
     
  
Cambodia
 -  
 
 -  
 
 3
 
 1
 
 3
 
 1
 
 16
 
 3
Hong Kong
 419
 
 326
 
 603
 
 455
 
 645
 
 487
 
 3,861
 
 2,795
Indonesia
 280
 
 303
 
 357
 
 445
 
 385
 
 477
 
 1,619
 
 1,943
Malaysia
 117
 
 114
 
 189
 
 197
 
 201
 
 208
 
 1,284
 
 1,352
Philippines
 121
 
 193
 
 39
 
 34
 
 51
 
 53
 
 248
 
 299
Singapore
 677
 
 571
 
 289
 
 304
 
 357
 
 361
 
 2,683
 
 2,588
Thailand
 92
 
 66
 
 74
 
 61
 
 83
 
 68
 
 392
 
 289
Vietnam
 4
 
 2
 
 61
 
 54
 
 61
 
 54
 
 247
 
 204
SE Asia operations inc.
Hong Kong
 1,710
 
 1,575
 
 1,615
 
 1,551
 
 1,786
 
 1,709
 
 10,350
 
 9,473
Chinanote (ii)
 239
 
 114
 
 81
 
 71
 
 105
 
 83
 
 550
 
 409
Korea
 212
 
 311
 
 92
 
 82
 
 113
 
 113
 
 609
 
 641
Taiwan
 83
 
 102
 
 116
 
 107
 
 124
 
 117
 
 462
 
 491
Indianote (iii)
 28
 
 34
 
 106
 
 100
 
 109
 
 103
 
 360
 
 361
Total Asia insurance operations
 2,272
 
 2,136
 
 2,010
 
 1,911
 
 2,237
 
 2,125
 
 12,331
 
 11,375
US insurance operations
                   
  
       
Variable annuities
 10,899
 
 10,795
 
 -  
 
 -  
 
 1,090
 
 1,079
 
 10,899
 
 10,795
Elite access (variable annuity)
 3,108
 
 2,585
 
 -  
 
 -  
 
 311
 
 259
 
 3,108
 
 2,585
Fixed annuities
 527
 
 555
 
 -  
 
 -  
 
 53
 
 55
 
 527
 
 555
Fixed index annuities
 370
 
 907
 
 -  
 
 -  
 
 37
 
 91
 
 370
 
 907
Life
 -  
 
 1
 
 -  
 
 2
 
 -  
 
 2
 
 -  
 
 12
Wholesale
 651
 
 869
 
 -  
 
 -  
 
 65
 
 87
 
 651
 
 869
Total US insurance operations
 15,555
 
 15,712
 
 -  
 
 2
 
 1,556
 
 1,573
 
 15,555
 
 15,723
UK and Europe insurance operations
           
  
     
  
     
  
Direct and partnership annuities
 162
 
 284
 
 -  
 
 -  
 
 16
 
 28
 
 162
 
 284
Intermediated annuities
 139
 
 488
 
 -  
 
 -  
 
 14
 
 49
 
 139
 
 488
Internal vesting annuities
 764
 
 1,305
 
 -  
 
 -  
 
 76
 
 131
 
 764
 
 1,305
Total individual annuities
 1,065
 
 2,077
 
 -  
 
 -  
 
 106
 
 208
 
 1,065
 
 2,077
Corporate pensions
 92
 
 120
 
 138
 
 161
 
 147
 
 173
 
 592
 
 686
Onshore bonds
 2,318
 
 1,754
 
 -  
 
 -  
 
 232
 
 176
 
 2,321
 
 1,756
Other products
 1,496
 
 901
 
 51
 
 51
 
 201
 
 140
 
 1,783
 
 1,183
Wholesale
 1,710
 
 276
 
 -  
 
 -  
 
 171
 
 28
 
 1,710
 
 276
Total UK and Europe insurance operations
 6,681
 
 5,128
 
 189
 
 212
 
 857
 
 725
 
 7,471
 
 5,978
Group total
 24,508
 
 22,976
 
 2,199
 
 2,125
 
 4,650
 
 4,423
 
 35,357
 
 33,076
 
Notes:
 
(i)    The tables shown above are provided as an indicative volume measure of transactions undertaken in the reporting period that have the potential to generate profits for shareholders. The amounts shown are not, and not intended to be, reflective of premium income recorded in the IFRS income statement.
(ii)    New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation.
(iii)   New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation.
 
Additional Unaudited Financial Information
 
A New Business
 
BASIS OF PREPARATION
 
The format of the schedules is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous financial reporting periods. With the exception of some US institutional business, products categorised as 'insurance' refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for regulatory reporting purposes, i.e falling within one of the classes of insurance specified in part II of Schedule 1 to the Regulated Activities Order under PRA regulations.
 
The details shown for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4 'Insurance Contracts' as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in UK Insurance Operations, and Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in US Operations.
 
New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option. New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts designed as investment products for IFRS reporting.
 
Investment products referred to in the tables for funds under management are unit trusts, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4, as described in the preceding paragraph, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.
 
New Business Profit (post-tax) has been determined using the European Embedded Value (EEV) methodology set out in our EEV preliminary report.
 
In determining the EEV basis value of new business written in the period policies incept, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.
 
Annual premium equivalent (APE) sales are subject to rounding.
 
Notes to Schedules A(i) to A(x)
 
 
(1)    Prudential plc reports its results using both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) so as to eliminate the impact of exchange translation.
 
 
 Local currency: £
 
2014*
2013*
2014 vs 2013 (depreciation) appreciation of local currency against GBP
 
 Hong Kong
 
 Average Rate
 12.78
 12.14
 (5)%
 
 Closing Rate
 12.09
 12.84
6%
 
 Indonesia
 
 Average Rate
 19,538.56
 16,376.89
 (16)%
 
 Closing Rate
 19,311.31
 20,156.57
4%
 
 Malaysia
 
 Average Rate
 5.39
 4.93
 (9)%
 
 Closing Rate
 5.45
 5.43
0%
 
 Singapore
 
 Average Rate
 2.09
 1.96
 (6)%
 
 Closing Rate
 2.07
 2.09
1%
 
 India
 
 Average Rate
 100.53
 91.75
 (9)%
 
 Closing Rate
 98.42
 102.45
4%
 
 Vietnam
 
 Average Rate
 34,924.62
 32,904.71
 (6)%
 
 Closing Rate
 33,348.46
 34,938.60
5%
 
 Thailand
 
 Average Rate
 53.51
 48.11
 (10)%
 
 Closing Rate
 51.30
 54.42
6%
 
 US
 
 Average Rate
 1.65
 1.56
 (5)%
 
 Closing Rate
 1.56
 1.66
6%
 
 
*Average rate is for the full year to 31 December
 
 
 
(1a)  Insurance new business for overseas operations are converted using the year-to-date average exchange rate applicable at the time (AER). The sterling results for individual quarters represent the difference between the year-to-date reported sterling results at successive quarters and will include foreign exchange movements from earlier periods.
 
(1b)  Insurance new business for overseas operations for 2013 has been calculated using constant exchange rates (CER).
 
(1c)  Constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2013 and 2014.
 
(2)    Annual Equivalents, calculated as regular new business contributions plus 10 per cent of single new business contributions, are subject to roundings. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBPs) are calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business. In determining the present value, allowance is made for lapses and other assumptions applied in determining the EEV new business profit.
 
(3)    Balance includes segregated and pooled pension funds, private finance assets and other institutional clients. Other movements reflect the net flows arising from the cash component of a tactical asset allocation fund managed by PPM South Africa.
 
(4)    New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation. 
 
(5)    Balance Sheet figures have been calculated at the closing exchange rate.
 
(6)    New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation. 
 
(7)    Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) product sales in Hong Kong are included at Prudential's 36 per cent interest in Hong Kong MPF operation.
 
(8)    Investment flows for the period exclude year-to-date Eastspring Money Market Funds (MMF) gross inflows of £67,749 million (2013: £62,536 million) and net inflows of £10 million (2013 net inflows: £522 million). For the discrete fourth quarter the MMF gross inflows were £17,353 million (2013: £17,072 million) and net outflows were £48 million (2013: net inflows of £604 million).
 
(9)    Excludes Curian Variable Series Trust funds (internal funds under management).
 
(10)  Total M&G and Eastspring excluding MMF. Funds under management for MMF amounted to £4,801 million at 31 December 2014 (31 December 2013: £4,297 million).
 
(11)  With effect from 1 January 2015, APE and new business data for the UK and Europe Insurance Operations will be presented using revised product groupings shown in Schedule A(x).  This aims to reflect the evolving revenue streams and present greater detail of for certain elements currently included within "Other". 
 
 
 
Schedule A(i) - New Business Insurance Operations (Actual Exchange Rates)
 
                                   
   
Single
 
Regular
 
Annual Equivalents(2)
 
PVNBP
 
   
2014
2013
   
2014
2013
   
2014
2013
   
2014
2013
   
   
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
Group Insurance Operations
                                 
Asia (1a)
 
 2,272
 2,136
6%
 
 2,010
 1,911
5%
 
 2,237
 2,125
5%
 
 12,331
 11,375
8%
 
US(1a)
 
 15,555
 15,712
(1)%
 
 -  
 2
(100)%
 
 1,556
 1,573
(1)%
 
 15,555
 15,723
(1)%
 
UK
 
 6,681
 5,128
30%
 
 189
 212
(11)%
 
 857
 725
18%
 
 7,471
 5,978
25%
 
Group Total
 
 24,508
 22,976
7%
 
 2,199
 2,125
3%
 
 4,650
 4,423
5%
 
 35,357
 33,076
7%
 
     
  
                           
Asia Insurance Operations(1a)
                                 
Cambodia
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 3
 1
200%
 
 3
 1
200%
 
 16
 3
433%
 
Hong Kong
 
 419
326
29%
 
 603
455
33%
 
 645
 487
32%
 
 3,861
 2,795
38%
 
Indonesia
 
 280
 303
(8)%
 
 357
 445
(20)%
 
 385
 477
(19)%
 
 1,619
 1,943
(17)%
 
Malaysia
 
 117
 114
3%
 
 189
 197
(4)%
 
 201
 208
(3)%
 
 1,284
 1,352
(5)%
 
Philippines
 
 121
 193
(37)%
 
 39
 34
15%
 
 51
 53
(4)%
 
 248
 299
(17)%
 
Singapore
 
 677
 571
19%
 
 289
 304
(5)%
 
 357
 361
(1)%
 
 2,683
 2,588
4%
 
Thailand
 
 92
 66
39%
 
 74
 61
21%
 
 83
 68
22%
 
 392
 289
36%
 
Vietnam
 
 4
 2
100%
 
 61
 54
13%
 
 61
 54
13%
 
 247
 204
21%
 
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
 
 1,710
 1,575
9%
 
 1,615
 1,551
4%
 
 1,786
 1,709
5%
 
 10,350
 9,473
9%
 
China(6)
 
 239
 114
110%
 
 81
 71
14%
 
 105
 83
27%
 
 550
 409
34%
 
Korea
 
 212
 311
(32)%
 
 92
 82
12%
 
 113
 113
0%
 
 609
 641
(5)%
 
Taiwan
 
 83
 102
(19)%
 
 116
 107
8%
 
 124
 117
6%
 
 462
 491
(6)%
 
India(4)
 
 28
 34
(18)%
 
 106
 100
6%
 
 109
 103
6%
 
 360
 361
(0)%
 
Total Asia Insurance Operations
 
 2,272
 2,136
6%
 
 2,010
 1,911
5%
 
 2,237
 2,125
5%
 
 12,331
 11,375
8%
 
     
  
                           
US Insurance Operations(1a)
   
  
                           
Variable Annuities
 
 10,899
 10,795
1%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 1,090
 1,079
1%
 
 10,899
 10,795
1%
 
Elite Access (Variable Annuity)
 
 3,108
 2,585
20%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 311
 259
20%
 
 3,108
 2,585
20%
 
Fixed Annuities
 
 527
 555
(5)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 53
 55
(4)%
 
 527
 555
(5)%
 
Fixed Index Annuities
 
 370
 907
(59)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 37
 91
(59)%
 
 370
 907
(59)%
 
Life
 
 -  
 1
(100)%
 
 -  
 2
(100)%
 
 -  
 2
(100)%
 
 -  
 12
(100)%
 
Wholesale
 
 651
 869
(25)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 65
 87
(25)%
 
 651
 869
(25)%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 
 15,555
 15,712
(1)%
 
 -  
 2
(100)%
 
 1,556
 1,573
(1)%
 
 15,555
 15,723
(1)%
 
                                   
UK & Europe Insurance Operations(11)
                                 
Direct and Partnership Annuities
 
 162
 284
(43)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 16
 28
(43)%
 
 162
 284
(43)%
 
Intermediated Annuities
 
 139
 488
(72)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 14
 49
(71)%
 
 139
 488
(72)%
 
Internal Vesting Annuities
 
 764
 1,305
(41)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 76
 131
(42)%
 
 764
 1,305
(41)%
 
Total Individual Annuities
 
 1,065
 2,077
(49)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 106
 208
(49)%
 
 1,065
 2,077
(49)%
 
Corporate Pensions
 
 92
 120
(23)%
 
 138
 161
(14)%
 
 147
 173
(15)%
 
 592
 686
(14)%
 
On-shore Bonds
 
 2,318
 1,754
32%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 232
 176
32%
 
 2,321
 1,756
32%
 
Other Products
 
 1,496
 901
66%
 
 51
 51
0%
 
 201
 140
44%
 
 1,783
 1,183
51%
 
Wholesale
 
 1,710
 276
520%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 171
 28
511%
 
 1,710
 276
520%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 
 6,681
 5,128
30%
 
 189
 212
(11)%
 
 857
 725
18%
 
 7,471
 5,978
25%
 
Group Total
 
 24,508
 22,976
7%
 
 2,199
 2,125
3%
 
 4,650
 4,423
5%
 
 35,357
 33,076
7%
 
 
 
Schedule A(ii) - New Business Insurance Operations (Constant Exchange Rates)
 
 
Note:    In schedule A(ii) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for 2013.
 
                                 
 
Single
 
Regular
 
Annual Equivalents(2)
 
PVNBP
 
 
2014
2013
   
2014
2013
   
2014
2013
   
2014
2013
   
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
 
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
Group Insurance Operations
                               
Asia (1a) (1b)
 2,272
 1,982
15%
 
 2,010
 1,748
15%
 
 2,237
 1,946
15%
 
 12,331
 10,482
18%
 
US(1a) (1b)
 15,555
 14,920
4%
 
 -  
 2
(100)%
 
 1,556
 1,494
4%
 
 15,555
 14,931
4%
 
UK
 6,681
 5,128
30%
 
 189
 212
(11)%
 
 857
 725
18%
 
 7,471
 5,978
25%
 
Group Total
 24,508
 22,030
11%
 
 2,199
 1,962
12%
 
 4,650
 4,165
12%
 
 35,357
 31,391
13%
 
                                 
Asia Insurance Operations(1a) (1b)
                               
Cambodia
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 3
 1
200%
 
 3
 1
200%
 
 16
 3
433%
 
Hong Kong
 419
 310
35%
 
 603
 433
39%
 
 645
 464
39%
 
 3,861
 2,655
45%
 
Indonesia
 280
 254
10%
 
 357
 374
(5)%
 
 385
 399
(4)%
 
 1,619
 1,629
(1)%
 
Malaysia
 117
 104
13%
 
 189
 180
5%
 
 201
 190
6%
 
 1,284
 1,237
4%
 
Philippines
 121
 176
(31)%
 
 39
 30
30%
 
 51
 48
6%
 
 248
 272
(9)%
 
Singapore
 677
 536
26%
 
 289
 284
2%
 
 357
 338
6%
 
 2,683
 2,428
11%
 
Thailand
 92
 59
56%
 
 74
 55
35%
 
 83
 61
36%
 
 392
 260
51%
 
Vietnam
 4
 2
100%
 
 61
 51
20%
 
 61
 51
20%
 
 247
 192
29%
 
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
 1,710
 1,441
19%
 
 1,615
 1,408
15%
 
 1,786
 1,552
15%
 
 10,350
 8,676
19%
 
China(6)
 239
 108
121%
 
 81
 68
19%
 
 105
 78
35%
 
 550
 387
42%
 
Korea
 212
 307
(31)%
 
 92
 81
14%
 
 113
 112
1%
 
 609
 633
(4)%
 
Taiwan
 83
 95
(13)%
 
 116
 100
16%
 
 124
 110
13%
 
 462
 457
1%
 
India(4)
 28
 31
(10)%
 
 106
 91
16%
 
 109
 94
16%
 
 360
 329
9%
 
Total Asia Insurance Operations
 2,272
 1,982
15%
 
 2,010
 1,748
15%
 
 2,237
 1,946
15%
 
 12,331
 10,482
18%
 
                                 
US Insurance Operations(1a) (1b)
                               
Variable Annuities
 10,899
 10,251
6%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 1,090
 1,025
6%
 
 10,899
 10,251
6%
 
Elite Access (Variable Annuity)
 3,108
 2,455
27%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 311
 246
26%
 
 3,108
 2,455
27%
 
Fixed Annuities
 527
 527
0%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 53
 53
0%
 
 527
 527
0%
 
Fixed Index Annuities
 370
 861
(57)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 37
 86
(57)%
 
 370
 861
(57)%
 
Life
 -  
 1
(100)%
 
 -  
 2
(100)%
 
 -  
 2
(100)%
 
 -  
 12
(100)%
 
Wholesale
 651
 825
(21)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 65
 82
(21)%
 
 651
 825
(21)%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 15,555
 14,920
4%
 
 -  
 2
(100)%
 
 1,556
 1,494
4%
 
 15,555
 14,931
4%
 
                                 
UK & Europe Insurance Operations(11)
                               
Direct and Partnership Annuities
 162
 284
(43)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 16
 28
(43)%
 
 162
 284
(43)%
 
Intermediated Annuities
 139
 488
(72)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 14
 49
(71)%
 
 139
 488
(72)%
 
Internal Vesting Annuities
 764
 1,305
(41)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 76
 131
(42)%
 
 764
 1,305
(41)%
 
Total Individual Annuities
 1,065
 2,077
(49)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 106
 208
(49)%
 
 1,065
 2,077
(49)%
 
Corporate Pensions
 92
 120
(23)%
 
 138
 161
(14)%
 
 147
 173
(15)%
 
 592
 686
(14)%
 
On-shore Bonds
 2,318
 1,754
32%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 232
 176
32%
 
 2,321
 1,756
32%
 
Other Products
 1,496
 901
66%
 
 51
 51
0%
 
 201
 140
44%
 
 1,783
 1,183
51%
 
Wholesale
 1,710
 276
520%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 171
 28
511%
 
 1,710
 276
520%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 6,681
 5,128
30%
 
 189
 212
(11)%
 
 857
 725
18%
 
 7,471
 5,978
25%
 
Group Total
 24,508
 22,030
11%
 
 2,199
 1,962
12%
 
 4,650
 4,165
12%
 
 35,357
 31,391
13%
 
 
 
Schedule A(iii) - Total Insurance New Business APE - By Quarter (Actual Exchange Rates)
 
 
2013
 
2014
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
Group Insurance Operations
                   
Asia (1a)
 495
 515
 513
 602
 
 507
 489
 548
 693
 
US(1a)
 358
 439
 405
 371
 
 432
 439
 364
 321
 
UK
 185
 170
 185
 185
 
 237
 196
 215
 209
 
Group Total
 1,038
 1,124
 1,103
 1,158
 
 1,176
 1,124
 1,127
 1,223
 
                     
Asia Insurance Operations(1a)
                   
Cambodia
 -  
 -  
 -  
 1
 
 -  
 1
 1
 1
 
Hong Kong
 107
 107
 121
 152
 
 128
130
166
 221
 
Indonesia
 112
 128
 108
 129
 
 86
98
80
 121
 
Malaysia
 46
 53
 52
 57
 
 43
48
48
 62
 
Philippines
 14
 15
 12
 12
 
 11
11
13
 16
 
Singapore
 80
 90
 87
 104
 
 87
85
86
 99
 
Thailand
 11
 14
 22
 21
 
 25
17
18
 23
 
Vietnam
 10
 13
 14
 17
 
 11
12
16
 22
 
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
 380
 420
 416
 493
 
 391
 402
 428
 565
 
China(6)
 27
 20
 21
 15
 
 38
19
23
25
 
Korea
 30
 32
 23
 28
 
 26
22
32
33
 
Taiwan
 19
 26
 28
 44
 
 24
30
34
36
 
India(4)
 39
 17
 25
 22
 
 28
 16
 31
34
 
Total Asia Insurance Operations
 495
 515
 513
 602
 
 507
 489
 548
 693
 
                     
US Insurance Operations(1a)
                   
Variable Annuities
 240
 298
 271
 270
 
 317
297
260
216
 
Elite Access (Variable Annuity)
 54
 73
 64
 68
 
 69
80
80
82
 
Fixed Annuities
 14
 16
 14
 11
 
 12
15
14
12
 
Fixed Index Annuities
 34
 28
 22
 7
 
 8
10
10
9
 
Life
 1
 -  
 -  
 1
 
 -  
 -  
 -  
 -  
 
Wholesale
 15
 24
 34
 14
 
 26
37
 2
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 358
 439
 405
 371
 
 432
 439
 364
 321
 
                     
UK & Europe Insurance Operations(11)
                   
Direct and Partnership Annuities
 8
 7
 7
 6
 
 5
5
4
2
 
Intermediated Annuities
 15
 14
 12
 8
 
 7
3
2
2
 
Internal Vesting Annuities
 32
 35
 31
 33
 
 24
19
17
16
 
Total Individual Annuities
 55
 56
 50
 47
 
 36
 27
 23
 20
 
Corporate Pensions
 53
 40
 45
 35
 
 40
39
38
30
 
On-shore Bonds
 45
 38
 43
 50
 
 49
53
60
70
 
Other Products
 32
 36
 32
 40
 
 39
46
57
59
 
Wholesale
 -  
 -  
 15
 13
 
 73
 31
 37
30
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 185
 170
 185
 185
 
 237
 196
 215
 209
 
Group Total
 1,038
 1,124
 1,103
 1,158
 
 1,176
 1,124
 1,127
 1,223
 
 
 
Schedule A(iv) - Total Insurance New Business APE - By Quarter (2013 at Constant Exchange Rates)
 
 
Note:   In schedule A(iv) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2013. Discrete quarters in 2014 are presented on actual exchange rates.
 
 
2013
 
2014
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
Group Insurance Operations
                   
Asia(1b)
 437
 454
 473
 582
 
 507
 489
 548
 693
 
US(1b)
 337
 410
 381
 366
 
 432
 439
 364
 321
 
UK
 185
 170
 185
 185
 
 237
 196
 215
 209
 
Group Total
 959
 1,034
 1,039
 1,133
 
 1,176
 1,124
 1,127
 1,223
 
                     
Asia Insurance Operations(1b)
                   
Cambodia
 -  
 -  
 -  
 1
 
 -  
 1
 1
 1
 
Hong Kong
 101
 100
 114
 149
 
 128
 130
 166
 221
 
Indonesia
 87
 98
 91
 123
 
 86
 98
 80
 121
 
Malaysia
 40
 47
 49
 54
 
 43
 48
 48
 62
 
Philippines
 12
 13
 11
 12
 
 11
 11
 13
 16
 
Singapore
 73
 83
 82
 100
 
 87
 85
 86
 99
 
Thailand
 9
 13
 19
 20
 
 25
 17
 18
 23
 
Vietnam
 9
 12
 13
 17
 
 11
 12
 16
 22
 
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
 331
 366
 379
 476
 
 391
 402
 428
 565
 
China(6)
 26
 18
 20
 14
 
 38
 19
 23
 25
 
Korea
 29
 32
 23
 28
 
 26
 22
 32
 33
 
Taiwan
 18
 24
 26
 42
 
 24
 30
 34
 36
 
India(4)
 33
 14
 25
 22
 
 28
 16
 31
 34
 
Total Asia Insurance Operations
 437
 454
 473
 582
 
 507
 489
 548
 693
 
                     
US Insurance Operations(1b)
                   
Variable Annuities
 226
 278
 255
 266
 
 317
 297
 260
 216
 
Elite Access (Variable Annuity)
 51
 68
 60
 67
 
 69
 80
 80
 82
 
Fixed Annuities
 13
 15
 13
 12
 
 12
 15
 14
 12
 
Fixed Index Annuities
 32
 26
 21
 7
 
 8
 10
 10
 9
 
Life
 1
 -  
 -  
 1
 
 -  
 -  
 -  
 -  
 
Wholesale
 14
 23
 32
 13
 
 26
 37
 -  
 2
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 337
 410
 381
 366
 
 432
 439
 364
 321
 
                     
UK & Europe Insurance Operations(11)
                   
Direct and Partnership Annuities
 8
 7
 7
 6
 
 5
 5
 4
 2
 
Intermediated Annuities
 15
 14
 12
 8
 
 7
 3
 2
 2
 
Internal Vesting Annuities
 32
 35
 31
 33
 
 24
 19
 17
 16
 
Total Individual Annuities
 55
 56
 50
 47
 
 36
 27
 23
 20
 
Corporate Pensions
 53
 40
 45
 35
 
 40
 39
 38
 30
 
On-shore Bonds
 45
 38
 43
 50
 
 49
 53
 60
 70
 
Other Products
 32
 36
 32
 40
 
 39
 46
 57
 59
 
Wholesale
 -  
 -  
 15
 13
 
 73
 31
 37
 30
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
185
170
185
185
 
237
196
215
209
 
Group Total
959
1,034
1,039
1,133
 
1,176
1,124
1,127
1,223
 
 
 
Schedule A(v) - Total Insurance New Business APE - By Quarter (2014 and 2013 at Constant Exchange Rates)
 
 
Note:   In schedule A(v) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2013 and 2014 i.e the average exchange rate for the period ended 31 December 2014 is applied to each discrete quarter for 2013 and 2014.
 
 
2013
 
2014
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
Group Insurance Operations
                   
Asia(1c)
 437
 454
 473
 582
 
 510
 496
 550
 681
 
US(1c)
 337
 410
 381
 366
 
 434
 448
 370
 304
 
UK
 185
 170
 185
 185
 
 237
 196
 215
 209
 
Group Total
 959
 1,034
 1,039
 1,133
 
 1,181
 1,140
 1,135
 1,194
 
                     
Asia Insurance Operations(1c)
                   
Cambodia
 -  
 -  
 -  
 1
 
 -  
 1
 1
 1
 
Hong Kong
 101
 100
 114
 149
 
 130
 131
 169
 215
 
Indonesia
 87
 98
 91
 123
 
 86
 99
 79
 121
 
Malaysia
 40
 47
 49
 54
 
 44
 48
 47
 62
 
Philippines
 12
 13
 11
 12
 
 11
 12
 13
 15
 
Singapore
 73
 83
 82
 100
 
 86
 86
 87
 98
 
Thailand
 9
 13
 19
 20
 
 25
 18
 17
 23
 
Vietnam
 9
 12
 13
 17
 
 11
 13
 15
 22
 
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
 331
 366
 379
 476
 
 393
 408
 428
 557
 
China(6)
 26
 18
 20
 14
 
 38
 19
 24
 24
 
Korea
 29
 32
 23
 28
 
 27
 22
 32
 32
 
Taiwan
 18
 24
 26
 42
 
 24
 30
 35
 35
 
India(4)
 33
 14
 25
 22
 
 28
 17
 31
 33
 
Total Asia Insurance Operations
 437
 454
 473
 582
 
 510
 496
 550
 681
 
                     
US Insurance Operations(1c)
                   
Variable Annuities
 226
 278
 255
 266
 
 319
 303
 264
 204
 
Elite Access (Variable Annuity)
 51
 68
 60
 67
 
 69
 82
 81
 79
 
Fixed Annuities
 13
 15
 13
 12
 
 12
 15
 15
 11
 
Fixed Index Annuities
 32
 26
 21
 7
 
 8
 10
 10
 9
 
Life
 1
 -  
 -  
 1
 
 -  
 -  
 -  
 -  
 
Wholesale
 14
 23
 32
 13
 
 26
 38
 -  
 1
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 337
 410
 381
 366
 
 434
 448
 370
 304
 
                     
UK & Europe Insurance Operations(11)
                   
Direct and Partnership Annuities
 8
 7
 7
 6
 
 5
 5
 4
 2
 
Intermediated Annuities
 15
 14
 12
 8
 
 7
 3
 2
 2
 
Internal Vesting Annuities
 32
 35
 31
 33
 
 24
 19
 17
 16
 
Total Individual Annuities
 55
 56
 50
 47
 
 36
 27
 23
 20
 
Corporate Pensions
 53
 40
 45
 35
 
 40
 39
 38
 30
 
On-shore Bonds
 45
 38
 43
 50
 
 49
 53
 60
 70
 
Other Products
 32
 36
 32
 40
 
 39
 46
 57
 59
 
Wholesale
 -  
 -  
 15
 13
 
 73
 31
 37
 30
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
185
170
185
185
 
237
196
215
209
 
Group Total
959
1,034
1,039
1,133
 
1,181
1,140
1,135
1,194
 
 
 
Schedule A(vi) - Investment Operations - By Quarter (Actual Exchange Rates)
 
   
2013
 
2014
 
   
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
   
£m
£m
£m
£m 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
Group Investment Operations
                     
Opening FUM
 
129,498
138,926
137,407
142,820
 
143,916
147,914
153,849
157,533
 
Net Flows:(8)
 
3,502
2,344
5,093
126
 
2,571
4,123
2,893
2,930
 
 - Gross Inflows
 
13,409
14,561
13,528
11,006
 
12,146
14,045
12,847
13,670
 
 - Redemptions
 
(9,907)
(12,217)
(8,435)
(10,880)
 
(9,575)
(9,922)
(9,954)
(10,740)
 
Other Movements
 
5,926
(3,863)
320
970
 
1,427
1,812
791
1,917
 
Total Group Investment Operations(10)
 
138,926
137,407
142,820
143,916
 
147,914
153,849
157,533
162,380
 
                       
M&G
                     
Retail
                     
Opening FUM
 
54,879
61,427
62,655
64,504
 
67,202
68,981
71,941
73,012
 
Net Flows:
 
2,446
2,308
1,132
1,456
 
1,291
2,493
1,531
1,371
 
 - Gross Inflows
 
7,213
8,138
5,919
6,789
 
7,305
7,468
6,801
7,414
 
 - Redemptions
 
(4,767)
(5,830)
(4,787)
(5,333)
 
(6,014)
(4,975)
(5,270)
(6,043)
 
Other Movements
 
4,102
(1,080)
717
1,242
 
488
467
(460)
(94)
 
Closing FUM
 
61,427
62,655
64,504
67,202
 
68,981
71,941
73,012
74,289
 
                       
Comprising amounts for:
                     
   UK
 
41,194
39,953
40,955
42,016
 
42,199
42,392
41,756
40,705
 
   Europe (excluding UK)
 
18,696
21,198
22,064
23,699
 
25,244
27,927
29,622
31,815
 
   South Africa
 
1,537
1,504
1,485
1,487
 
1,538
1,622
1,634
1,769
 
   
61,427
62,655
64,504
67,202
 
68,981
71,941
73,012
74,289
 
                       
Institutional(3)
                     
Opening FUM
 
56,989
57,745
55,484
59,810
 
58,787
59,736
60,830
61,572
 
Net Flows:
 
(15)
(899)
3,928
(866)
 
152
275
138
(164)
 
 - Gross Inflows
 
2,656
2,591
5,364
2,163
 
1,655
2,894
2,295
2,185
 
 - Redemptions
 
(2,671)
(3,490)
(1,436)
(3,029)
 
(1,503)
(2,619)
(2,157)
(2,349)
 
Other Movements
 
771
(1,362)
398
(157)
 
797
819
604
1,350
 
Closing FUM
 
57,745
55,484
59,810
58,787
 
59,736
60,830
61,572
62,758
 
                       
Total M&G Investment Operations
 
119,172
118,139
124,314
125,989
 
128,717
132,771
134,584
137,047
 
                       
PPM South Africa FUM included in Total M&G
 
4,701
4,509
4,633
4,513
 
4,720
4,815
4,905
5,203
 
                       
Eastspring - excluding MMF(8)
                     
Equity/Bond/Other(7)
                     
Opening FUM
 
15,457
17,206
16,756
16,133
 
16,109
16,753
18,259
19,893
 
Net Flows:
 
795
838
65
118
 
540
1,063
1,127
1,640
 
 - Gross Inflows
 
3,122
3,596
2,214
1,982
 
2,546
3,285
3,583
3,760
 
 - Redemptions
 
(2,327)
(2,758)
(2,149)
(1,864)
 
(2,006)
(2,222)
(2,456)
(2,120)
 
Other Movements
 
954
(1,288)
(688)
(142)
 
104
443
507
360
 
Closing FUM(5)
 
17,206
16,756
16,133
16,109
 
16,753
18,259
19,893
21,893
 
                       
Third Party Institutional Mandates
                     
Opening FUM
 
2,173
2,548
2,512
2,373
 
1,818
2,444
2,819
3,056
 
Net Flows:
 
276
97
(32)
(582)
 
588
292
97
83
 
 - Gross Inflows
 
418
236
31
72
 
640
398
168
311
 
 - Redemptions
 
(142)
(139)
(63)
(654)
 
(52)
(106)
(71)
(228)
 
Other Movements
 
99
(133)
(107)
27
 
38
83
140
301
 
Closing FUM(5)
 
2,548
2,512
2,373
1,818
 
2,444
2,819
3,056
3,440
 
                       
Total Eastspring Investment Operations
 
19,754
19,268
18,506
17,927
 
19,197
21,078
22,949
25,333
 
                       
US
                     
Curian - FUM(5) (9)
 
6,315
6,466
6,371
6,601
 
6,781
6,948
7,421
7,933
 
 
 
Schedule A(vii) - Total Insurance New Business Profit (Actual Exchange Rates)
 
 
2013
 
2014
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2 
Q3
Q4
 
 
YTD
YTD
YTD
YTD
 
YTD
YTD 
YTD 
YTD 
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
Post-tax analysis
                   
                     
New Business Profit(1a)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
237
502
767
1,139
 
243
494
775
 1,162
 
Total US Insurance Operations
125
311
492
706
 
195
376
530
 694
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
48
100
163
237
 
91
145
209
 270
 
Group Total
410
913
1,422
2,082
 
529
1,015
1,514
2,126
 
                     
Annual Equivalent(1a) (2)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
495
1,010
1,523
2,125
 
507
996
1,544
2,237
 
Total US Insurance Operations
358
797
1,202
1,573
 
432
871
1,235
1,556
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
185
355
540
725
 
237
433
648
857
 
Group Total
1,038
2,162
3,265
4,423
 
1,176
2,300
3,427
4,650
 
                     
New Business Margin (NBP as % of APE)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
48%
50%
50%
54%
 
48%
50%
50%
52%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
35%
39%
41%
45%
 
45%
43%
43%
45%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
26%
28%
30%
33%
 
38%
33%
32%
32%
 
Group Total
39%
42%
44%
47%
 
45%
44%
44%
46%
 
                     
PVNBP(1a) (2)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
2,734
5,524
8,206
11,375
 
2,690
5,378
8,408
12,331
 
Total US Insurance Operations
3,581
7,957
12,006
15,723
 
4,323
8,703
12,352
15,555
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
1,540
2,943
4,398
5,978
 
2,072
3,741
5,598
7,471
 
Group Total
7,855
16,424
24,610
33,076
 
9,085
17,822
26,358
35,357
 
                     
New Business Margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
8.7%
9.1%
9.3%
10.0%
 
9.0%
9.2%
9.2%
9.4%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
3.5%
3.9%
4.1%
4.5%
 
4.5%
4.3%
4.3%
4.5%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
3.1%
3.4%
3.7%
4.0%
 
4.4%
3.9%
3.7%
3.6%
 
Group Total
5.2%
5.6%
5.8%
6.3%
 
5.8%
5.7%
5.7%
6.0%
 
 
 
Schedule A(viii) - Total Insurance New Business Profit (2013 at Constant Exchange Rates)
 
 
Note:   In schedule A(viii) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2013. The year-to-date amounts for 2014 are presented on actual exchange rates.
 
 
2013
 
2014
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2 
Q3 
Q4
 
 
YTD
YTD
YTD
YTD
 
YTD
YTD 
YTD 
YTD 
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
Post-tax analysis
                   
                     
New Business Profit(1b)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
 204
 433
 678
 1,032
 
243
494
 775
 1,162
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 118
 292
 461
 670
 
195
376
530
 694
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 48
 100
 163
 237
 
91
145
209
 270
 
Group Total
370
825
1,302
1,939
 
529
1,015
1,514
2,126
 
                     
Annual Equivalent(1b) (2)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
437
891
1,364
1,946
 
507
996
1,544
2,237
 
Total US Insurance Operations
337
747
1,128
1,494
 
432
871
1,235
1,556
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
185
355
540
725
 
237
433
648
857
 
Group Total
959
1,993
3,032
4,165
 
1,176
2,300
3,427
4,650
 
                     
New Business Margin (NBP as % of APE)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
47%
49%
50%
53%
 
48%
50%
50%
52%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
35%
39%
41%
45%
 
45%
43%
43%
45%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
26%
28%
30%
33%
 
38%
33%
32%
32%
 
Group Total
39%
41%
43%
47%
 
45%
44%
44%
46%
 
                     
PVNBP(1b) (2)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
2,434
4,912
7,409
10,482
 
2,690
5,378
8,408
12,331
 
Total US Insurance Operations
3,374
7,456
11,267
14,931
 
4,323
8,703
12,352
15,555
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
1,540
2,943
4,398
5,978
 
2,072
3,741
5,598
7,471
 
Group Total
7,348
15,311
23,074
31,391
 
9,085
17,822
26,358
35,357
 
                     
New Business Margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
8.4%
8.8%
9.2%
9.8%
 
9.0%
9.2%
9.2%
9.4%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
3.5%
3.9%
4.1%
4.5%
 
4.5%
4.3%
4.3%
4.5%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
3.1%
3.4%
3.7%
4.0%
 
4.4%
3.9%
3.7%
3.6%
 
Group Total
5.0%
5.4%
5.6%
6.2%
 
5.8%
5.7%
5.7%
6.0%
 
 
 
Schedule A(ix) - Total Insurance New Business Profit (2014 and 2013 at Constant Exchange Rates)
 
 
Note: In schedule A(ix) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2013 and 2014, i.e the average exchange rates for the period ended 31 December 2014 are applied to each period for 2013 and 2014.
 
 
2013
 
2014
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2 
Q3
Q4
 
 
YTD
YTD
YTD
YTD
 
YTD
YTD 
YTD 
YTD 
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
Post-tax analysis
                   
                     
New Business Profit(1c)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
 204
 433
 678
 1,032
 
 244
 498
 781
 1,162
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 118
 292
 461
 670
 
 196
 381
 537
 694
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 48
 100
 163
 237
 
 91
 145
 209
 270
 
Group Total
370
825
1,302
1,939
 
531
1,024
1,527
2,126
 
                     
Annual Equivalent(1c) (2)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
437
891
1,364
1,946
 
510
1,006
1,556
2,237
 
Total US Insurance Operations
337
747
1,128
1,494
 
434
882
1,252
1,556
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
185
355
540
725
 
237
433
648
857
 
Group Total
959
1,993
3,032
4,165
 
1,181
2,321
3,456
4,650
 
                     
New Business Margin (NBP as % of APE)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
47%
49%
50%
53%
 
48%
50%
50%
52%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
35%
39%
41%
45%
 
45%
43%
43%
45%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
26%
28%
30%
33%
 
38%
33%
32%
32%
 
Group Total
39%
41%
43%
47%
 
45%
44%
44%
46%
 
                     
PVNBP(1c) (2)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
2,434
4,912
7,409
10,482
 
2,708
5,432
8,477
12,331
 
Total US Insurance Operations
3,374
7,456
11,267
14,931
 
4,343
8,818
12,516
15,555
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
1,540
2,943
4,398
5,978
 
2,072
3,741
5,598
7,471
 
Group Total
7,348
15,311
23,074
31,391
 
9,123
17,991
26,591
35,357
 
                     
New Business Margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
8.4%
8.8%
9.2%
9.8%
 
9.0%
9.2%
9.2%
9.4%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
3.5%
3.9%
4.1%
4.5%
 
4.5%
4.3%
4.3%
4.5%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
3.1%
3.4%
3.7%
4.0%
 
4.4%
3.9%
3.7%
3.6%
 
Group Total
5.0%
5.4%
5.6%
6.2%
 
5.8%
5.7%
5.7%
6.0%
 
 
 
Schedule A(x) - Total UK and Europe Insurance Operations New Business APE
 
With effect from 1 January 2015, New Business APE for the UK and Europe Insurance Operations will be presented using revised product groupings. This aims to bring greater focus to products and groupings that reflect the evolving UK market and the business strategy of our UK business. This schedule shows the 2014 and 2013 numbers on this revised basis that will be presented from the first quarter of 2015.
 
(a)   Total UK & Europe Insurance New Business APE (AER)
 
(i) Current presentation
                                   
   
Single
 
Regular
 
Annual Equivalents(2)
 
PVNBP
 
   
2014
2013
   
2014
2013
   
2014
2013
   
2014
2013
   
   
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
Direct and Partnership Annuities
 
 162
 284
(43)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 16
 28
(43)%
 
 162
 284
(43)%
 
Intermediated Annuities
 
 139
 488
(72)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 14
 49
(71)%
 
 139
 488
(72)%
 
Internal Vesting Annuities
 
 764
 1,305
(41)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 76
 131
(42)%
 
 764
 1,305
(41)%
 
Total Individual Annuities
 
 1,065
 2,077
(49)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 106
 208
(49)%
 
 1,065
 2,077
(49)%
 
Corporate Pensions
 
 92
 120
(23)%
 
 138
 161
(14)%
 
 147
 173
(15)%
 
 592
 686
(14)%
 
On-shore Bonds
 
 2,318
 1,754
32%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 232
 176
32%
 
 2,321
 1,756
32%
 
Other Products
 
 1,496
 901
66%
 
 51
 51
-
 
 201
 140
44%
 
 1,783
 1,183
51%
 
Wholesale
 
 1,710
 276
520%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 171
 28
511%
 
 1,710
 276
520%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 
 6,681
 5,128
30%
 
 189
 212
(11)%
 
 857
 725
18%
 
 7,471
 5,978
25%
 
 
(ii) Revised presentation from 2015
                                   
   
Single
 
Regular
 
Annual Equivalents(2)
 
PVNBP
 
   
2014
2013
   
2014
2013
   
2014
2013
   
2014
2013
   
   
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
Individual Annuities
 
 1,065
 2,077
(49)%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 106
 208
(49)%
 
 1,065
 2,077
(49)%
 
Bonds
 
 2,934
 2,187
34%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 294
 219
34%
 
 2,937
 2,190
34%
 
Corporate Pensions
 
 92
 120
(23)%
 
 138
 161
(14%)
 
 147
 173
(15)%
 
 592
 686
(14)%
 
Individual Pensions
 
 508
 298
70%
 
 22
 21
5%
 
 72
 50
44%
 
 595
 377
58%
 
Income Drawdown
 
 352
 146
141%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 35
 15
133%
 
 352
 146
141%
 
Wholesale
 
 1,710
 276
520%
 
 -  
 -  
N/A
 
 171
 28
511%
 
 1,710
 276
520%
 
Other Products
 
 20
 24
(17)%
 
 29
 30
(3)%
 
 32
 32
0%
 
 220
 226
(3)%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 
 6,681
 5,128
30%
 
 189
 212
(11)%
 
 857
 725
18%
 
 7,471
 5,978
25%
 
 
 
Schedule A(x) - Total UK and Europe Insurance Operations New Business APE (continued)
 
(b)    Total UK & Europe Insurance New Business APE - By Quarter (AER)
 
(i) Current presentation
 
2013
 
2014
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
Direct and Partnership Annuities
 8
 7
 7
 6
 
 5
5
4
2
 
Intermediated Annuities
 15
 14
 12
 8
 
 7
3
2
2
 
Internal Vesting Annuities
 32
 35
 31
 33
 
 24
19
17
16
 
Total Individual Annuities
 55
 56
 50
 47
 
 36
 27
 23
 20
 
Corporate Pensions
 53
 40
 45
 35
 
 40
39
38
30
 
On-shore Bonds
 45
 38
 43
 50
 
 49
53
60
70
 
Other Products
 32
 36
 32
 40
 
 39
46
57
59
 
Wholesale
 -  
 -  
 15
 13
 
 73
 31
 37
30
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 185
 170
 185
 185
 
 237
 196
 215
 209
 
 
(i) Revised presentation from 2015
 
2013
 
2014
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
Individual Annuities
 55
 56
 50
 47
 
 36
27
23
20
 
Bonds
 52
 48
 55
 64
 
 63
67
77
87
 
Corporate Pensions
 53
 40
 45
 35
 
 40
39
38
30
 
Individual Pensions
 13
 13
 11
 13
 
 12
 15
 21
 24
 
Income Drawdown
 3
 3
 4
 5
 
 5
7
11
12
 
Wholesale
 -  
 -  
 15
 13
 
 73
31
37
30
 
Other Products
 9
 10
 5
 8
 
 8
 10
 8
6
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 185
 170
 185
 185
 
 237
 196
 215
 209
 
 
B. Reconciliation of expected transfer of value of in-force business (VIF) and required capital to free surplus
 
The tables below show how the VIF generated by the in-force long-term business and the associated required capital is modelled as emerging into free surplus over the next 40 years. Although a small amount (less than 2 per cent) of the Group's embedded value emerges after this date analysis of cash flows emerging in the years shown in the tables is considered most meaningful. The modelled cash flows use the same methodology underpinning the Group's embedded value reporting and so are subject to the same assumptions and sensitivities.
 
In addition to showing the amounts, both discounted and undiscounted, expected to be generated from all in-force business at 31 December 2014, the tables also present the expected future free surplus to be generated from the investment made in new business during 2014 over the same 40 year period.
 
Expected transfer of value of in-force business (VIF) and required capital to free surplus
     
   
2014 £m
   
Undiscounted expected generation from
all in-force business at 31 December*
 
Undiscounted expected generation from
2014 long-term new business written*
Expected period of emergence
Asia
US
UK
Total
 
Asia
US
UK
Total
2015
953
1,054
506
2,513
 
124
241
25
390
2016
920
902
514
2,336
 
144
108
22
274
2017
883
844
501
2,228
 
149
118
23
290
2018
846
792
503
2,141
 
119
29
22
170
2019
819
866
494
2,179
 
118
114
23
255
2020
796
801
482
2,079
 
104
96
23
223
2021
795
774
473
2,042
 
107
86
24
217
2022
790
744
465
1,999
 
108
131
24
263
2023
780
662
470
1,912
 
103
113
24
240
2024
751
540
459
1,750
 
111
97
23
231
2025
739
464
448
1,651
 
96
83
24
203
2026
744
392
436
1,572
 
105
71
23
199
2027
735
335
423
1,493
 
93
63
22
178
2028
719
290
411
1,420
 
95
56
22
173
2029
695
248
401
1,344
 
103
49
22
174
2030
668
204
388
1,260
 
92
40
22
154
2031
654
186
375
1,215
 
92
35
22
149
2032
637
196
366
1,199
 
90
30
22
142
2033
621
113
348
1,082
 
88
24
22
134
2034
607
104
327
1,038
 
96
24
24
144
2035-2039
2,921
19
1,327
4,267
 
434
(14)
107
527
2040-2044
2,542
-
1,110
3,652
 
387
-
97
484
2045-2049
2,161
-
521
2,682
 
335
-
82
417
2050-2054
1,801
-
287
2,088
 
289
-
29
318
Total free surplus expected to emerge in
                 
 
the next 40 years
24,577
10,530
12,035
47,142
 
3,582
1,594
773
5,949
 
 
* The analysis excludes amounts incorporated into VIF at 31 December 2014 where there is no definitive timeframe for when the payments will be made or receipts received. In particular it excludes the value of the shareholders' interest in the estate. It also excludes any free surplus emerging after 2054.Following their sale, the cash flows exclude any cash flows in respect of Japan and PruHealth and PruProtect.
 
The above amounts can be reconciled to the new business amounts as follows:
                                                                                               
New business
2014 £m
   
Asia
US
UK
Total
Undiscounted expected free surplus generation for years 2015-2054
3,582
1,594
773
5,949
Less: discount effect
(2,111)
(532)
(451)
(3,094)
Discounted expected free surplus generation for years 2015-2054
1,471
1,062
322
2,855
Discounted expected free surplus generation for years 2054+
91
-
2
93
PruHealth and PruProtect free surplus generation for new business not
   included above**
-
-
19
19
Less: Free surplus investment in new businessnote 13
(346)
(187)
(73)
(606)
Other items***
(54)
(181)
-
(235)
Post-tax EEV new business profitnote 13
1,162
694
270
2,126
           
 
 
**    In November 2014 the Group disposed of its stake in the PruHealth and PruProtect businesses for an EEV profit of £44 million. New business profit for the year includes new business written by the businesses prior to the disposed date. For the analysis above such profits have been excluded as the Group has realised the cash through sale in 2014.
 
***  Other items represent the impact of the time value of options and guarantees on new business, foreign exchange effects and other non-modelled items. Foreign exchange effects arise as EEV new business profit amounts are translated at average exchange rates and the expected free surplus generation uses year end closing rates.
 
 
 
 
The undiscounted expected free surplus generation from all in-force business at 31 December 2014 shown below can be reconciled to the amount that was expected to be generated as at 31 December 2013 as follows: 
 
                       
   
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Other
 
Total
 
Group
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
 
2013 expected free surplus generation
                   
 
for years 2014-2053**
 2,165
 2,109
 2,025
 1,911
 1,884
 1,814
 31,638
 
 43,546
 
Less: Amounts expected to be realised
                   
 
in the current year
(2,165)
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 
(2,165)
 
Add: Expected free surplus to be
                   
 
generated in year 2054*
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 367
 
 367
 
Foreign exchange differences
 -
 77
 73
 67
 65
 63
 850
 
 1,195
 
New business
 -
 390
 274
 290
 170
 255
 4,570
 
 5,949
 
Sale of PruHealth and PruProtect
 -
(2)
(2)
(5)
(7)
(7)
(48)
 
(71)
 
Operating movements
 -
 9
(9)
 18
 47
 58
(1,632)
 
(1,679)
 
Non-operating and other movements
 -
(70)
(25)
(53)
(18)
(4)
   
2014 expected free surplus generation for
                   
 
years 2015-2054**
 -
 2,513
 2,336
 2,228
 2,141
 2,179
 35,745
 
 47,142
 
                       
   
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Other
 
Total
 
Asia
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
 
2013 expected free surplus generation
                   
 
for years 2014-2053**
 801
 821
 798
 735
 705
 682
 17,471
 
 22,013
 
Less: Amounts expected to be realised
                   
 
in the current year
(801)
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 
(801)
 
Add: Expected free surplus to be
                   
 
generated in year 2054 *
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 324
 
 324
 
Foreign exchange differences
 -
 25
 26
 23
 22
 21
 548
 
 665
 
New business
 -
 124
 144
 149
 119
 118
 2,928
 
 3,582
 
Operating movements
 -
 -
(29)
(1)
 7
 13
(1,115)
 
(1,206)
 
Non-operating and other movements
 -
(17)
(19)
(23)
(7)
(15)
   
2014 expected free surplus generation for
                   
 
years 2015-2054**
 -
 953
 920
 883
 846
 819
 20,156
 
 24,577
 
                       
   
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Other
 
Total
 
US
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
 
2013 expected free surplus generation
                   
 
for years 2014-2053
 902
 817
 760
 709
 700
 666
 4,834
 
 9,388
 
Less: Amounts expected to be realised
                   
 
in the current year
(902)
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 
(902)
 
Add: Expected free surplus  to be
                   
 
generated in year 2054 *
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 
 -
 
Foreign exchange differences
 -
 52
 47
 44
 43
 42
 302
 
 530
 
New business
 -
 241
 108
 118
 29
 114
 984
 
 1,594
 
Operating movements
 -
(10)
 7
 10
 37
 35
(48)
 
(80)
 
Non-operating and other movements
 -
(46)
(20)
(37)
(17)
 9
     
2014 expected free surplus generation for
                   
 
years 2015-2054
 -
 1,054
 902
 844
 792
 866
 6,072
 
 10,530
 
                       
   
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Other
 
Total
 
UK
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
 
2013 expected free surplus generation
                   
 
for years 2014-2053
 462
 471
 467
 467
 479
 466
 9,333
 
 12,145
 
Less: Amounts expected to be realised
                   
 
in the current year
(462)
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 
(462)
 
Add: Expected free surplus to be
                   
 
generated in year 2054*
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 43
 
 43
 
New business
 -
 25
 22
 23
 22
 23
 658
 
 773
 
Sale of PruHealth and PruProtect
 -
(2)
(2)
(5)
(7)
(7)
(48)
 
(71)
 
Operating movements
 -
 19
 13
 9
 3
 10
(469)
 
(393)
 
Non-operating and other movements
 -
(7)
 14
 7
 6
 2
   
2014 expected free surplus generation for
                   
 
years 2015-2054
 -
 506
 514
 501
 503
 494
 9,517
 
 12,035
 
 
 
*  Excluding 2014 new business.
 
** Includes the removal of Japan life business following the sale.
 
At 31 December 2014 the total free surplus expected to be generated over the next five years (years 2015-2019 inclusive), using the same assumptions and methodology as those underpinning our embedded value reporting was £11.4 billion, an increase of £1.7 billion from the £9.7 billion expected over the same period at the end of 2013.
 
This increase primarily reflects the new business written in 2014, which is expected to generate £1,379 million of free surplus over the next five years. Operating, non-operating and disposal of our share of PruHealth and PruProtect and other items are expected to decrease free surplus generation by £70 million over the next five years, which is more than offset by the favourable foreign exchange movements of £345 million.
 
At 31 December 2014 the total free surplus expected to be generated on an undiscounted basis in the next forty years is £47.1 billion, up from the £43.5 billion expected at end of 2013 reflecting the effect of new business written across all three business operations and a positive foreign exchange translation effect arising in the US and Asia operations of £1.2 billion.These positive effects have been offset by a £(1.7) billion adverse effect reflecting operating, market assumption changes and the disposal of our share of PruHealth and PruProtect and other items. These principally reflect the impact of falling interest rates, particularly in Asia. The overall growth in the undiscounted value of free surplus reflects our ability to write both growing and profitable new business.
 
Actual underlying free surplus generated in 2014 from life business in-force at the end of 2014 was £2.7 billion inclusive of £0.3 billion of changes in operating assumptions and experience variances. This compares with the expected 2014 realisation at the end of 2013 of £2.2 billion. This can be analysed further as follows:
 
         
 
Asia
US
UK
Total
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
Transfer to free surplus in 2014
828
883
565
2,276
Expected return on free assets
62
30
14
106
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances
(30)
278
66
314
Underlying free surplus generated from in-force life business in 2014
860
1,191
645
2,696
         
2014 free surplus expected to be generated at
31 December 2013
801
902
462
2,165
         
                     
The equivalent discounted amounts of the undiscounted totals shown previously are shown below:
     
   
2014 £m
   
Discounted expected generation from all
in-force business at 31 December
 
Discounted expected generation from
long-term 2014 new business written
Expected period of emergence
Asia
US
UK
Total
 
Asia
US
UK
Total
2015
908
1,017
471
2,396
 
118
233
23
374
2016
807
820
457
2,084
 
125
97
20
242
2017
720
724
419
1,863
 
119
101
19
239
2018
644
642
397
1,683
 
88
23
18
129
2019
581
664
367
1,612
 
81
86
18
185
2020
529
576
337
1,442
 
67
68
16
151
2021
494
526
312
1,332
 
65
56
16
137
2022
459
478
289
1,226
 
61
81
15
157
2023
424
406
274
1,104
 
54
65
14
133
2024
383
312
252
947
 
54
52
13
119
2025
354
255
231
840
 
43
42
12
97
2026
335
204
212
751
 
45
33
11
89
2027
311
165
193
669
 
37
28
10
75
2028
289
137
176
602
 
36
23
10
69
2029
264
112
161
537
 
37
19
9
65
2030
239
90
146
475
 
32
15
8
55
2031
221
80
133
434
 
30
12
8
50
2032
204
83
122
409
 
28
10
7
45
2033
188
42
109
339
 
26
7
7
40
2034
174
39
96
309
 
28
7
7
42
2035-2039
747
99
321
1,167
 
112
4
27
143
2040-2044
518
-
195
713
 
82
-
18
100
2045-2049
362
-
63
425
 
60
-
12
72
2050-2054
247
-
25
272
 
43
-
4
47
Total discounted free surplus
                 
 
expected to emerge in the next 40 years
10,402
7,471
5,758
23,631
 
1,471
1,062
322
2,855
   
The above amounts can be reconciled to the Group's financial statements as follows:
 
 
Total
 
£m
Discounted expected generation from all in-force business for years 2015-2054
23,631
Discounted expected generation from all in-force business for years after 2054
470
Discounted expected generation from all in-force business (excluding Japan) at 31 December 2014 note 14
24,101
Add: Free surplus of life operations held at 31 December 2014 note 13
4,193
Less: Time value of guarantees note 14
(575)
Expected cashflow from the sale of Japan Life business*
23
Other non-modelled items** note 14
1,382
Total EEV for life operations
29,124
                           
 
 
*   Upon completion of the sale of the Japan life business £23 million of free surplus will be released. See note 8 and note 14 of the EEV basis results section for further details.
 
**  These relate to items where there is no definitive timeframe for when the payments will be made or receipts received and are, consequently, excluded from the amounts incorporated into the tables above showing the expected generation of free surplus from in-force business at 31 December 2014. In particular it excludes the value of the shareholders' interest in the estate.
 
C Foreign currency source of key metrics
 
The tables below show the Group's key free surplus, IFRS and EEV metrics analysis by contribution by currency group:
 
Free surplus and IFRS 2014 results
 
 
Underlying free surplus generated2
Pre-tax
Operating profit2,3,4
Shareholders'
funds2,3,4
 
%
%
%
US$ linked1
14
17
14
Other Asia currencies
9
18
18
Total Asia
23
35
32
UK sterling3,4
38
20
46
US$ 4
39
45
22
Total
100
100
100
       
 
         
EEV 2014 results
     
   
 Post-tax New
Business profits
Post-tax
Operating Profit2,3,4
Shareholders'
Funds2,3,4
   
%
%
%
US$ linked1
 36
 35
 29
Other Asia currencies
 18
 13
 15
Total Asia
 54
 48
 44
UK sterling3,4
13
14
33
US$4
33
38
23
Total
100
100
100
         
Notes:
1US$ linked - comprising the Hong Kong and Vietnam operations where the currencies are pegged to the US dollar and the Malaysia and Singapore operations where the currencies are managed against a basket of currencies including the US dollar.
2Includes long-term, asset management business and other businesses.
3For operating profit and shareholders' funds UK sterling includes amounts in respect of central operations as well as UK insurance operations and M&G.
4 For shareholders' funds, the US$ grouping includes US$ denominated core structural borrowings. Sterling operating profits include all interest payable as sterling denominated, reflecting interest rate currency swaps in place.
 
D Results of sold PruHealth and PruProtect business
 
The tables below show the results of the sold PruHealth and PruProtect business which were included in the Group's results for full year and half year 2014.
 
 
IFRS 2014 results
 
 
2014 £m
 
Full year
Half year
Pre-tax operating profit
23
8
     
     
EEV 2014 post-tax results
   
 
2014 £m
 
Full year
Half year
APE sales
23
14
Operating profit
   
New business contribution
11
6
Total operating profit
11
8
 
 
APE and new business contribution
 
 
2014 £m
 
APE
Post-tax new
business
contribution
Full year 2014
23
11
Q3 2014
20
9
Half year 2014
14
6
Q1 2014
7
3
     
 
 
 








 

 
 
SIGNATURES
 
 
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.




 
 
Date 10 March 2015
 
 
PRUDENTIAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
   
 
By: /s/ Nic Nicandrou
   
 
Nic Nicandrou
 
Chief Financial Officer